Where the action is: Early NFL Week 1 line moves
Week 1 of the NFL season is unlike any other. Only in football are bettors able to wager on specific games this far in advance, keeping lines on the go for almost six months.
Books opened betting on Week 1 action back in April and since then a few spreads have seen considerable adjustments. We take a look at the biggest Week 1 line moves with the NFL season still two and a half months away.
Baltimore Ravens at Denver Broncos – Open: -8, Move: -10, Move: -9.5
Could this be a passing of the torch in the AFC? The defending Super Bowl champs beat Denver in the AFC Divisional Round last year, so revenge is on the Broncos’ minds. Sharps have been quick to write off the Ravens, betting the line all the way to 10 points at some books before buying back Baltimore as a double-digit dog. According to Michael Stewart, an oddsmaker with CarbonSports.ag, Baltimore is drawing about 52 percent of the action with money balancing out.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New York Jets – Open: -1.5, Mover: +2.5, Move: +1
Action on the Bucs has flipped this spread, making Tampa Bay a slight road favorite in Week 1. Of course, the big story in this game is CB Darrelle Revis, who was traded to the Buccaneers by the Jets this offseason. Revis is recovering from a torn ACL and is expected to be at camp and play in Tampa’s opener. Stewart says the Bucs have drawn about 88 percent of the action so far.Oakland Raiders at Indianapolis Colts – Open: -8.5, Move: -7
Some markets opened the Colts as high as 8.5-point chalk for Week 1. Many wiseguys are projecting a step back for Indianapolis after overachieving in 2012. The Colts were lucky to win many close games last season and won’t be catching anyone off guard in 2013. Oakland upgraded its secondary this offseason and could catch Andrew Luck in a sophomore slump. At CarbonSports.ag, Indianapolis is pulling in 90 percent of the action and all bets on the total have sided with the under 49.5 points.
Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Redskins – Open: -6, Move: -4.5
Will he or won’t he? It looks like early action is expecting Redskins QB Robert Griffin III to miss or at least be a bit behind in Week 1 after shredding his knee last winter. The Eagles are also a bit of a mystery, bringing in Chip Kelly as head coach. Philadelphia’s offense will get a kick in the pants and early money thinks this line is too large for a divisional rivalry. At 4.5, 66 percent of bets are on the home side while 91 percent of total plays are expecting a shootout and taking the over 51 points.