NCAAF Top 5: Worst road bets in college football
Perhaps college football bettors should add a “golden rule” to their list of handicapping do’s and don’ts: “Never bet on a Colorado school on the road.”
Colorado and Colorado State are a combined 12-52 SU and 19-45 ATS away from home over the past five NCAAF seasons. But as bad as that record is against the spread, the Rams and Buffaloes have nothing on the UNLV Runnin’ Rebels.
Here’s a look at the worst road bets in college football over the past five seasons:
Records from 2008-2012. Includes away, neutral-site and bowl games.
UNLV Runnin’ Rebels (2-28 SU, 5-22-3 ATS)
For a town that caters to sports bettors, the University of Nevada Las Vegas is sure hard on those hometown handicappers. The Runnin’ Rebels haven’t picked up a road win since 2009, posting an 0-6 SU and 2-3-1 ATS mark in 2012. UNLV opens the 2013 schedule at Minnesota. Early money at the Golden Nugget in Las Vegas has faded the Rebels, moving them from +13 to +15 in Week 1.
Colorado State Rams (7-25 SU, 9-23 ATS)
Staying in the Mountain West, the CSU Rams went 1-5 and 2-4 ATS on the road last year including a neutral-site win and cover versus rival Colorado at Mile High in Week 1. The other payday came on the blue turf at Boise State as 29.5-point underdogs. Colorado State kicks off 2013 versus the Buffaloes in Denver as a 3.5-point favorite and visits Alabama as a 41-point pup in Week 4.
Colorado Buffaloes (5-27 SU, 10-22 ATS)
Colorado is 3-10 SU and 4-9 ATS on the road since joining the Pac-12, posting a 1-4 SU and 2-3 ATS mark in 2012. The Buffaloes were limited to 17 points or fewer in six of their seven true road games last season, averaging just 14.5 points per game in those away tilts. Following Week 1’s neutral-site date with CSU, Colorado is at Oregon State, Arizona State, UCLA, Washington and Utah.
Michigan Wolverines (9-18 SU, 8-18-1 ATS)
Michigan has struggled to come through against road opponents – and inflated spreads - when away from Ann Arbor. The Wolverines went 4-11 SU and 3-12 ATS during the dark ages of Rich Rodriguez and are 5-7 SU and 5-6-1 ATS on the road since Brady Hoke donned the Maize and Blue. Michigan has a light road sked this year, at UConn (-12), at PSU (-2.5), at MSU (+3), at Northwestern (+3) and at Iowa (+10.5).
Auburn Tigers (11-16 SU, 9-18 ATS)
Outside of that magical 2010, when Cam Newton led Auburn to a 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS road record, War Eagle has been more like a baby chick when it comes to covering the spread away from home. Last season, the Tigers went 0-5 SU and 1-4 ATS on the highway. Auburn once again has a daunting road slate in the SEC this fall, at LSU (+16.5), at Texas A&M (+22.5), at Arkansas (+3.5), and at Tennessee (+7).