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NASCAR betting: Quaker State 400 preview

Who will be victorious in the third NASCAR Sprint Cup Race at Kentucky Speedway, which has a reputation for being a "rough track" on Sunday?

Here’s our betting preview:

Favorite: Kyle Busch (7-1)

Busch has one win, one top-five and two top-10s in two starts at Kentucky Speedway. There have been 534 laps circled across the two races held at Kentucky and KB has led 45.5 percent of them

Live dog: Brad Keselowski (12-1)

Keselowski won last year's race at Kentucky with a backup car. He took a gambled on fuel late in the race to rack up his third win of the 2012 season. He  ranks second, out of 45 drivers with an average place of 3.8 at Kentucky.

Long shot: Ryan Newman (80-1)

Newman finished fourth in the 2011 race at Kentucky but crashed with 59 laps to go last year after qualifying fifth. He has two top-10 finishes in his last five Sprint Cup races and has great value at 80-1 this week.

Key stat: Ten different drivers have posted top-10 victories at Kentucky in just two Sprint Cup races.

Notable quotable:

"I love how much character that racetrack has. It's so rough. The groove moves around, and you really are just trying to dodge the big swells and bumps to find grip for your race car.” – Jimmie Johnson on racing Kentucky Speedway

Odds to win the Quaker State 400 courtesy of 5Dimes:

Kyle Busch 6-1
Kasey Kahne 7-1
Jimmie Johnson 7-1
Matt Kenseth 8-1
Denny Hamlin 11-1
Brad Keselowski 12-1
Carl Edwards 27-2
Clint Bowery 27-2
Kevin Harvick 27-2
Kurt Busch 16-1
Martin Truex Jr. 33-2
Greg Biffle 18-1
Jeff Gordon 19-1
Dale Earnhardt Jr. 39-2
Tony Stewart 43-2
Joey Logano 33-1
Brian Vickers 44-1
Juan Montoya 45-1
Jamie McMurray 115-2
Ryan Newman 80-1

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