USA Today Sports

Spurs' crushing collapse worth half a point to Game 7 spread

The NBA Finals were over.

With the Heat down 94-89 with just 28 seconds to play in Game 6 Tuesday, the San Antonio Spurs appeared like all they had to do was get their rings sized.

Security at the American Airlines Arena frantically lined the court with a thick yellow rope to keep people from crashing the Spurs’ championship party while legions of broken Heat fans filed up the stairs past team president Pat Riley, who gazed through them to the action on the floor.

But the finals aren’t over, not by a long shot according to oddsmakers who have set Miami as a 6.5-point home favorite for Game 7 after forcing overtime and edging San Antonio 103-100 Tuesday night.

“Before (Game 6) started, we talked about the Heat being 6-point favorites if it got to Game 7, but after such a devastating loss in which the Spurs collapsed and, in my opinion, looked exhausted, we opened the Heat -6.5 and dealt that number all night,” Michael Stewart, an oddsmaker for CarbonSports.ag, told Covers. 


The Spurs are sizable +230 underdogs after having the Larry O’Brien Trophy ripped from their hands on the moneyline (Miami -280) despite coming within half a minute of their franchise fifth NBA title. A loss like that is tough to come back from.

“I have no clue how we’re going to be re-energized. I’m devastated. But we have to. There’s no Game 8 afterwards," San Antonio guard Manu Ginobili told the media.

Since 1978, only six NBA Finals have gone the full seven games. And just twice in that span has the Game 6 winner failed to ride that momentum to a victory in Game 7 (1984 Boston Celtics defeated the Los Angeles Lakers after losing Game 6 and San Antonio defeated the Detroit Pistons after losing Game 6).

In fact, three of the last four finals series that saw a Game 7 finale were won by the Game 6 winner – Los Angeles in 2010, Houston in 1994, and Los Angeles in 1988.

Despite the crushing loss and history apparently on the Heat’s side, early action is siding with the Spurs to keep it close in Game 7 Thursday.

“All the early money is on the Spurs and we went to Spurs +6.5 (-115) before going to +6 flat this morning,” says Stewart.

Thursday is the second Game 7 for Miami this postseason after going the distance versus the Indiana Pacers in the Eastern Conference finals. The Heat are 2-0 SU and ATS in Game 7 showdowns since the formation of the “Big Three” – LeBron James, Dwyane Wade and Chris Bosh.

San Antonio is 3-1 SU and ATS in Game 7 situations since 2000 and has shown the ability to recover from a crushing Game 6 loss in the past, rebounding to win the NBA title against the Pistons in 2005.

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Posted by %^$%
1 year ago

Hey future213, I see you already deleted your account! ROTFL
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Posted by %^$%
1 year ago

Like I said, you were an IDIOT for the way you EXPRESSED your bet, not for the bet itself, so I'm not going to chide you for you losing and me winning.
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Posted by %^$%
1 year ago

Unlike you, futire123, I did not "say "easy money", I said .15. Therefore, you are not an idiot for the bet(s), but for the way you express it. There, I spelled it out real slow for you so that you could understand it.
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Posted by future213
1 year ago

@ AVATAR we will see who is the idiot tonight when spurs cover and the over hits again.
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Posted by tomnolan
1 year ago

I will give anything I own to see Tim Duncan and the spurs win game 7 tonight. I will dance all night if the spurs win. Go spurs. Big win tonight!
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Posted by purejuicy
1 year ago

EXPECT A BET FROM FLOYD MERRIWEATHER RIGHT BEFORE THE GAME
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Posted by %^$%
1 year ago

There's some excellent analysis (trize) versus a typical idiot on this board (future213 - "easy money" - IDIOT). Disagree Bodogjoe, Spurs will not cover - again - and lose, overwhelming % of teams in any sport that win cover, so chances of that happening back to back are minuscule. Easiest bet to me is Mia, and I guess, the over. .15 of a max unit on Mia, no bet on the over.
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Posted by future213
1 year ago

Wade is not 100 percent. I think your spurs series good. Hope you got it before game which was +250, Spurs will not make the same mistakes as they did 4th q and OT. I think miami played their game 7 in game 6.
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Posted by trize
1 year ago

so many overs hitting the under is definetly due,It should have went under last night it took a miracle for the heat to comeback,force ot,thus locking in the over. I don't know how td he spurs are going to bounce back,but ginobli shouldn't have 8 turnovers again,parker shouldnt shoot 6-23 again,and green should hit more than one three.I have a badthe feeling heat will crush the spurs by 20,one intresting tidbit,even in the indiana series and in this one also,miami has been $ after a loss,and $ to bet against after a win, they haven't won back to back games.spurs won games 1,3,5,miami won 2,4,6, Im glad its the spurs any other team wouldn't recover after choking it up like that,everybody is counting them out,i'm going to take the points,hope for a su win(I have aseries bet with spurs) it is asking s lot for them to recover on short rest,on the road,against the best player on the planet in lebron and company.I think pop will have a good plan and the big 3 will dig deep,hoping for a great game from the role players also,bol to all
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Posted by future213
1 year ago

Parlay spurs+6 and over 189 easy money
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Posted by MTFN50
1 year ago

Ive been preaching the over all series ,The only legit under was game 2 .game 1 there were so many open shots missed and it just went under .Last game the over was gonna hit eveni f parker hits the last second shot .At 95-95. If any team can pull this out its the Spurs (and yes I have them in the series) Im on the over again but IMO the Spurs win the game or lose terribly Game 7 should be intresting
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Posted by Bodogjoe
1 year ago

SPURS cover but lose....OVER looks awesome here fellow players.
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Top Response

Posted by trize
1 year ago

"so many overs hitting the under is definetly due,It should have went under last night it took a miracle for the heat to comeback,force ot,thus locking in the over. I don't know how td he spurs are going to bounce back,but ginobli shouldn't have 8 tur..."