NBA Finals action report: Sharps buy back Spurs, total on the rise

The San Antonio Spurs are just one win away from shocking the defending champion Miami Heat in the NBA Finals, taking a 3-2 series lead into Game 6 Tuesday. Oddsmakers have set the Heat as sizable home favorites with their backs against the wall.

We talk with Michael Stewart, an oddsmaker for CarbonSports.ag, about the betting action and where the odds could end up before the 9 p.m. ET tipoff.

San Antonio Spurs at Miami Heat
– Open: -6.5, Move: -7.5, Move: -6.5


This line moved as much as a full point at some books with early action flooding in on the Heat following their Game 5 loss in San Antonio.

That forced books to jump from -6.5 to -7 and eventually as high as -7.5, before sharp money bought back the Spurs. That wiseguy action has many books trimming the line back to its original number and crossing their fingers that the final score doesn’t land squarely on seven.

“Late yesterday afternoon, we went to Heat -7.5 because money kept showing on the favorite and respecting the sharp action that laid us 6.5, we wanted to shed some of our Heat liability,” Stewart told Covers. “Early this morning, we took a decent size bet from one of our sharper players on the Spurs +7.5 and we quickly went to Heat -7. At this point, we’re now dead even on this game and as long as it doesn’t land seven, we should make money.”

As for the Game 6 total, sportsbooks opened the over/under at 190.5 and have moved to 191 or 191.5. According to Stewart, early money was playing the over and about 70 percent of the total action is leaning toward a high-scoring game.

“I suspect well tick it up one more time and go to 192 at some point today,” says Stewart. “With the last three games going over and the last game seeing a total of 218 points scored, I can’t help but think we’re going to see a ton of recreational money backing the over tonight.”

CarbonSports.ag is currently dealing Miami as a -130 series favorite with the final two games scheduled in South Beach, thanks to a 2-3-2 NBA Finals format. San Antonio is currently set as a +110 underdog to win the NBA title, despite holding a 3-2 series edge.

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Posted by veronica27
1 year ago

I must add .. looking at LeBron's face when he just got fouled .. I feel the pressure he is feeling and he is so surprised they are now winning .. lmao timeout now .. he is under so much pressure ... but I have to throw in the real deal as well overall >>> all of em make soooo much $$$ and have such cushy comfortable spoiled lives that the game is not as important as it should be to them .. not hard nosed like the ole days .. when the refs would let em play .. is too pampered nowadays .. will it ever change or get even more pampered and spoiled ? the question is it will get even more puzzy like ... haha ..same as the nfl .. the nfl change is almost as disappointing as _____________ those days you got to school and realized you had no lunch money ? :)
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Posted by veronica27
1 year ago

spurs 3's not falling now .. heat take the lead on ray ray layup .. 84 - 82 with 6 min left .. 6 minutes , 6 minutes , 6 minutes sirj and you're on .. on , on on on on on on a on a on on on !!! lol
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Posted by veronica27
1 year ago

.... heat dow 82 - 77 with 8 min left in the 4th .. by warning I meant that heat could lose .. to be clear .. now 82 - 79 .. jumpball with Duncan .. this game is priceless .
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Posted by veronica27
1 year ago

duncan shot 6 for 6 in the 1st q and is now 8 for 8 .. so he is playing like this is his last game .. shoot lights out is bad for the under huh .. no d so far .
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Posted by veronica27
1 year ago

1st quarter heat 27 - spurs 25 .. looked like neither team was capable of guarding the other , spurs shot 61.1% .. 1 - 3 from 3pt land .. 3 to's .. 2 -3 fts overall fg % 11 -18 .. 3 to's heat shot 50% .. 4 - 6 from 3 pt land .. 3 to's .. 1 - 2 fts .. lol overall fg % 50% looks like an offensive show so far ..
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Posted by veronica27
1 year ago

added feedback on the title of this piece , the total ? the HEAT DEFENSE WILL BE TIGHTER THAN SAM KINISOS LIPS WERE ON JESSICAHAN RIGHT AFTER SHE GOT THE SETTLEMENT .. K ? you don't believe me ? they will be locking down .. will pop be sticking to the run and gun fast tempo that was successful last game ? forget about it .. spurs will be missing because of the tight sure enough defense by the heat so it wont matter that they are rushing .. spurs will fall behind making pop have to change up their offensive gameplan .. if not , for whatever reason the gameplan will change .. like the under 192 here .. gl
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Posted by veronica27
1 year ago

okay I just noticed that they are already showing the game 7 line on thurs june 20th thurs night as heat - 6 o/u 190.5 ... what does this say to me ? looks like a warning but why would nba league not try and give everyone a game 7 .. seems they would and as we all know like the back of our hand the refs control the game same as a home plate umpire .. same thing , but we will see .. as always I will be glad when it is over .. and it would be nice to be able to say I will be happy when it is over .. but too many unknowns here .. these playoffs have been blowing my mind .. westbrook , blake , bulls star out , parker inj .. lmao pacers best player out and they take the heat to 7 .. you know what the heat win in 7 vs pacers tickets were worth before that series started and after each and every game .. answer >>> too much ... heat in 7 ? get real .
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Posted by veronica27
1 year ago

should read Floyd and his bad posses of mo fos .. last post was better .. ooh well .. I will be gald when this is over and too bad I cant say with any confidence that I will be happy when it is over .. this playoffs has been insane with inj to westbrook , blake , bulls star out , and let us not forget parkers inj .. errr
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Posted by veronica27
1 year ago

you guys didn't let my last post go through ? did I give away too much ? can I repeat everything I just said ? or it will show site unavailable again ? okay , here I go .. I see the line is already up for game 7 , shows heat -6 and o/u 190.5 ................ to me this is a warning . who are Floyd and his bad losses of mo fos on ? and billy walters on this is what I want to know .. I am sure they are both on spurs + the pts , if not I am ____________ there was more before .. can I keep going ? I am sure they like the zig zag to break as they are feelin it is the time to be so called sharp .. is that okay ? 1
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Posted by veronica27
1 year ago

i think to get a better read you should always be talking to vegas shops .. like the Hilton , mirage wh , ceasars .. etc .. places where people go that are very very serious about it all and be laying big $$$ on the games .. online books cater to everyone but is a whole dfferent take than big wigs that actually can walk up to the window put big $$$ down and then come right back and collect on those winning tickets .. that is the real deal .. so why not get the real take on whos is on who ? ooh , I may be naïve if so please inform me .. the carbon sportsag ? wtf is that ? haha I know it is an online sb .. WHO DOES BILLY WALTERS LIKE FOR GAME 6 ? FLOYD LIKES THE HEAT OR HE IS feelin SHARP NOW WITH HIS POSSE OF BAD MO FOS ? I will tell you right now that if billy or Floyd were on this game before it starts they would both take the pts with the away team .. they would play the zig zag to break .. if not ? I just totally am _________________ haha
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Posted by nc1capper
1 year ago

Spurs plus 185 for series & spurs plus 7 tonight
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Posted by biggiantkiller
1 year ago

heat are sharp lol
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Posted by biggiantkiller
1 year ago

"heat are sharp lol"