Dave's 1* free play on tonight's Pepperdine-Long Beach State game.
I really don’t know why Dan Monson continues to overschedule every November and early December. I guess the Long Beach State coach believes it toughen his team up for Big West play against what is literally much softer competition. Problem is, the 49ers haven’t won the league tournament since 2012. Maybe it’s time for a new strategy as this team takes so many lumps early on they might actually be wearing out come tournament time.
Regardless, Long Beach State has faced what amounts to a murder’s row already this season. Five road games against Top 20 neighborhood teams is a bit much for any Big West entry, at least in this observer’s opinion. Consequently, the 49ers are returning to Long Beach saddled with an ugly nine-game losing streak.
If the 49ers aren’t too discouraged, they should have great opportunity to take out some frustrations on tonight’s opponent. Pepperdine isn’t exactly sizzling to start the season, and the Waves could be in the wrong place at the wrong time tonight.
Pepperdine will also now be minus the services of senior guard Amadi Udenyi, who is lost for the season with an Achilles injury. Udenyi was hardly the most important guy on the Waves roster, but it’s still a significant loss. It likely means more minutes for freshman Elijah Lee, who has been a turnover machine early on in his maiden voyage as a collegian.
Another problem for Pepperdine is straight off the stat sheet. This team is absolutely atrocious at the foul line. The Waves are converting less than 60% of their free throws, which is absurdly awful.
The oddsmakers know the score here, as they’ve installed the 49ers as substantial chalk in spite of that nasty looking record. I feel the same way, and also believe that if they get a chance to make a statement here, they’re going to. Look for Long Beach State to crack the win column tonight by more than enough to cover the spread.