NCAA tournament trends: Betting the Final Four

Listed below are some interesting trends and angles for the Final Four and National title game as college basketball betting head to Atlanta this weekend. 

All results listed below are ATS (Against The Spread) and most recent since 1991 unless noted otherwise.

FINAL FOUR NOTES

• No. 1 Seed favorites 4 > pts are 6-1 ATS (Louisville)

• No. 8 or lower Seeds are 1-4 ATS (Wichita State)

• Favorites who won by 20 > pts are 0-4 ATS (Louisville)

• Favorites 4 > pts who scored 80 > pts in Elite Eight are 1-7 ATS (Louisville)

• Teams who are 4-0 ATS last four games are 8-15 ATS (Michigan, Wichita State)

• Big East teams are 0-3 ATS since 2004 (Louisville, Syracuse)

NATIONAL TITLE GAME NOTES


• No. 1 Seed favorites are 7-2 ATS

• No. 4 Seeds are 2-0 ATS

• No. 5 or worse Seeds are 0-5 SU and 1-4 ATS

• Favorites of 5 < pts are 11-1 ATS

• Favorites who scored 80 > pts in the Final Four are 5-1 ATS

• Teams with a win percentage of .810 < are 1-5 ATS

• Dogs > 2 pts who allowed 60 > pts in the Final Four are 0-5 ATS

• Dogs of 3 > pts off a SU dog win are 0-4 ATS

• Big East teams are 4-0 ATS

• Big 10 teams are 0-4 ATS

COACH ME UP

Louisville’s Rick Pitino is:

47-13 SU and 36-22-3 ATS in NCAA tournament
119-52 SU and 100-66-5 ATS vs. Big East
16-11 SU and 11-16 ATS vs. Big Ten
4-0 SU and 2-2 ATS vs. MVC
8-8 SU and 4-12 ATS vs. Beilein
12-5 SU and 10-6-1 ATS vs. Boeheim
0-0 SU and 0-0 ATS vs. Marshall

Michigan’s John Beilein is:

12-6 SU and 14-3-1 ATS in NCAA tournament
47-53 SU and 50-48-2 ATS vs. Big East
6-0 SU and 4-2 ATS vs. MVC
0-9 SU and 3-6 ATS vs. Boeheim
0-0    SU and 0-0 ATS vs. Marshall
2-2 SU AND 1-2-1 ATS vs. Pitino

Syracuse’s Jim Boeheim is:

34-18 SU and 27-21-2 ATS in NCAA tournament
13-4 SU and 11-6 ATS vs. Big Ten
292-160 SU and 219-227-5 ATS vs. Big East
4-1 SU and 3-2 ATS vs. MVC
9-0 SU and 6-3 ATS vs. Beilein
0-0    SU and 0-0 ATS vs. Marshall
1-0    5-12 SU and 6-10-1 ATS vs. Pitino

Wichita State’s Greg Marshall is:

4-1 SU and ATS in NCAA tournament
2-3 SU and 3-2 ATS vs. Big East
3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS vs. Big Ten
0-0 SU and 0-0 ATS vs. Belein
0-0 SU and 0-0 ATS vs. Boeheim
0-0 SU and 0-0 ATS vs. Pitino

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Posted by ScottLandau
1 year ago

Elite 8 Team won as Dogs in last 2+ Games = 1-8 ATS (Michigan) Elite 8 Team who covered last 3 and opponent did not = 6-23 ATS (Michigan / Wich St) (Lou failed ATS vs ORE & SYR Players all bet CAL, obviously)
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Posted by EazyE11
1 year ago

Ware was the backup guard. He was starting to really come on late this year, which is why the injury was so disappointing. And he is from the Atlanta area, where the Final 4 is this year. The Cards will rally around Kevin and Ricky P will have this team ready to go.
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Posted by flyguybry21
1 year ago

yes,Louisville wins it all,hands down!!!
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Posted by yaz
1 year ago

Good stuff but can Louisville win without Ware?
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Top Response

Posted by yaz
1 year ago

"Good stuff but can Louisville win without Ware?"