USA Today Sports

In low-scoring season, high-scoring conferences the best under bets

College basketball scores are down all over the country, with NCAA Div. 1 programs averaging just under 67.5 points per game.

According to a recent story in USA Today, this NCAAB season is on pace to become the lowest-scoring since 1952. The biggest culprits are conferences like the Mid-Eastern Athletic (62.04) and Southwestern Athletic (62.84) while leagues like the ACC (69.9) and West Coast Conference (70.1) are at the high end of the scale.

Oddsmakers have done a good job balancing the daily totals, with all lined games going 1,164-1,184 over/under as of Friday. However, there are a few conferences which have been very kind to fans of the under during this low-scoring season.

Scoring average is for all games involving teams from that conference as of Feb. 27. Over/under total from all lined games involving a team from that conference.

Pac-12

Scoring average: 69.49 points per game
Over/under: 87-138-2 over/under (61 percent)

The Pac-12 is among the highest-scoring conferences in the land but has constantly stayed under the number. The Pac-12 has a smaller sample size than some of the other major conferences due to the fact that many of its non-conference games were without totals. But the proof has been in the pudding during conference play, with the league boasting a collecting 33-55-1 over/under mark against each other heading into the weekend.

West Coast Conference

Scoring average: 70.09 points per game
Over/under: 66-93-1 (58 percent)

The WCC is the highest-scoring conference in college basketball, but much like the Pac-12, finds most of its games finishing below the total. The under is 39-26 in conference play (60 percent) with teams like Gonzaga and St. Mary’s staying below the number most nights. In fact, following Thursday’s win over BYU, which played under the 145-point total, the Bulldogs are 1-9 over/under in their last 10 games.

SEC

Scoring average: 69.08 points per game
Over/under: 125-148-3 (54 percent)

The SEC has some high-scoring members, like Ole Miss (79.3), but also some programs, like Mississippi State (59.2), which have struggled to put the ball in the basket. The Southeastern Conference boasts a 44-54-1 over/under count in league play heading into the weekend. Programs like Alabama (5-17 over/under) and South Carolina (6-12 over/under) have kept under bettors happy in the SEC.

Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference


Scoring average: 66.61 points per game
Over/under: 77-92-1 (54 percent)

The MAAC has been a quiet gold mine for under bettors. The league’s overall betting stats are smaller than the major conferences because many of its games don't have lines available. The MAAC has gone 32-42 over/under in conference clashes with teams like Rider (4-14 over/under) and Canisius (5-12 over/under) among the best under plays in college basketball.

Note: The lowest-scoring conferences – Mid-Eastern Athletic (62.04), Southwestern Athletic (62.84), America East (63.28) – have a combined over/under record of 15-17-2 in lined games this season.

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