AT&T Pebble Beach golf preview and picks
The PGA Tour goes back to California this week for the AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am. Pebble Beach Golf Links is one of three host courses for the event along with Spyglass Hill and Monterey Peninsula Country Club Shore Course which replaces Poppy Hills for a fourth straight year as one of the three courses that had been part of this rotation. A traditional playing cut of the top 60 and ties will be made after 54 holes on Saturday, giving players one extra day to make a move.
Pebble Beach is one of the players’ favorite stops on Tour and for good reason. Hitting greens is essential to provide birdie opportunities and scoring on the par-5s is also crucial. Experience has played a big role in this event and a good track record will take precedence over those who have not played much, or played well here in the past. Last year was just the second time in seven years at Pebble Beach that the average score was under par.
The defending champion is Phil Mickelson (+550) who came from six shots back entering the final day and shot 64 to win by two shots over Charlie Wi. Mickelson is coming off a wire-to-wire win in Scottsdale last week. He played his best golf of the young season by far and narrowly missed a Thursday 59. He has won here four times.
The short price on Dustin Johnson (+800) is certainly justified. He has won here twice and finished inside the top seven two other times, and this is only his sixth start here. Taking last week off should have him recharged.
This is the third straight week we will use Hunter Mahan (+1,800). After a T15 at the Farmers, he finished T16 at TPC Scottsdale and he certainly looks ready to break through. He has performed very well here over the last couple years as his T15 last year came after a solo second in 2011, where he finished two back of D.A. Points. It is interesting to note his two best rounds that year came at Pebble.
We used Jimmy Walker (+3,000) two weeks ago at Torrey Pines and if not for a Tiger Woods runaway, he was right in the thick of it. He finished T4 and after making the cut at the Phoenix Open last week, he has made the weekend in all four starts as well as 13 straight going back to last season. He finished T9 at Pebble Beach in 2011 thanks to a Sunday 75 and followed it up last year with another T9 finish.
Tim Clark (+3,500) opened the season with a solo second at the Sony Open in Hawaii but followed that up with a missed cut at the Humana Challenge. He came back last week and was average with a T49 but he returns to the AT&T for the first time since 2010 when he finished T10 and has never been outside the top 25 when making the weekend. Injuries forced him to miss the last two years but he is healthy this time around.
For a long shot, we will take a look at Matt Every (+7,500). After missing the cut in his first two starts this year, he made the weekend at the Farmers and then followed that up with a T9 last week, posting a 65 and 66 along the way. He missed the cut here last year but that came after a missed cut in his previous start, so the momentum is on his side here. Prior to that, he finished T31 in 2011 and T27 in 2010.
Recommended Tournament Win Five Pack at the AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am - All for 1 Unit
Dustin Johnson (+800)
Hunter Mahan (+1,800)
Jimmy Walker (+3,000)
Tim Clark (+3,500)
Matt Every (+7,500)
2012 Record after 36 events: +51.6 Units
2013 Record to date after 5 events: +7.5 Units
Hyundai Tournament of Champions -5 Units
Sony Open in Hawaii -5 Units
Humana Challenge - 5 Units
Farmer Insurance Open +3.5 Units
Waste Management Phoenix Open +19 Units