Exposing the Top 25: Where the polls went wrong
Each week throughout the college basketball season, Covers Expert Jesse Schule will dissect the new Top 25 rankings, looking for betting value. He'll showcase the most overrated team, along with the most underrated ranked team, and an unranked squad that he feels should be in the Top 25.
Most Underrated Top 25 Team - Minnesota Golden Gophers (15-2 SU, 11-4 ATS)
The Golden Gophers took an 11-game winning streak into Indiana when they faced the Hoosiers Saturday, and while the streak came to an end, they did give Indiana a run for its money. The Gophers have been a good bet all year. In fact, their record ATS is the best of any team in the Top 25.
They have played five ranked teams this season and have won three of those five games. Their only two losses came against Duke and Indiana, and both those teams have been ranked in the top spot in the country at some point during the season. Minnesota will be in danger of losing a third consecutive game as its host No. 3 Michigan Thursday.
Most Overrated Top 25 Team - Wichita State Shockers (15-2, 8-6 ATS)
The Shockers have an impressive record at 15-2 to start the season. But when you look at their opponents so far, it soon becomes apparent that they haven't really played anybody. They have taken advantage of an easy schedule, without playing a ranked opponent. They lost their last game at home to the Evansville Purple Aces by a score of 71-67.
They will take on Illinois State Wednesday, before playing No. 12 Creighton this weekend. It will mark the first time that either team has faced a Top 25 opponent. It's safe to assume that the loser of this meeting will be dropped from the rankings next week.
Unranked Team That Should Be Ranked – Oregon Ducks (14-2, 8-6 ATS)
The Ducks recently ended the Arizona Wildcats’ unbeaten run to start the season, winning 70-66 at home. The victory marked their second win over a Top-25 opponent this year, as they beat UNLV by a score of 83-79 in Las Vegas back in November. The Ducks are still unbeaten at home, with a record of 12-0 this season, and winners of 18 in a row dating back to last season.
They head out on the road Thursday to take on Pac-12 rivals USC and then they face an even tougher task versus UCLA in California over the weekend. While the game against UCLA is Oregon’s only meeting with a Top-25 team for the remainder of the season, it isn't as though their schedule is going to be easy. The Ducks will play home-and-home sets against Colorado, Utah, Cal and the Washington Huskies.