USA Today Sports

Fiesta Bowl: What bettors need to know

Oregon Ducks vs. Kansas State Wildcats (+8, 75.5)

WHEN: 8:30 PM ET, Thursday, January 3, 2013
WHERE: University of Phoenix Stadium, Phoenix, Arizona

FIESTA BOWL STORYLINES


1. Oregon and Kansas State could have been meeting in the BCS title game if not for both teams losing on Nov. 17. Instead, they form perhaps the top non-championship game pairing of the bowl season. The No. 3 Ducks had their title hopes derailed by Stanford while the No. 6 Wildcats were routed by Baylor.

2. Offensive theatrics should be plentiful with both teams having powerful attacks. Oregon ranks second in scoring at 50.8 points and fourth in total offense at 550.1 yards while featuring star runner Kenjon Barner (1,624 rushing yards). Kansas State averages 40.7 points and 411.2 yards with quarterback Collin Klein – third in Heisman Trophy balloting – leading the way.

3. Big plays on defense often tip the scales during the bowl season and both teams are among the best in the nation in takeaways. Oregon leads the nation with 39 and Kansas State has forced 31 turnovers. The Ducks have returned four interceptions for touchdown. The Wildcats have only committed 10 miscues in 12 games.

TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN.

LINE: Oregon opened at -8 and was bet up as high as -9.5 but money on KSU dropped the spread back to -8. The total moved from 77 to 75.5.

CONSENSUS: 51 percent of Covers Consensus picks are on Oregon while 68 percent are on the over.

TRENDS:


* Ducks are 2-5 ATS in their last seven non-conference games.
* Wildcats are 0-4 ATS in their last four bowl games.
* Under is 5-2 in Ducks' last seven bowl games.
* Over is 5-2 in Wildcats' last seven non-conference games.

ABOUT KANSAS STATE (11-1, 8-1 Big 12, 7-5 ATS): The Wildcats have lost four consecutive bowl games dating back to the 2002 Holiday Bowl during coach Bill Snyder’s first stint at the school. Klein is a multipurpose threat with 2,490 yards and 15 passing touchdowns to go with 890 yards and 22 scores on the ground. Junior John Hubert has rushed for 15 touchdowns to go with a team-leading 892 rushing yards, while senior wideout Chris Harper has a team-best 50 receptions for 786 yards. Harper began his career as a quarterback at Oregon before transferring. Kansas State allows only 99.3 rushing yards per game and boasts big-time talent in senior middle linebacker Arthur Brown – the Big 12 Defensive Player of the Year – junior free safety Ty Zimmerman (five interceptions) and senior defensive end Meshak Williams (8.5 sacks). Senior cornerback Allen Chapman and senior cornerback Nigel Malone also have five interceptions apiece.

ABOUT OREGON (11-1, 8-1 Pac-12, 9-2-1 ATS):
The Ducks could be playing their final game under coach Chip Kelly as rumors swirl that he is headed to the NFL. Redshirt freshman quarterback Marcus Mariota has thrived under Kelly’s progressive system, completing 69.9 percent of his passes for 2,511 yards and 30 touchdowns. Sophomore running back De’Anthony Thomas had 16 total touchdowns, including 11 on the ground while complementing Barner. Senior defensive end Dion Jordan is the leader of the defense with 10.5 tackles for losses. Junior defensive end Taylor Hart has a team-best eight sacks while sophomore cornerback Ifo Ekpre-Olomu has blossomed as a huge playmaker. Ekpre-Olomu is tied for the team lead with sophomore middle linebacker Kiko Alonso for most interceptions (four) and also has forced six fumbles.

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Posted by veronica27
1 year ago

final score 35 - 17 I go 0 -2 ... neither team made it to 45 .. kst looked lackluster bad all the way around .. never caught any breaks or mistakes from oreg .. the mighty F/U COMBO CASHES ON THURS NIGHT IN NCAAF BOWL . WONT CRY FIX .. WOULD BE TOO EASY . oreg d played well making the kst qb look like he did not belong . I must add if this game was played on fri sat it would have been mad scoring .. lol in my normal thinking I would bang this to go under ... but .. ooh well . congrats to oreg and under backers . note >> when a total is gonna soar ? we know you cant set a total in the 80s what do they do ? they make it high but they cant make it too obvious right .. it can only be set so high . biggest overriding factor that made this total go way under ? kst offense was very bad .
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Posted by veronica27
1 year ago

I was just reading some threads on here and as always I was reading about the public is on this and that SO IT MUST BE NO GOOD ? LOL seems the higher %s are always on the fav so why is that even a factor in your decision ? like it would really say the public is backing kan st vs oreg -8.5 ? IF IT READ THAT THE PUBLIC WAS BACKING KAN ST THEN THAT MUST BE NO GOOD HUH .. AMAZING . I SAY THE SAME THINGS BUT REALLY IN REAL TIME ? it will always say the higher % is on the FAVORITE <<<< AND WHY WOULDNT IT . FAV IS A FAV FOR A REASON NO .. THE PT SPREAD IS THE CATCH . GL
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Posted by veronica27
1 year ago

now dont get me wrong .. it is all up to the coaches .. if they want to slow it down and basically trick everyone .. that is always a possibility in any sport 24/7 . predictabilty ? oreg will go for 2 instead of kicking the extra pt ? lol if they stick to the usual gameplans and style of play i like the winning team to score no less than 45 .. so as long as the losing team doesn't lose by more than 2 tds .. the over is good . gl say 45 - 38 = 83 yippies .......... the how high can you make a total when you know it will soar ? loves it .
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Posted by veronica27
1 year ago

this game may fall under the how high can you make a total when it will soar way beyond reason .. same as how can you set a total when you think it will be lucky if the teams combine for 17 pts .. looking for the over .. how high or low can you set a total for 2nd half when you know it will be ridiculous or a so - called who knew .. they usually set it at or around half the original total .. lol last night was a fluke on the over with the fla game .. the pick 6 by lville on the first play of the game made it all happen (momentum) .. the most pts scored so far in a bowl this year was game 1 with nev 48 and 49 ariz .. 97 pts !!! yippie ki - yay ! gl to all this game might have a lower total if it was cold .. weather could produce it .. but .. it is indoors . when it is 24 - 21 at half ? uh huh then you will wish you were on the over ..
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Posted by ApocalypseLater
1 year ago

of course Joe Pub is all over Oregon, and very few people like Kansas St... Joe public expects a shootout, and very few people are on the under... K St +8.5 and Under 75... i think K St will win it, but it could go either way... but i think the dog covers the spread regardless...
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Posted by WinsNow999
1 year ago

Base on the lines movement; UNDERDOG AND UNDER!!!!!----But I felt the favorite and UNDER! Quack! Quack! Quack!
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Posted by barlowmi
1 year ago

Few stats to keep in mind. Both teams are 11-1 on the season K State is 10-2 ATS Oregon is 7-5 ATS Both have gone OVER in 4 of their last 5 games Should be an action packed game. Current odds I am seeing at 8.5 (hate those evil half points). BUtthat is alot of points consideringboth are solid teams. I see a Ducks win but not too certain they can cover thespread. K State might be theplay, even though Ill be rooting for the Ducks.
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Posted by SportsPredictor
1 year ago

Expecting Oregon QB Marcus Mariota (2511 YDs and 30 TDs) and RB De'Anthony Thomas (686 YDs rushing with 16 TD!), to pull away from QB Collin Klein and put this one away in the third quarter! Going LARGE with Marcus Mariota! GLTA :)
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Posted by Parlayed
1 year ago

Ducks minus 8 and Under 75.5
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Posted by ISTHEREAGOD
1 year ago

Kansas State +8 its going to be a close game
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Top Response

Posted by Parlayed
1 year ago

"Ducks minus 8 and Under 75.5"

Unknown error.