USA TODAY Sports

Music City Bowl: What bettors need to know

North Carolina State vs. Vanderbilt (-7, 52)

When: 12:00 PM ET, Monday, December 31, 2012
Where: LP Field, Nashville, Tennessee

FRANKLIN AMERICAN MORTGAGE MUSIC CITY BOWL STORYLINES

1. North Carolina State boasts one of the top passing offenses in the nation, ranking 20th nationally with 304 passing yards per game, while Vanderbilt ranks 10th in the nation against the pass (175.8).

2. With six straight wins, Vanderbilt is riding its longest winning streak since 1955 and trying to match the program's single-season record of nine victories set in 1904 and tied in 1915. The Commodores' last bowl victory was a 16-14 win against Boston College in the 2008 Music City Bowl.

3. Offensive coordinator and quarterbacks coach Dana Bible will serve as N.C. State's acting coach. The Wolfpack hired Dave Doeren away from BCS-bound Northern Illinois, but Doeren will be a spectator on New Year's Eve.

TV: 12 p.m. ET, ESPN.

LINE: Vandy opened as a 5.5-point favorite at some offshores and is now a touchdown fave at most shops.

CONSENSUS:
Nearly 58 percent of Covers Consensus players like Vanderbilt to cover while 54 percent are on the over.

WEATHER:
Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the low-40s with a 30 percent chance of showers. Winds will blow out of the south at 5 mph.

TRENDS:


* Wolfpack are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five bowl games.
* Commodores are 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall.
* Over is 8-2 in Commodores’ last 10 games following a win.
* Under is 5-2 in Wolfpack’s last seven games overall.

ABOUT N.C. STATE (7-5, 4-4 ACC):
The Wolfpack are one of only 12 schools from BCS automatic-qualifying conferences who have won bowl games each of the past two years. N.C. State's ability to extend that streak likely depends on which defense shows up - the one that allowed 33 or more points five times, including 62 against Clemson, or the one that shut down high-powered Florida State. Quarterback Mike Glennon (3,648 pass yards, 30 touchdowns, 14 interceptions) leads the offense, and while the run game hasn't consistently produced, freshman Shadrach Thornton rushed for 329 of his 655 yards in the final three games of the regular season.

ABOUT VANDERBILT (8-4, 5-3 SEC):
The Commodores enjoyed their best regular-season in nearly three decades on the strength of a stout defense that ranked 17th in total yards allowed (326.4) and 15th in scoring (18.2). The offense is unremarkable but steady and balanced, with running back Zac Stacy (1,034 yards, nine touchdowns) leading the ground game and Jordan Rodgers (2,431 pass yards, 13 touchdowns, five interceptions) and Jordan Matthews (87 catches, 1,262 yards, seven touchdowns) providing a prolific passing connection.

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Posted by RapeStove
1 year ago

Must be very careful who your statistics are compile against: Vanderbilt ranks 10th nationally in passing yards per game allowed, fifth in pass efficiency defense, fifth in yards per attempt allowed, eighth in opponents' completion percentage and inside the top 20 in a host of more advanced metrics. But Vandy has seen one good passing team this season (Week 4 against Georgia, which routed the Commodores 48-3) and one decent one (Week 11 versus Ole Miss, which gained 403 passing yards). With Tom Obrien out,,,,,Off. Coordinator Dana Bible takes over for one game. He is going to put potential 1st qb drafted Mike Glennon on his WolfBack. Vandy also played ALL of the lower SEC teams to beef up their schedule. Vandy is certainly a nice story....and a nice team.....but this game will be close, or possibly even an outright NC St. win......Nc St. 31-28
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Posted by anterazor
1 year ago

30% chance of showers, 40degrees cold weather. ball control and clock management......UNDER 52.5
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Posted by nc1capper
1 year ago

Vandy -6.5
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Top Response

Posted by RapeStove
1 year ago

"Must be very careful who your statistics are compile against: Vanderbilt ranks 10th nationally in passing yards per game allowed, fifth in pass efficiency defense, fifth in yards per attempt allowed, eighth in opponents' completion percentage and in..."