Football lines that make you go hmmm...

Jason Logan
There are beatings on the scoreboard and beatings on the field. Alabama prefers to do both.

The Crimson Tide have long been respected for their physical style, leaving opponents licking their wounds for weeks after their run in with Alabama. And plenty of college football bettors look to fade a program following a game with the Tide, knowing that last weekend’s wounds are still fresh.

Alabama’s opponents have gone just 2-3 SU (3-2 ATS) in the next matchup following a date with the defending national champs this year. Last season, foes finished with a combined 4-6 SU and ATS count (minus FCS Georgia Southern and Auburn in the final regular season game) after playing Nick Saban’s guys.

The Missouri Tigers and Tennessee Volunteers are the latest victims to peel themselves off the turf after being trampled by the Crimson Elephant in their most recent “efforts”.

The Tigers had the benefit of a bye week to glue together all the pieces following a 42-10 kick in the teeth by Bama in Week 7. The Volunteers, however, don’t have much time to ice down from a 44-13 thrashing before traveling to South Carolina Saturday.

Oddsmakers have thrown tough lines out for those two SEC punching bags, tagging Missouri as a 13.5-point home favorite versus 1-7 SU Kentucky and settling Tennessee as a two-touchdown pup in Columbia.

The Tigers are still without QB James Franklin but will want to put on a good show for homecoming Saturday. The Wildcats showed some fight against Georgia last week, but caught the Bulldogs in a look-ahead spot with Florida on deck in Week 9.

The Vols could have RB Rajion Neal, who leads the team in touchdowns (7), back in action after missing Alabama last weekend. But South Carolina is going to be pissed after getting blown out in Gainesville last Saturday.

Here are some other football odds making bettors go “hmmm…” heading into the weekend:


New Orleans Saints at Denver Broncos (-6, 54.5)

The massive total may be stealing some of the thunder from this odd line that has NFL fans on the fence.

The Saints have climbed out of the “Bounty Gate” sludge with back-to-back wins but Denver stole America’s heart with a come-from-behind win on Monday Night Football before heading into the bye week.

Whether you think New Orleans is back or that Denver is dominant at home, all those points have to make you nervous.

Oakland Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs (-1, 41)

Holy crap the Chiefs are favorites!

Kansas City, with Brady Quinn under center, is giving one point to the Raiders in Arrowhead this Sunday, marking the first time this year K.C. has been the betting chalk.

In fact, the Chiefs were favorites just four times last season, going 0-4 SU and ATS in those games including a 16-13 overtime loss to Oakland as – you guessed it – 1-point home faves.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Minnesota Vikings (-6.5, 41.5)

This standalone Thursday nighter is hovering around the key number, showing that books have faith in the Vikings’ 5-2 SU start – but not too much faith.

Some places are dealing a hard touchdown, giving seven points to a scrappy Bucs squad that is much better than its 2-4 SU record suggests. Tampa Bay is 13-6-1 ATS in its last 20 road trips and has won and covered in its last five meetings with Minnesota, going back to 2001.

Any other football odds making you go "hmmm..." as we head into the weekend? Tell us in the comments section below.

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Posted by jerseyjohnny77
4 years ago

tampa is getting better, ponder is showing signs of panic. tease it up 2 7.5

Posted by Redbull88
4 years ago

im going with Tampa +6.5.. If Vegas thought Vikings would win.. the line would be at -7.. -6.5 is a bait and trap.. good luck!!

Posted by Financiallocks
4 years ago

I have been doing this for decades and I also look for the lines that make u go hmmmm. What I look for are the lines that really stand out and at first glance seem like a straight lock. Anytime I use that word I know there is something in the air that just smells wrong. Then I bet heavy opposite once I see the public has taken the bait. They are the hardest bets to make, but if you feel crazy for taking it and you are the minority then you are riding with Vegas, and you know that's the best side to be on. Best, FL

Posted by nittanylion22
4 years ago

Not bad i agree with your article on all but 1 game the thursday nighter tampa bay at minnesota here is why.Minnesota won and covered the spread for me last sunday against a decent cardinals squad, they beat san fransico at home the biggest win of thier season so far, the vikings are way too dominant at home for the bucs and i think adrian peterson will be too much for the bucs d to handle and percy harvin too who fantasy owners have jumped all over.Vikings win 27-17.New Orleans will keep sunday nights showdown in denver close it will be a shootout and i like the saints +6 and the over 54.5 2 good quarterbacks going up against each other but i like the saints to cover the spread.Oakland at Kansas City is a pick game for me neither team is great but it is a divison game the chiefs are undermanned at qb and the raiders did do well at atlanta on the road and played good defense which is what i see this game coming down to the raiders defense will win them this game i like the silver and black raiders to win 20-17.
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Top Response

Posted by Redbull88
4 years ago

"im going with Tampa +6.5.. If Vegas thought Vikings would win.. the line would be at -7.. -6.5 is a bait and trap.. good luck!!"