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Texans or Jets? Bloggers debate who will cover

The NFL’s top team, the Houston Texans, roll into MetLife Stadium to battle the New York Jets on Monday Night Football.

Oddsmakers have set the undefeated Texans as 9-point road favorites and in order to get a better handle on that big spread, we’ve acquired the help of two team experts. Michael Wood of Houston blog “Texans 101” and Joe Caporoso of New York blog “Turn On The Jets” put on the gloves for our latest Monday night debate.

THREE REASONS WHY HOUSTON WILL COVER



Michael Wood writes for Texans 101. You can follow them on Facebook and on Twitter @Texans_101.


Texans’ pass defense

The Texans enter the game as the NFL’s fourth-ranked pass defense, with DE J.J. Watt leading the pass rush with a league-high 7.5 sacks. The Texans have absolutely tormented opposing QBs this season, posting a combined QB rating of 68.2, which drops to 59.02 when you take out Peyton Manning’s Week 3 performance. The Jets, on the other hand, have struggled mightily throwing the ball. Mark Sanchez has been abysmal and has now lost his No. 1 WR, Santonio Holmes, for the season.

Absence of Darrelle Revis

If there is one position of weak depth on the Texans, it’s wide receiver. The Texans utilize a number of pass catchers, but few put pressure on the outside besides Andre Johnson. However, with no Revis, the Jets will be forced to dedicate extra coverage Johnson’s way at least on occasion, opening things up for the other Texans receivers in the pass game. When coupled with the Texans’ run game and play-action passing attack, the Jets’ defenders could be in for a long night.

Turnovers

The Texans defense has been particularly nasty to young quarterbacks this season while protecting the ball well offensively. The same can’t be said for the Jets, who are minus-2 in the turnover column compared to the Texans’ plus-7. The big difference here is the Texans have only turned the ball over twice while the Jets have turned it over eight times. With a Texans defense that has a nose for the football and a QB in Mark Sanchez whom has a knack for throwing interceptions, the Texans could be looking at a huge advantage.

FINAL SCORE PREDICTION:
Houston 31, New York 10

In all four games, the Texans have gotten out to 20-point leads behind a balanced offensive attack and stifling defense. As the more talented team across the board, the Texans are likely to find themselves ahead at some point, which puts the Jets into the same trap as the Texans’ past opponents. The Jets will be forced to throw the ball which is exactly when the Texans take advantage of young, inexperienced or below-average QBs.

THREE REASONS WHY NEW YORK WILL COVER



Joe Caporoso is the Owner/Editor-In-Chief of Turn On The Jets. You can follow them on Facebook and Twitter @TurnOnTheJets.


Pride


The New York Jets were humiliated on their home field last Sunday and there isn’t a football analyst alive who doesn’t think it won’t happen again Monday night. Despite their injuries and lack of overall talent, the Jets still have a core group of very good players who have won playoff games coached by Rex Ryan. It is hard to imagine this team just laying down and taking another beating for the second week in a row, particularly at home and in front of the whole country.

Tebow Apocalypse


This entire roster has to know that another ugly loss means Tim Tebow becomes the starting quarterback. Mark Sanchez is playing for his job and the entire roster is playing to avoid an option-read offense, traveling media-circus. Desperate times will hopefully lead to a competitive game from this overmatched roster.

Kitchen sink

A mismatch like this on paper should lead to the Jets emptying their playbook on both sides of the ball. Look for a healthy share of trick plays on offense and a few new blitz schemes from Rex Ryan. I also wouldn’t write off a fake punt or field goal, along with maybe a surprise onside kick. The Jets quietly have a very good special teams unit, so they may be able to manufacture points in that way.

FINAL SCORE PREDICTION:
Houston 23, New York 17

The Jets will stay scrappy for a few quarters but ultimately won’t be able to come up with a big play late to win the game. Mark Sanchez will be just serviceable enough to keep his starting job another week. This game will be competitive mainly because of the Jets defense, which will have a throwback performance of sorts, keeping Arian Foster and Ben Tate in relative check along with forcing a turnover or two.

Join the debate. Who will cover the spread Monday night?

If you have any feedback or suggestions for our Editorial Team, please contact us at Editorial

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Posted by oldtexx
2 years ago

PARLAY>>>>>>>>>>>>>Jets & under..............
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Posted by Plisskin76
2 years ago

what do bloggers know anyway? hey bloggers,where's your w/l records?
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Posted by macuto16
2 years ago

ITS MONDAY ? HOUSTON LOOK VERY EASY TO CASH BUT I WIL TAKE THE JETS +10
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Posted by BradsBargains
2 years ago

Ticket#:75856535 Oct 07 08:32 PM Oct 07 08:32 PM Oct 08 08:40 PM INTERNET / -1 Oct 07 07:46 PM 3T TEASER FB 6PTS, [433] SAN DIEGO +9½-110 (B+6) [433] TOTAL o47-110 (B+6) (SAN DIEGO vrs NEW ORLEANS) [435] HOUSTON -2½-110 (B+6) 500 / 900 Ticket#:75895447 Oct 08 08:35 PM INTERNET / -1 Oct 08 05:51 PM NFL STRAIGHT BET [84004] JETS ADJUSTED #1 +3½+180 500 / 900 I'm hoping for Houston to win by 3, that way I will win both wagers!!
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Posted by BSB_Connaisseur
2 years ago

Houston is starting 4-0 and finally wanting to prove their identity in the league. Matt Schaub (105.3 QB %, 3rd in NFL) has been stellar so far this season and powering his unit is the 7th ranked rushing offense in the NFL going against NY Jets' weak 31st rushing defense. It allowed San Francisco 16 rushing 1st downs in last week blowout loss. The play actions ran by the Texans on 1 & 2nd downs will continue to give trouble to secondaries, especially one that's deprived of its leader, Darelle Revis, who was recently lost for the season. Look for oversized Andre Johnson (6'3'') to have a hey day vs. smaller sized DB (only one starter above 6'0''). Sanchez has simply been non-existent for the Jets so far this season, finishing with a QB rating of below 70.0 in 3 of his first 4 games, although he hasn't received much support from his rushing offense, who currently sits 25th in the league at a mere 86.5 yrs/game. With Houston's hungry rushing defense decently sitting 10th in NFL for yards allowed per game, the Jets desperately need a strong passing game. But with Santonio Holmes now out, who does this team really have to throw to? Chaz Schilens? Seriously? Wade Phillips' creative defensive schemes are popular with his front 7 defenders, who are having fun being part of this pass rushing defense. Expect them to give plenty of trouble to NY's offense, who's only managed one TD in their last 34 possessions. Some might say Sanchez's pride will help him get back up from this terrible loss last week, but recent history proves different. In fact, Sanchez his 0-3 in his last 3 games following a blowout loss of 21+ pts. Hoping for some Teebow magic ? Well let's just say it's a well known fact around the league that Timmy ain't the best passing QB, which leaves him his legs. But the Texans linebacker core, overhauled by sack-leader J.J. Watts (7.5 sacks), will be all over those odd QB rushes that already had that déjà vu taste in pre-game video sessions. Fat Rex will need to make up a few more excuses for another devastating loss, Texans 35 Jets 10
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Posted by BSB_Connaisseur
2 years ago

Houston is starting 4-0 and finally wanting to prove their identity in the league. Matt Schaub (105.3 QB %, 3rd in NFL) has been stellar so far this season and powering his unit is the 7th ranked rushing offense in the NFL going against NY Jets' weak 31st rushing defense. It allowed San Francisco 16 rushing 1st downs in last week blowout loss. The play actions ran by the Texans on 1 & 2nd downs will continue to give trouble to secondaries, especially one that's deprived of its leader, Darelle Revis, who was recently lost for the season. Look for oversized Andre Johnson (6'3'') to have a hey day vs. smaller sized DB (only one starter above 6'0''). Sanchez has simply been non-existent for the Jets so far this season, finishing with a QB rating of below 70.0 in 3 of his first 4 games, although he hasn't received much support from his rushing offense, who currently sits 25th in the league at a mere 86.5 yrs/game. With Houston's hungry rushing defense decently sitting 10th in NFL for yards allowed per game, the Jets desperately need a strong passing game. But with Santonio Holmes now out, who does this team really have to throw to? Chaz Schilens? Seriously? Wade Phillips' creative defensive schemes are popular with his front 7 defenders, who are having fun being part of this pass rushing defense. Expect them to give plenty of trouble to NY's offense, who's only managed one TD in their last 34 possessions. Some might say Sanchez's pride will help him get back up from this terrible loss last week, but recent history proves different. In fact, Sanchez his 0-3 in his last 3 games following a blowout loss of 21+ pts. Hoping for some Teebow magic ? Well let's just say it's a well known fact around the league that Timmy ain't the best passing QB, which leaves him his legs. But the Texans linebacker core, overhauled by sack-leader J.J. Watts (7.5 sacks), will be all over those odd QB rushes that already had that déjà vu taste in pre-game video sessions. Fat Rex will need to make up a few more excuses for another devastating loss, Texans 35 Jets 10
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Posted by tylerikeda
2 years ago

Over 40.5 hands down. Last meeting was over 50 points. Now Texas offense is producing points like there is no tomorrow and take into consideration Sanchez's job on the line. Lay the over!
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Posted by tylerikeda
2 years ago

Over 40.5 hands down. Last meeting was over 50 points. Now Texas offense is producing points like there is no tomorrow and take into consideration Sanchez's job on the line. Lay the over!
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Posted by hvacdawg
2 years ago

remember the titans game? anything can happen on monday night.
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Posted by ShadowWarrior
2 years ago

Houston should dismantle a desperate NYJ team. Desperate! Unless this is another trap game like last nite, NO Saints so Bree's could break Johnny U. All-time consec. Passes for TDs, the spread was daring you to take NO. How can the favored team be a winless 0-4? Tonight's spread looks more legitimate. Tebow should not make a difference unless there is a conspiracy for him to be a starter in the NFL where most analysts have said he does not have the skills to be a starting NFL qb. Tight end maybe! Full sports day with MLB Wild Card games going on. Maybe a money line parlay to erase the spread?
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Posted by dyamarik
2 years ago

Not a great game to wager on, but I think it is too many points for a home dog, esp. off the embarassing loss. Too many situational angles that support taking the big dog at home off a bad loss. I think the Jets take better care of the ball and stop putting themsleves in bad field position situations like they did against SF. Not that impressed with the slate of teams Houston has beaten, and Denver showed that if you limit TO's you can hang with them. I know Sanchez is no Peyton, but he also isn't completely useless. And no, I am not a JETS fan. Good luck to all whatever you choose. I think Houston 27 NYJ 19 for final in a ATS nailbiter, with a very good chance of JETS backers rooting for the backdoor cover.
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Posted by chickenisgood
2 years ago

Foster will have close to 100 yards in the first half and Tate will do the same in the 2nd half. HOU will dominate with time of possession forcing Sanchez to throw. HOU's DEF line is licking its chops. We might even see Tebow tonight if Sanchez gets pounded hard enough. NYJ's DEF has been exposed minus Revis and now with Holmes gone on OFF NYJ is a shell. SF showed that last week. HOU 42 NYJ 9
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Posted by chickenisgood
2 years ago

Foster will have close to 100 yards in the first half and Tate will do the same in the 2nd half. HOU will dominate with time of possession forcing Sanchez to throw. HOU's DEF line is licking its chops. We might even see Tebow tonight if Sanchez gets pounded hard enough. NYJ's DEF has been exposed minus Revis and now with Holmes gone on OFF NYJ is a shell. SF showed that last week. HOU 42 NYJ 9
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Posted by gkkermo
2 years ago

TEXANOS POR MAS DE -10 GO HOUSTON YEP YEP
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Posted by Amazing1one
2 years ago

It's Tebow Time after this beat down the Jets will take tonight..
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Posted by rkapur105
2 years ago

Classic trap game, hot 4-0 team playing on the road against a beaten down, embarrassed home dog. Take the points
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Posted by nc1capper
2 years ago

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Posted by PlayaP
2 years ago

Sorry jet win straight up,
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Posted by lucky leo
2 years ago

I did look at a system that covers at a good rate. Bet a team to cover after getting shut out. Thats the jets. fyi.
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Posted by hangtyme
2 years ago

if houston don"t win by 17 i stop sports betting so, i know my wife is pulling for tebow
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Posted by lmstudfosho
2 years ago

Gotta hand it to the covers staff for trying to come up with points why the Jets cover... I still think the Texans will cover easy in this game (10+ points ). Both teams defense will keep this game low scoring. Being a Monday Night game, the public will most likely bet is total up a little higher that it really should be. Take the Texans and the UNDER and cash a ticket. Happy Monday :-)
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Posted by MNFTheory
2 years ago

I just played (HOUSTON + OVER). Road over & Home Under is the trend for Monday Night Game.
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Posted by YukonTrav
2 years ago

have to agree with lendog here ... the Jets will 'fight the good fight', but they are coming to the battle with swords and clubs, and Houston is bring semi-automatic weapons on both sides of the ball ... but, fack, that's why they play the game :) Big kudos to the Colts for winning that game today, that's really impressive ... finally, is it time to demote the Jags (Rags, as in monthly) to NCAA??
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Posted by lendog121
2 years ago

houston will cover and make tebow the new starter
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Top Response

Posted by BSB_Connaisseur
2 years ago

"Houston is starting 4-0 and finally wanting to prove their identity in the league. Matt Schaub (105.3 QB %, 3rd in NFL) has been stellar so far this season and powering his unit is the 7th ranked rushing offense in the NFL going against NY Jets' weak..."