Ravens' rough schedule gives value to Thursday's total
Complaining about replacement officials will suck most of the oxygen out of the air this week, masking what quite possibly could be a horrid game when the Browns travel to Baltimore Thursday night.
The Baltimore Ravens will be playing their fourth game in a span of 17 days, and the Browns their fourth in 18 days (essentially the same, since one day will be spent for travel). Toss in a half-dozen confused officials, and this one has the potential to be a real stinker.
Baltimore, 2-1 ATS and SU after that bizarre win over New England Sunday night, has gone over the total in three straight games as it starts to protect its aging defense with an offense that can actually move the ball. Cleveland is, well, Cleveland, and that’s never good.
“I think Baltimore’s offense is simply too strong for the Browns to deal with,” notes Covers Expert Jesse Schule
. “The line (Ravens -13.5) seems fair enough to me.”
Schule advises bettors to take a look at the total, which opened at 45 points but has been wagered down to 43.5 at most books.
“The Ravens defense hasn’t exactly looked unbeatable lately,” says Schule. “The real value in this game might lie with a play on the over.”
An over finish would be an anomaly in this series’ recent history. The Ravens and Browns have gone under five of the last six meetings, mainly because Cleveland has averaged only nine points a game against Baltimore since 2009.
Like in politics, it’s hard to beat somebody with nobody, and the Browns offense has been typically inept this season. Against the Bills last week, Cleveland started the game with three straight three-and-outs. The Browns’ last win was before Thanksgiving last season and they haven’t beaten a plus-.500 team since they surprised New England early in 2010.