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It's two teams going different ways when Minnesota and Detroit play Saturday afternoon and with the price being where it is, I'll be selecting the Tigers on the Run Line (-1.5). Detroit has taken the first two games of this series, 7-6 and 6-0. I envision the game today playing out like yesterday's where Anibal Sanchez took a no-hitter into the 9th inning. Minnesota has now lost 10 in a row.
Here are my keys to the game:
1. Recent Results - While the Twins have been losing, the Tigers have been winning - four straight, in fact. Detroit is averaging over seven runs per game during this time frame. Meanwhile, Minnesota is struggling badly. Four players in yesterday's lineup came in batting .212 or worse on the season. Any time a team has lost 10 games in a row, there's a multitude of things going wrong. Such is the case with the Twins right now.
2. Homefield Advantage - The Tigers continue to get the job done at Comerica Park this season. They are 15-7 at home and averaging more than six runs per game there. Obviously, it's going to be tough for Minnesota to match that kind of production.
3. X-Factor - The Tigers have a deep rotation and after having to deal with Sanchez yesterday, the Twins face Doug Fister Saturday afternoon. Fister threw his own complete game shutout against Minnesota the last time he faced them, which was last September. He's a perfect 4-0 at home this season with a 3.00 ERA.
Selection: This is a Run Line Play (-1.5) on the Detroit Tigers (1*).