How RB Redd's transfer will impact USC, Penn State odds
Running back Silas Redd has decided to leave Penn State and transfer to USC following the NCAA’s punishment of the program in the wake of the Sandusky sex abuse scandal. USC is the odds on favorite to win the BCS National Championship at most sportsbooks.
Redd, who announced his decision Tuesday afternoon, gives an already-stacked USC team a potent option at running back. He rushed for 1,241 yards and seven touchdowns in his sophomore season with PSU, averaging over five yards per carry.
Despite the addition of Redd, the Trojans’ outright BCS odds may not move. According to Andrew Patterson, an oddsmaker for the Las Vegas Sports Consultants, Southern Cal will likely stay around +400 – just behind current BCS favorite LSU at +150.
“He’s probably a half-point upgrade over what they have now,” Patterson told Covers. “But (USC is) already getting overvalued and it gets worse if you drop them. If they don’t move, perhaps you're getting better value.”
Redd joins a USC backfield which includes fellow rusher Curtis McNeal and Heisman-hopeful quarterback Matt Barkley. Penn State is left with receiver-turned-running back Bill Belton and looked to Redd as a steady offensive threat with quarterback issues plaguing the program the past two seasons. The Nittany Lions also lost second-string QB Robert Bolden to transfer following the NCAA sanctions.
“Redd is worth a lot more to Penn State, like 1.5-points (on the pointspread) over his replacement,” says Patterson. “I don’t see anyone who is going to stick out and fill that void.”
Redd was able to transfer without waiting the standard one year due to the NCAA penalties handed down to Penn State. The Nittany Lions have no BCS futures odds available due to the fact that they were served a four-year postseason ban.
Southern Cal is a -153 favorite to win the Pac-12.