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I've cashed the Cardinals multiple times earlier in the week as a free play winner and think Saturday happens to be a good time to jump on them again as they host the Milwaukee Brewers. They took Friday's opener, 7-6, which was their 13th win in 16 games. Milwaukee is going the other way right now, losing 13 of 15. This series appears to be a big mismatch. St. Louis is now 7-1 vs. Milwaukee this year.
Here are my keys to the game:
1. Lance Lynn - I have to start here. He's 6-1 in his eight starts with a 2.88 ERA. At home, he's 4-0 with a 2.00 ERA. Since his 1st start of the year, he's allowed more than three runs only one time. Needless to say, I don't think Brewers starter Marco Estrada will be much match for him. Estrada has an 8.22 ERA his last three starts, though he did win his last.
2. Hitting woes - The bottom four hitters in Milwaukee's lineup showed why they are hitting higher in the order Friday night, going a combined 0 for 15 Friday. Heading into yesterday, the Brewers were averaging just 3.3 runs per game on the road.
3. X-Factor - The Cardinals seem to have solved their previous bullpen woes somewhat with Edward Mujica having saved all 12 games in 12 opportunities.
Selection: The play is on the St. Louis Cardinals (1*).