Colorado’s lost 18 of its last 23 at Petco where Cashner owns a career 2.71 ERA...
My free play is on the SD Padres at 10:10 ET.
Colorado had lost FIVE in a row when it opened its season’s-longest road trip in Arizona over the weekend. The Rockies opened their 10-game trip with a promising sweep of Arizona, scoring 20 runs on 32 hits in the series. However, that modest three-game winning streak come to an end in Monday’s 2-1 loss to the Padres. The Rockies average 5.32 runs per game in 2016 (4th-highest in MLB) but Monday's 2-1 defeat is, for Colorado fans, is an all too familiar result in the team’s last 23 games in San Diego (dating to September 6, 2013).
The Rockies have lost 18 of those 23 games, scoring only 2.78 RPG. In fact, the Rockies' 2.90 runs per game at Petco Park since the start of the 2014 season are fewer than any other ballpark in which they have played more than eight games! However, there is some good news for Colorado. A matchup against Andrew Cashner may be “just what the doctor ordered” to cure Colorado's ‘ailing’ bats here at Petco. Cashner (1-2, 4.94 ERA) is coming off his worst outing of the season (and his shortest outing since 2013), allowing six runs (three earned) on four hits and four walks over just 2.2 innings in Wednesday's 13-9 loss at San Francisco. Cashner had surrendered just two runs and seven hits in 12 innings over his previous two starts.
That game was the aberration, the last one in San Francisco," manager Andy Green told MLB's official website. "He has to attack with the fastball, he has to trust it. He needs to have that depth of conviction in every pitch, and when he does that, Cash is really, really good. And that's the guy I'm expecting to toe the rubber." Then again, Cashner's career numbers against Colorado don't provoke nearly as much confidence as his manager does. He owns a 6.08 ERA against the Rockies in 11 appearances (including six starts / team is 3-3) but Colorado has pounded him for a .339 average (the highest of any team he's faced more than once).
Eddie Butler (0-0, 3.86 ERA) will make his first start of the season tonight, after throwing 2.1 innings of relief against Pittsburgh in his season debut Wednesday. “In the short outing we saw the other day, he was throwing strikes again,” manager Walt Weiss told reporters. “He did that in the minor leagues, and he’s always been a strike thrower.” The 25-year-old was brutal in 2015, going went 3-10 (5.90 ERA) last season in 16 starts, with one of the losses coming at San Diego on May 1, 2015, when he allowed five runs (three earned) over four innings.
Considering Colorado’s woes at Petco, along with Butler’s rough 2015 numbers, the Rockies hardly figure to have an easy time in this one. Throw in the fact that Cashner owns a career 2.71 ERA in Petco (his 1st two 2016 starts came at home / 1.50 ERA) and I’m on the home team in this contest.