It doesn't seem fair, but the New England Patriots got the easiest schedule based on opponents' 2011 records. Their opponents went 116-140 (.453).
Let's look at teams that don't have it so easy. Here are the five teams facing the toughest schedules.
NEW YORK GIANTS
2011 record: 9-7 SU, 8-8 ATS
Odds to win Super Bowl: 15.00
The Super Bowl champs’ opponents went a combined 140-116 (.547), best in the NFL. That’s their reward for winning the division last year, and also the luck of the draw. The NFC East faces the AFC North and NFC South, two of the better divisions. The Giants don’t get their bye until Week 11. Teams prefer it in the middle of the season. Then they face a brutal closing stretch that makes it hard to envision them repeating last year’s dramatic finish: vs. Green Bay, at Washington, vs. New Orleans, at Atlanta, at Baltimore, vs. Philly.
DENVER BRONCOS
2011 record: 8-8 SU, 7-9 ATS
Odds to win Super Bowl: 15.00
Denver is in the same boat as the Giants, getting a first-place schedule along with the AFC North and NFC South. Which means Pittsburgh, Baltimore, New Orleans, etc. So it’s no surprise Denver’s opponents went a combined 139-117 (.543), second-toughest behind the Giants. Peyton Manning faces five playoff teams in the first seven games, plus division rivals San Diego and Oakland. Thanks to Manning, the Broncos play the max five primetime games and it’s possible they could be flexed into a sixth. The only good news is the bye comes in Week 7, following one of Denver’s two Monday night games.
BALTIMORE RAVENS
2011 record: 12-4 SU, 8-8 ATS
Odds to win Super Bowl: 15.00
Baltimore and San Francisco are the only teams that play both of last year’s Super Bowl teams, the Patriots and Giants. Ravens’ opponents went a combined 134-122 (.523), tied for fourth-hardest. Baltimore gets two short turnarounds in the first four weeks. The Ravens open at home against Cincinnati on Monday night, then visit Philly for an early Sunday game. After hosting New England on Sunday night, Sept. 23, they host Cleveland on Thursday. How about back-to-back road games in Pittsburgh (Nov. 18) and San Diego (Nov. 25)?
DALLAS COWBOYS
2011 record: 8-8 SU, 5-11 ATS
Odds to win Super Bowl: 23.00
Dallas better start fast, because another December swoon is a distinct possibility. The Cowboys missed the playoffs with a 1-3 finish last season, making them 30-43 in December since 1994. This year’s December schedule: vs. Philly, at Cincy, vs. Pittsburgh, vs. New Orleans, at Washington. The bye comes in Week 5, much earlier than coaches like. The Cowboys will need it for their post-bye gauntlet of four road games in five weeks (at Baltimore, at Carolina, vs. Giants, at Atlanta, at Philly). Dallas does get five of its final seven at home, where it went 5-3 SU but 2-6 ATS last season.
CLEVELAND BROWNS
2011 record: 4-12 SU, 8-8 ATS
Odds to win Super Bowl: 151.00
Poor Cleveland. The Browns failed to trade up for Robert Griffin III, then got dealt the third-toughest schedule and hardest for a non-playoff team. Their opponents went 135-121 (.527) last year. Cleveland faces only four teams that had losing records. One of those is Washington (Dec. 16), the team that outmaneuvered the Browns and traded for the No. 2 pick. Picture RGIII, with nearly a full season under his belt, against battered and weak-armed Colt McCoy. The Browns also play the Super Bowl champs for the fourth time in five years.