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Super Bowl blogger debate: Who covers the spread?

The New England Patriots may not be thinking about avenging their loss to the New York Giants in Super Bowl XLII, but you can bet their fans are. And we know G-Men supporters would like nothing more than to extend Tom Brady’s Super Bowl losing streak and send him crying into Gisele’s arms.

This is a rivalry and it’s a good one.

We’ve enlisted the help of NFL team bloggers to help us get inside the heads of all the superfans out there and get some insight inside each club at the same time.

Russ Loede of Patriots Gab duels with Ed Valentine of the Big Blue View over how the Super Bowl will play out. You’ll never believe it, but they differ on which team will be hoisting the Lombardi Trophy.

GIANTS BREAKDOWN

Victor Cruz. (US PRESSWIRE)
Ed Valentine writes for Big Blue View and SB Nation New York. You can follow them on Twitter @bigblueview.

Would it be smarter for New York to lean on the run more in order to keep Brady and the Pats offense off the field?

At this point you can't change who are you, and you don't want to. The Giants will try to maintain a balanced approach and try to run as effectively as they can. When it comes right down to it, though, the Giants have to get big plays in the passing game from Eli Manning and that terrific group of wide receivers. That won't change in the Super Bowl.

What worked well in their 24-20 win over New England in Week 9 and can the Giants do something similar in the Super Bowl?


Really it is all about pressure on Tom Brady. The Giants hounded him in the Super Bowl four years ago, and they were able to generate enough pressure to make him uncomfortable at times during the regular season matchup this season.

After allowing two TDs to Vernon Davis last week, how can New York slow down the Patriots TEs, who had 136 total yards and two scores against them in Week 9?

Good question. Maybe you just hope that Rob Gronkowski slows himself with his high ankle sprain and that New England keeps handing the ball to Aaron Hernandez instead of throwing it to him. Seriously, though, I think you may see the Giants single cover guys on the outside and use their safeties and linebackers to double-cover the tight ends or try to close down the lanes in the middle for Brady to find those tight ends.

Final score prediction and how the game plays out:

Giants 27, Patriots 24. This is a game between two quarterbacks with Super Bowl MVPs, and I would expect both to have great games. Giants and Eli get the last word, though.

PATRIOTS BREAKDOWN

Aaron Hernandez. (US PRESSWIRE)
Russ Loede writes for Patriots Gab and NFL Gridiron Gab. You can follow them on Twitter @PatriotsGab.

If All-Pro TE Rob Gronkowski isn't 100 percent, how will New England change its offensive attack?

The plan will be to attack the Giants with different looks and to hurry up the play calls -- so the running backs don't have to hold up too long in protection. Also, expect a heavy diet of shotgun handoffs to keep the Giants' line honest when New England is running the football, and for the team to use motion from its wide receivers to help crack block the New York ends. 

In the end, a gimpy Gronk means more pressure will be put on Matt Light and rookie Nate Solder, who has showed signs of becoming a Pro Bowl-caliber right tackle.

The secondary made plays against an average Ravens passing attack. Can New England have similar success against a red-hot Manning and Co.?


It's going to be tough because Hakeem Nicks and Victor Cruz make their money after the catch. You could play them as tight as you want but they will still find a way to make the difficult snag and then break a few tackles afterwards. 

I don't know if you can play off of them and expect good results either, so the defensive backfield will need the linebackers to get physical and help them by jamming Nicks and Cruz.  Anyway you draw it up, it's going to be a tall task for an undersized New England secondary that's very average.

The Giants got 5 sacks and 22 QB pressures/hits on Alex Smith. Can the Patriots offensive line hold up to that pressure and how?

They can and they will. Tom Brady gets the ball out fast and New England’s passing routes aren’t slow-developing ones.

Two things to keep in mind: Matt Light and Nate Solder will be the best 1-2 punch at tackle that the Giants have faced in the playoffs and the shotgun formation will give Brady extra time to make decisions. 

Final score prediction and how the game will play out:


Patriots 27, Giants 22. It will be a close game but I have to give the edge to the Patriots because they take better care of the football. The Giants have caught too many breaks and I believe their luck will run out against a team that is well-equipped to play a turnover-free football game.

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Posted by MYASSITCHES
2 years ago

Hello everyone........Every thing has been said about why each TEAM should WIN or LOSE this game. Now I am putting my 2 cents in. PATRIOTS,PATRIOTS,AND PATRIOTS!!!! I took the MONEY-LINE@ -132. I FEEL I am getting the BEST OF IT at this price. Well, BOYS & GIRLS....WHOEVER you have,......have a JOYOUS EVENING!! Remember, NEVER, i say NEVER, let your heart get in the way of your wallet!! GLTA.....ITCHY
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Posted by madulamaximus
2 years ago

PATRIOTS....38....................GIANTS..28...........CASHDAT!!!!.......MADMAX!!!!!!!!
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Posted by madulamaximus
2 years ago

OCHOCINCO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!...........THE PATS BEST KEPT SECRET~~~~~~~~~~~~BOTH TEAMS ARRRIVED ON WOBBLER PLAYS. The Patriots defense has showed they can step up and get it done.......The Giants has shown the same. But beating Billichik TWICE!!!.....dont think so. OCHO HAS NOT BEEN A FACTOR........FOR GOOD REASON. Its been dink and dunk and tight end stuff. But you will see the field stretch with deep slants posts and crossing routes. Greenbay had recievers wide open. Rogers was just uncharacteristically inaccurate. The Giants faced a GB defense that gives up 24++on average.....The Giants then faced a 49er offense that had no deep threat and a QB with little experience in playoff situations. No matter how either team got there makes no difference. But from a matchup point of view...........PATRIOTS AND THE OVERS!!!......MADMAX CASHDAT!!!!!......BILLY WALTERS TAILS MADMAX PICKS ....JUST ASK COVERS!!!!!......DATS HOW WE ROLL!!!
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Posted by lynal
2 years ago

Giants won this year in new england without Nicks and Bradshaw.........How can you put money on the patriots to cover -3 and be confident? Caughlin preps his D as well if not better than ol Belly. Giants are beating all the best teams (Packers, 49er's) and the Pats beat the Broncos, and Wilfork had a good game against the Ravens (who cant' protect Flacco) and the Raven's still should have won that game if not tied it and went to OT. all that and Gronk will NOT be 100%.........Eli is as clutch as his brother and he has a good D. If the Pats do win it wont be by more than three......Caaaamon man
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Posted by stats1
2 years ago

giants 31-21 bol 2 all
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Posted by dilaudid8
2 years ago

anytime you can get N.E.-3 you take them very easy super bowl the oddsmaker's made a very big mistake blowout city baby N.E super bowl winner's ty
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Posted by loulo13
2 years ago

I'm rolling with Vegas Baby -3 Patriots, it's going to be the Biggest Heist Vegas Pulls Off!!!!!
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Posted by elway1771
2 years ago

@rickyn, blowout? Have you heard of something called revenge? Remember Tyree catching a ball with his helmet due to some sort of magical magnet attatched to the ball. I know there are a lot of different Patriots on this team but the key members of this team, Brady and Belichick, were part of that disappointing loss that ruined their perfect season and they havn't forgot about that game. The Patriots defense has stepped up as of late, especially in the second half where they have outscored their opponents something like 127-34. After being tied at half time this Sunday, the Patriots win from great coaching changes during the 2nd half; 31-24.
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Posted by bctwitty
2 years ago

The power of revenge stems from negative thinking, and dwelling on the past. The 2011/2012 Patriots only have one player remaining on the team from 2007/2008 season, Tom Brady. I don't think Brady intends to waste any of his current mental strength on seeking revenge from the past. The only Patriots seeking revenge are the Patriot fans. The Brady Bunch is going to struggle with the NYG from every angle on both sides of the ball. The more skilled all-around (and luckier) team to win; NYG 31 NE 23 Final (NYG +3 / UN 55 cashes-in)
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Posted by ARGENTUM
2 years ago

Hey witty, how can we trust your prediction when you don't even get your facts straight? there were 7 patriots playing in 08 (not only Brady as you write) How come you don't remember oustanding players such as Matt Light, Logan Mankins, Vince Wilkford, Wes Welker and Stephen Gostkowski? I'm pretty sure all of them are considered NFL top 10 on their position!
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Posted by lmstudfosho
2 years ago

Giants Money Line!
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Posted by rickyn
2 years ago

after facing the niners defense the pats defense will look like swiss cheese eli and his outstanding wide receivers will make mince meat of the pats hideous secondary- dont forget the giants alreafy beat them in new england and that was without nicks and bradshaw- imagine what theyll do to them with those two- can you say blow out
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Top Response

Posted by elway1771
2 years ago

"@rickyn, blowout? Have you heard of something called revenge? Remember Tyree catching a ball with his helmet due to some sort of magical magnet attatched to the ball. I know there are a lot of different Patriots on this team but the key members of..."