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NFL wild card weekend biggest betting mismatches

Cincinnati Bengals at Houston Texans (-3, 38.5)

Texans’ pass defense vs. Andy Dalton

Shutdown corner Johnathan Joseph sat out last week’s meaningless game vs. Tennessee so he’ll be ready to shadow A.J. Green

Houston owns the NFL’s fifth-best pass coverage unit and fourth-best pass rush, according to Pro Football Focus. Coordinator Wade Phillips, who missed Houston’s losses to Carolina and Indy while recovering from surgery, will call the game from the press box.

Reliant Stadium will be rocking for the first playoff game in franchise history.

None of that bodes well for Dalton.

After a sizzling start, the rookie faltered over the last seven games, completing 54.8 percent of his throws with eight touchdowns and eight turnovers. His struggles will continue Saturday.

Detroit Lions at New Orleans Saints (-10.5, 58.5)


Saints’ weapons vs. Wishful thinking


Detroit is making a big deal out of the return of safety Louis Delmas, who missed the past five games with a torn MCL in his right knee. There’s no question he’s the Lions’ defensive leader, but it’s not like he’s 100 percent.

“He’s trending in the right direction and hope we’ll be able to get him out there,” coach Jim Schwartz said. "He’s a guy that we drafted to be one of the cornerstones defensively. He’s right in the middle of our defense, does a good job of communication. He’s a very good player -- run and pass, covers a lot of ground. But more than that, (he) brings a lot of soul to our defense. I think that’s one of the things that we miss."

Lions backers also note that Ndamukong Suh missed the 31-17 loss in New Orleans in Week 13. But he was on the field last week when Detroit, playing to win, gave up 480 passing yards and six TDs to Matt Flynn.

You know all about Drew Brees’ record season and his array of targets including Jimmy Graham, Marques Colston, Robert Meachem, Devery Henderson and Darren Sproles. You may not know New Orleans ranks sixth in rushing (129.9 yards per game) and fourth in yards per carry (4.9).

Detroit ranks 23rd in run defense (128.1) and gives up 5.0 yards per carry, tied for 29th.

Atlanta Falcons at New York Giants (-3, 47)

Giants’ pass rush vs. Uncomfortable Falcons


Atlanta is playing outdoors for just the second time since Week 4.

Matt Ryan is a much different passer on the road. In 30 career home games, Rotoworld’s Evan Silva notes, Ryan is 26-4 with a 64.8 percent completion rate and a 49-17 TD-INT ratio. He averages 7.6 yards per attempt in the Georgia Dome. In 32 road games, here are Matty Ice’s numbers: 17-15, 58.1 percent completion rate, 46-29 TD-INT ratio, and 6.7 yards per attempt.

The Falcons’ stabilized their line by replacing left tackle Sam Baker with Will Svitek, but they’ve played only one decent defense over their last seven games.

Now they face a unit that has 11 sacks and a forced fumble the last two weeks. Jason Pierre-Paul is on fire with 37 tackles and six sacks in his last five games. Justin Tuck is regaining his Pro Bowl form. Osi Umenyiora returned last week from knee and ankle injuries and got two sacks.

Tuck can play tackle, enabling New York to get several pass rushers on the field at once. Against Dallas, the Giants harassed Tony Romo without blitzing.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Denver Broncos (9, 34)


Miller, Dumervil vs. Immobile Big Ben

Ben Roethlisberger aggravated his high ankle sprain against the Browns, and the Steelers failed to cover.

He was hobbling around on his left ankle late in the week.

"I felt really good going in the Cleveland game," Roethlisberger said. "I had a little setback early in the third quarter, so we're working really hard right now with the trainers and doctors to get back to even where we were before the Cleveland game.

"Because I felt pretty good going in, I moved [around] a little bit at the beginning of that game, but (there was) a little setback. ... We got set back by about a week."

In two games since returning from the injury, Big Ben has completed 48 of 84 passes (57 percent) for 551 yards, no touchdowns and three interceptions. He’s not the same when he can’t move around, plant hard and fire.

Linebacker Von Miller has 11.5 sacks, DE Elvis Dumervil has 9.5 and OLB D.J. Williams has five. The Broncos are tied for 10th with 41 sacks.

"I'm not looking at it like he's hurt. I'm looking at it like he's out there and as long as you're out there, I'm going to come at you," Dumervil said.

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Posted by MrBogey
1 year ago

Ugh the Pitt result was a disaster, could we have been more wrong???!!! Pouncey and Clark missing really hurt this team. Goes to show how valuable a great center is. Also what were the Pitt safety's doing charging the line of scrimmage 20 yards away and letting wide receivers run right past them?
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Posted by degengambler34
1 year ago

Tebow is horrendous, truly the worst nfl qb i've ever seen. Do you think the steelers are going to let him roll to his left and beat them that way as they know that's the ONLY thing he does well? Ill take a well coached steelers team all day and all night in this matchup. The broncos only chance of winning this game is pulling him after his first three and out in favor of brady quinn and a pro style format. But since their offense revolves around that option garbage thats not gonna happen.
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Posted by degengambler34
1 year ago

Its funny that he lists steelers being "mismatched" by immobile ben vs. that denver defense. Ok how about timmy terrible vs. troy polamalu, woodley, harrison, and the rest of the steelers d? Are u fucking serious, tebow or quinn, their both terrible, and the steelers will own them and probably hold them to 10 or less points in this game.
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Posted by kherakhera
1 year ago

steelers and giants advance
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Posted by Skubishack
1 year ago

Parlay - Hou-ML and Under 38, Det+10.5 pts, NYG-ML, Den+8 and Under 33.5 pts. I check back later and let you know how I did.
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Posted by Skubishack
1 year ago

FAIL
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Posted by spreadshredder
1 year ago

if u think the lions will score 2 touchdowns you better go with the over because the saints alone will score 45 to the house then the bank fellas!!!!!!!!!!
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Posted by MrBogey
1 year ago

17-10 Pitt looks about right, the 33.5 total is begging for over bets, dont fall for it, OBV. I have Pitt - 2 ARK -1 Pitt -2 K State + 15 Pitt-2 u/41.5 Pitt-1 o/26.5 Pitt -2 SMU +10.5 Pitt -2 LSU +8.5 They better win this motha
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Posted by echelon1
1 year ago

Falcons run a spread, quick-paced offense and are 6th BEST in league in sacks allowed (26). And now their pass blocking is a weakness??? I'd say that's strength on strength. Giants have 48 sacks...Texans, only 4 sacks behind Giants, had ZERO sacks at home vs Atlanta. Vikings have 2 more sacks than Giants and had 2 sacks. Come on, don't mislead people that Falcons can't hold up against these guys. Please. Yet when the Falcons neutralize that rush with quick passing, the TE, and Turner...the Giants defense is TOAST! Then the deep routes open up. This Atlanta offense is not Dallas nor the Jets. They have a complete game and can pass block with the best of them. That was just bad analysis of this game.
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Posted by spreadshredder
1 year ago

Heres a free bookshredder take the lions and broncos in a 2 team doyle and get +16.5 and + 15 for ur underdogs and fist your books hard !!!!!!!!promise
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Posted by shawnmosley
1 year ago

with 47/108 wildcard playoff games having been won outright by the underdog.......Gimmie as many points as you can and play em all large!!
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Posted by Petr102
1 year ago

I GUESS YOU LOST LARGE,,,YOU TOOK THE POINTS WITH CINCI AND DETROIT AND NONE OF THEM COVERED SO I GUESS YOU LOST MONEY ALOT...NEXT TIME DONT TALK SO SOON YOU ASS CLOWN!!!
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Posted by jpcowboy
1 year ago

Hammer your going down Denver is going to lose but cover the spread be careful fool. I amGoing to thank my lord and savoir JC after the game for the big bank roll I will have earned. No Doubt
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Posted by jim8165
1 year ago

Pittsburg in one of the biggest routs in NFL play-off history. Expect something like 52-10. If Denver wins or even covers my sports betting account will be lighter cause I am just loading up the boat on this game. Line and game analysis both favors Steelers big. I do not beleive in Tebomania. I do not believe that an option led QB Runnig game can win in the play-offs. "The Hammer"
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Posted by bilsfn15
1 year ago

do you even watch the sport of football or are you just an ignorant stillers fan? haha 52-10 hahahahahaha...hmmm no mendenhall, starting center still out, bigben got hurt again this week...ryan clark their other starting safety can't play...denver plays good D at home...this game is going to be low-scoring buddy. pitt wins but i think they have trouble covering...they arne't a great road team...17-13 steelers take the points...tease broncos +16 and under 41
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Posted by Skw1shE
1 year ago

from no center to Sickle Cell the steelers are banged up, hope you not taking a special pointspread or anything, they will be lucky to wint the game outright, no way either team get to 20. croud will be loud defenses will be tough and the game will be long for both offenses. 52-10 i swear.. some peoples kids LOL good luck to all from the 7oh2 :)
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Top Response

Posted by shawnmosley
1 year ago

"with 47/108 wildcard playoff games having been won outright by the underdog.......Gimmie as many points as you can and play em all large!!"