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1* Houston (8:10 ET): The Astros and Twins came into this series with the two worst records in the American League and they are also 30th and 29th (in all of MLB) respectively in net units. They've split the first two games of this three-game set, but I heavily favor the home team (Houston) to take tonight's game and the series.
The 'Stros got their six runs on only five hits last night. The difference in the game ended up being a run scored on a wild pitch and another via a balk. As fluky as that may sound, I can't shake the thinking that Houston is going to improve. This was a playoff team a year ago that outscored its opponents by 111 runs (2nd best in AL). They were expected to be contenders in 2016. Minnesota, meanwhile, is a team everyone expected to regress this season and regress they have as the only team in MLB w/ a worse record is Atlanta.
The pitching matchup seems to be in Houston's favor here. Michael Fiers allowed only two runs in seven innings (w/ 5 K's) his last time out. He didn't walk any one either. Sadly, the Astros ended up losing that game, 7-4 at Oakland. That's just bad luck, but Minnesota's Phil Hughes was just plain bad his last time out as he gave up four runs in just five innings of work. The Twins are 2-11 on the road this season, including 0-6 as an underdog of +125 to +150 on the money line. Houston is the ONLY team that has yet to post B2B victories this season, but that'll change after tonight as they take the series. 1* Houston