US PRESSWIRE

Sharps vs. Squares: Scoring the battle between pros and the public

The sharp vs. square debate rages on in Las Vegas and offshore. Sterling Ross, a Las Vegas oddsmaker, is keeping score between the betting public and the wiseguys as he takes action throughout the week.

Ross is keeping records of the five biggest moves each week and how the pros and joes fair for an entire football season.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons at Boston College Eagles

Opened: Wake Forest -2, Closed: BC -1

Apparently, wiseguys have a lot more faith in this much-maligned Boston College offense than the betting public. The Eagles finally had the services of stud RB Montel Harris versus Wake Forest and he didn’t disappoint, carrying the ball 22 times for 108 yards. However, the rest of the BC team was up to their normal tricks with the offense mustering only nine points through the first three quarters en route to another loss.

This line opened with Boston College as a slight home dog and when Harris was upgraded to probable, money started to flow in on the Eagles. Despite pretty substantial public support for a mediocre Wake Forest team, the line continued to move in BC’s direction before it finally closed as a short favorite. One player definitely made a difference but the sharps were surely disappointed in the end result.

Winner: Squares

Bowling Green Falcons at West Virginia Mountaineers

Opened: West Virginia -20.5, Closed: West Virginia -17.5

When you talk about curious line moves towards an undermanned dog, this one was right up there. Wiseguys jumped all over the nearly three touchdowns with the Falcons, clearly banking on a Mountaineer letdown after their loss to LSU the previous week. Letdowns are one thing, huge talent discrepancies are something completely different and often very tough to overcome when looking for a cover.

Bowling Green jumped out to an early 10-3 lead and the public had to think there was no shot WVU would get to the window as such a heavy favorite. But BG’s day peaked at 7:47 of the first quarter. From that point on, WVU scored 52 unanswered points and left little doubt about who got the cash in this game.

Winner: Squares

Texas Tech Red Raiders at Kansas Jayhawks

Opened: Texas Tech -9, Closed: Texas Tech -6.5

Another prime example of an unwarranted road favorite, at least the way the sharps saw this game before kickoff. Wiseguys came in fast and furious, fading Texas Tech for the secod time in as many weeks but didn’t reap the same benefits as they did against Nevada. Kansas definitely looked the side early, jumping out to a quick 20-0 lead before the wheels came off.

By halftime, TTU actually trimmed the Beaks’ lead to three and the sharps had to see the writing on the wall for what was to come over the next 30 minutes. Sure enough, the Red Raiders scored 21 straight points to start the third quarter and built a 45-27 lead before KU scored late in the fourth quarter to lose by 11. Squares rejoiced, they’d notched yet another early victory.

Winner: Squares

Washington Huskies at Utah Utes

Opened: Utah -7.5, Closed: Utah -10

This game showed interesting line movement throughout the week. The initial move was actually on Washington taking the spread from 7.5 down to seven where the sharps pounced and drove the price up a full three points by game time.

Even the wiseguys can’t predict injuries and once Utah QB Jordan Wynn went down with a shoulder injury that will keep him out for 2-3 weeks, Utes backers were dead in the water. It’s worth noting that even before Wynn left the game, it didn’t look good for the double digit favorites.

We’ve seen some unusual moves with Utah to start the season. The public grabbed the points all day and looked like geniuses by the time the final whistle blew at Rice Eccles with an outright Huskies’ victory.

Winner: Squares

Buffalo Bills at Cincinnati Bengals


Opened: Buffalo-3, Closed: Buffalo -3, EVEN

Any time a line stays put at three despite a flood of public money, the wiseguys are firmly entrenched on the other side. From a situational standpoint, this game didn’t set up well for Buffalo, which entered off a franchise-changing win over New England the week before.

One team actually showed up for a game and the other just showed up expecting victory. There was nothing fluky in the final result as the Bengals were plus-13 in first downs and outgained the Bills by nearly 200 yards. However, Cincinnati needed a tremendous comeback in the second half to rally for the wiseguys, but thanks to a 43-yard field goal from Mike Nugent as time expired, the sharps found their way to the window cashing tickets at the Bills’ expense.

Winner:
Sharps

Score: Sharps 1, Squares 4

Season: Sharps 5, Squares 5

--

If you don’t happen to see your game listed, feel free to ask about it in the comments section and Sterling will let you know if there was a sharp vs. square battle taking place in the sportsbooks across Las Vegas.

If you have any feedback or suggestions for our Editorial Team, please contact us at Editorial

            share   SHARE   rss   RSS FEED   email   EMAIL   print   PRINT
Hide All Responses
avatar

Posted by JackSmack
1 year ago

It's a fine article but I am just saying you could make the sharps look good, or the squares look good every week if you only use a bit of the information.
avatar

Posted by 44-dimes
1 year ago

I respectfully disagree with your SHARP VS. SQUARE analysis. Just because the Sharps are moving the line it doesn't necessarily mean that the Squares are on the other side of that specific game. It simply means that the Wise guys/ sharps/ Sports Gambling syndicates are respectfully getting the deserved attention and therefore moving the lines. You know as well as i do. It's not the size of the wager that moves the line, it's who makes the wager. Here's a more clear definition of SHARP VS SQUARE. MY TOP 10 1. SHARP----WILL PLAY GAMES EARLY 1. SQUARE-----WILL MOST LIKELY WAIT TILL GAME DAY. 2. SHARP-----WILL KEEP TRACK OF LINE MOVEMENT 2. SQUARE----HARDLY KEEPS TRACK OF LINE MOVEMENT AND CLUELESS TO THE OPENER. 3.SHARP-----WILLING TO TACKLE MID MAJOR CONFERENCES 3. SQUARE---MOST SQUARES BET TOP 25 TEAMS AND NATIONALLY TELEVISED GAMES. 4.SHARP----WON'T TAKE A BAD NUMBER 4. SQUARE-----UNFAZED BY A BAD NUMBER WILL LAY THE LUMBER AND THE HIGH JUICE. 5. SHARP----Most sharps i know, won't watch games they bet on and rather watch some other team in action just to pick up information. 5 SQUARE-----OPPOSITE OF ABOVE. 6. SHARP-----Most Sharps play with reduced juice. 6. SQUARES-----Don't even know reduced juice lines exist. 7.SHARP-----Have multiple books and shop for value. 7. SQUARES----Have only 1 book. 8.SHARPS----Lean towards Dog and Under 8. SQUARES----Lean towards favorite and Over. 9. SHARPS----Make their own lines and compare. 9. SQUARES-----Couldn't make a line to save their life. 10. SHARPS----NO PARLAYS NO TEASERS 10. SQUARES---- THEY ARE WELCOME AT EVERY SPORTS BOOK.
avatar

Posted by whodat5400
1 year ago

3 teamer,Buffalo,Green Bay,Detriot,PRO,3teamer COLL,Navy,UL Lafayette,Toledo or Western Mich.GOOD LUCK TO ALL.
avatar

Posted by whodat5400
1 year ago

What are the Covers team considered as sharps or squares,just look at their % of free picks.I wouldn't bet ONE DOLLAR ON THEIR FREE PICKS.
avatar

Posted by acutance
1 year ago

Why is a push on the Buffalo game considered a win? A very entertaining analysis of public opinion is made in _The Wisdom of Crowds_, by James Surowiecki. There's even a chapter on the NFL. In his opinion, the NFL line is so hard to beat because by the time it's set by millions of bets, it's very close to where it should be. Monday night was a good example. Both the total and the spread were within one score at the end. A two team teaser (spread and total) won regardless of which teams or totals you took.
avatar

Posted by Skipbone
1 year ago

In other words, the "debate" is moot. Everyone is the "public.' Just pick winners.
avatar

Posted by mercbent
1 year ago

As I know this, the definition of a Sharp is simply that they got the best line before it moved. For example, those that bet a game at -7 before the line moves to -10 are considered to be the "sharps". The Squares in this example bet the game at -10. Anybody can be a sharp or square on a given game. As far as I know the term Sharp does not imply that these people are better gamblers, it just implies that they placed the wager with the better line. The examples given here are close to reality, Sharps 5, Squares 5 in terms of winning wagers. It is always nice to have the best line, better to have the winning team.
avatar

Posted by eylesy
1 year ago

I'm confused as well. Are the "sharps" the ones who pick only the upsets?
avatar

Posted by Sterling_Ross
1 year ago

not at all, sharps are the ones who move and shape the line with their wagers. Bookmakers respect certain bettors in the market and those are the guys responsible for making the numbers move
avatar

Posted by HuggyBear724
1 year ago

Are the squares Vegas and shaps the public or am I wrong
avatar

Posted by Sterling_Ross
1 year ago

squares are emblematic of the betting public, sharps are the guys who do this for a living and always get the best of the number before making a wager
avatar

Posted by JackSmack
1 year ago

Yeah but are you just picking a few games out? I mean what is the point? Sharps lost the dolphins game. Squares lost the Tampa Bay game. I mean what is the point of picking out a few games? I could make it look like the sharps or squares won every week if I just choose a few games. This post doesnt do anythign for me.
avatar

Posted by Sterling_Ross
1 year ago

can't cover every single game on the board that has line movement. Which games are you looking for a breakdown of from the weekend? I pick the 5 games I see move with my own eyes that have the sharpest dichotomy of sharp vs square money at our casino
avatar

Posted by eyedog
1 year ago

And the squares where on the right side of the Bills game until the refs got involved.
avatar

Posted by wmebane
1 year ago

Wanted to clarify that I mean at the top in respect to top 4-5 teams, by no means the best team in the ACC, but will make some noise.
avatar

Posted by wmebane
1 year ago

I am a huge Wake fan, I was 100% sure we would beat BC. We are a much better team than the public/handicappers think.. I was blown away that BC received so much love.. Put my largest bet of the year on Wake, was easy money. Dont get me wrong, Wake has its falts (might start with FSU this weekend), but is at the top of the ACC this year.
         1      
You are currently not logged in.
Login | Signup | Help
You must be logged in to post a comment.

Top Response

Posted by eyedog
1 year ago

"And the squares where on the right side of the Bills game until the refs got involved."