Hot lines: Friday's best MLB bets

Los Angeles Dodgers at Arizona Diamondbacks (-110, 9.5)

After being left out of the starting lineup for three straight games to start this week, Dodgers outfielder Matt Kemp wanted to know what was up. He requested a meeting with manager Joe Torre on Tuesday.

"I get the chance to write the lineup every day and I put in who I put in," Torre said after the meeting. "It's been frustrating for him, we all see that, and hopefully these days will give him a chance to breathe a bit. It just looks like he's frustrated."

Kemp must have channeled some of that frustration into offense. After replacing Manny Ramirez, during Tuesday’s game, Kemp collected five hits, three RBIs and a homer over his next eight at-bats.

Another Dodger who seems to be playing with some motivation after going on bereavement leave with the untimely death of his father is Rafael Furcal. L.A.’s shortstop has at least two hits in five straight games and went 4-for-5 with a home run in Wednesday’s win over the Giants.

"He makes us that much more exciting," Torre said of Furcal. "He can do a lot of things and not only with a bat in his hands. He elevates us with the way he plays the game."

The Diamondbacks have dropped seven straight against the Dodgers and failed to score in the last 31 innings of a three-game set while getting swept in L.A. Look for Los Angeles to extend its winning streak Friday.

Pick: Dodgers

Chicago White Sox at Texas Rangers (-185, 9.5)

In case you hadn’t noticed, the Rangers are absolutely tearing the ball off the cover. Texas’ offense has averaged 6.7 runs per game over its last 10, scoring no fewer than four runs during the stretch and compiling a 7-3 over/under record.

There really is no break for a pitcher in the Rangers lineup until you get to the bottom of the order, but now that has changed.

With expected catchers Taylor Teagarden and Jarrod Saltalamacchia struggling in the minors, Texas has been forced to use Matt Treanor (.237 23 RBIs) and Max Ramirez (.217 8 RBIs) behind the dish. But that changed when the club acquired Bengie Molina in a trade with the Giants Wednesday night.

Molina was struggling this season in San Francisco but brings a career .275 average to Arlington and the presence of additional power. Big Money blasted a career-high 20 bombs in 2009 and joins his good friend, Vladimir Guerrero, in a lineup that will be among the best in baseball.

Look for some early fireworks in the Lone Star State on Friday as the Rangers welcome their newest backstop.

Pick: Over

If you have any feedback or suggestions for our Editorial Team, please contact us at Editorial

            share   SHARE   rss   RSS FEED   email   EMAIL   print   PRINT
Hide All Responses
avatar

Posted by KJacobs2O3
4 years ago

JONNYBONES..........it may be a good system all year but about a month and a half ago i watched it and had a span where favs in those games went something like 19-4. overall it is probably profitable all year because you can probably win all year at somewhere from 40-50% but i think its most profitable from here untill the end. but i will see next year how it is on a whole season. if i can do this instead of capping games and win saves me time as it takes 20 minutes a day to get these plays. GL on your plays JB
avatar

Posted by KJacobs2O3
4 years ago

yes toypro that is the same system kmackie uses but i added some modifications to it that help IMO........this is how i do it. its pretty much the same...................the system only takes dogs up to +200 and no higher unless you see a good play at a good value. so you find all the dogs up to +200 and you check the sagarin pitching report at USAtoday.com and only play the dogs that are not going up against a pitcher in the top 25 AL/NL according to the sagarin report. i also personally dont play if the opposing pitcher is in the top 20 AL/NL according to era at mlb.com. now all the dogs that are left after that you must check their past 3 games and only play them if they are not on a 3 game loosing streak and the opponent is not on a 3 game winning streak to eliminate streaking and slumping teams for the most part. this is pretty succesfull in the second half of seasons. ............today it has seattle +148, orioles +200 and KC +145. i also personally added reds today +130 because they fit criteria except cubs pitcher was 21 on pitch list but arroyo has been good and i beleived it was a good play and i like to have an even amount pf plays on system for the split (which gains money as dog plays are money at 50%)
avatar

Posted by LeeK3
4 years ago

Okay, I added the dodgers and also the UNDER 7 in the Marlins/Braves. I could not resist the stats that Johnson has gone Under in his last 6 starts, and in his last 9 starts has not given up more then 2 runs in any of those. In fact, he only gave up 2 runs once in those 9, and he gave up 1 run four times and 0 runs four times. To recap, here are my four plays for this evening. I may add 1 more, but this is it for now. dodgers -120 Kuroda vs ARIZONA Jackson, to win 1 unit............ UNDER 7 (-115) Marlins Johnson vs BRAVES Medlen, to win 1 unit........... UNDER 8.5 (-115) CARDS Garcia vs Brewers Narveson, to win 1 unit........... OVER 6 (even) PADRS Latos vs Astros Oswalt, 1 unit............ Good luck to those on the same sides and Happy Friday to all!
avatar

Posted by LeeK3
4 years ago

Hey Camby, nice write-up and information, thanks. But hey, why the parlays on the dogs and totals and low ML on the Mets? If you are not laying much juice, play them straight so you win if you win 2 out of 3, instead of losing a parlay. Just my advice. I play parlay sometimes but only the big ML games to avoid juice.................... I am getting close to betting the dodgers (even though i hate them). A friend pointed out this bet to me and after looking more into it, I like it. Kuroda already has two wins over the D-Backs this year and one was in LA one was in AZ, and both he pitched well. He went 7 in 1 game with 7 Strikeouts, and 7.1 innings and 9 Strikeouts in the other, and he gave up just 2 ER in each game. And I do not know the stat of pitchers coming off of a no-hitter but I do know that Dallas Braden gave up 4 runs and lost the game against the Angels, after his no-hitter. And since Jackson is pitching at home, and not on the road, I like this spot for the dodgers tonight. And I saw that Edwin Jackson has much better numbers on the road then he does at home, and on the road in LA he pitched great vs the dodgers, but that game in May in Arizona vs the dodgers he gave up 4 walks and 6 Earned Runs.
avatar

Posted by lacal
4 years ago

I think the Cubs have to be right there with the Giants as automatic go against teams right now. What a pathetic home performance v the Reds.
avatar

Posted by LeeK3
4 years ago

I take it back, even with Timmy, I don't think I can bet on the Giants since they have lost 6 in a row, and lost 8 of their last 9 games. Also, Chacin has been pitching well recently (at the Twins, at the Angels, and at home vs. RedSox).
avatar

Posted by EazyE11
4 years ago

2-0 with plays last 2 nights both on the RAYS. awesome comeback win. Tonight I'm all over the st. louis cards and garcia on the mound. play them. good luck
avatar

Posted by b00sted4v
4 years ago

risk it all on the angels -160 tonight!!! let it rideeeeeeeeeeeeeee
avatar

Posted by LeeK3
4 years ago

Some good information by some of you guys, thanks. D-Gen, I like your posts since they always have good opinions and good information. Keep up the good work. I am still looking at the Mets, Giants and also the dodgers, but I did just bet the OVER 6 at Petco Park.............. The Total tonight at Petco Park is 6 with the UNDER favored at -120. At first glance, the Under looks like a sure thing (on paper) based on the stats of Oswalt and Latos (especially Latos in his last 10 starts). But when I looked into it further, MAINLY the Total being set at 6, I see a "trap"......................... The most compelling stat is that in the last 9 games that the Total has been set at 6.5 or 6 in a game at Petco Park, the games have gone OVER in 8 of those, 0 Unders and 1 push on 6 (King Felix vs Clayton Richard). For this season when the Total was set at 6 at Petco Park, there have been 4 OVERS, 0 Unders and 2 pushes............................. Also, In the Padres last 16 home games, there have been 12 OVERS, 2 Unders and 2 Pushes. And lastly, the OVER is 6-2 in San Diego's last 8 games following a loss. With all of that said, I'm going out on a limb and playing the OVER 6 in tonight's game. OVER 6 (even) PADRES Latos vs Astros Oswalt, 1 unit.
avatar

Posted by yankees28
4 years ago

today's picks angels r/l dodger's m/l Philly r/l Mets r/l. To rickster420 I wasn't trying to figure your intellect out I'm just trying to figure you out. Post your picks and lets just go from there.
avatar

Posted by angelobruno
4 years ago

rickster is the man !!!!142/0 hehe
avatar

Posted by WatsOnYourMind
4 years ago

3 plays for today. 1) White Sox(+1.5) The white sox are playing their best ball of the season, and texas looks to be ready to cool off after a hot streak. White sox have kept all their games with the rangers close this year and i expect this one to be no different. 2) Red Sox(-1.5) Have to think the red sox will want revenge after getting swept in baltimore earlier this year. expect the red sox to score many runs and this game will probably go over. 3) Houston Astros ML Oswalt dominates the padres and is getting into a groove his last few outings.
avatar

Posted by StevenGA1011
4 years ago

Well I understand Utley and Polanco are down but c'mon the Pirates?? O and then the Under blows up with 2 out in the 9th LOL - just trying to ease the pain with laughter. Only good thing was Rays winning the game since Minnie Mouse blew my W I'm glad they didn't win the damn thing. O well Phillies lose to Buccs and Twinks blew a 4-3 Under in the 9th which turned a potential 2-1 into an 0-3 MF!!! Thats my whining of the coulda, shoulda, woulda's today but will at least try the Phils again tonight -- BOS -235 (2T w/ SD -165)=====+===== PHI -150 (2T w/ CWS/TEX UNDER 9.5)=====+===== HOU/SD OVER 6
avatar

Posted by triplee2385
4 years ago

leans for this evening are. . . SDG U 3 1st 5. . .. PHIL RL +105. . . MIL ml.....thoughts?
avatar

Posted by D-Gen
4 years ago

Watch out boys, here comes that BJs Over run..haha, looks like I may lose on both early overs, but still lookin for plus money wins on the slippery BJs and the HotReds.....unless some late inning explosions happen to ring in the weekend. GL ALL
avatar

Posted by kidgloves
4 years ago

GO JAYS GO!
avatar

Posted by D-Gen
4 years ago

I should clarify...kid, I also saw the wind listed excatly as you posted earlier. I don't know if they are listing a late change in the wind or possibly an error. Either way, I know your post was accurate and simply took the late listing I saw as a legit change. Rickster, you post a good point, homefield dogs are always a first choice to look for. Travelin favs, with the odds a little lower than when they're home are a temptaion that should be avoided. Good Luck All (and, shame on you "kid" for succumbing to the tempting allure to rush back into that forest! just kidding dude, I know how hard it is to NOT invest in a team you feel you know)
avatar

Posted by kidgloves
4 years ago

ACHH - IT WAS A QUARTER UNIT PLAY FOR PURELY ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES - TRUST ME - I LAID OFF IT ! ALTHOUGH I AM GETTING MY ENTERTAINMENT VALUE SO FAR AND HOPEFULLY A UNIT OF VALUE IF THAT PARLAY HITS ON TOR & UNDER. CECIL DID A GREAT JOB FENDING OFF THE THREATENING YANKESS ON SEVERAL OCCASIONS WITH MEN ON BASE.
avatar

Posted by lacal
4 years ago

4-0 in the last two days so maybe I can keep it up through the weekend. WASHINGTON as small home dog +108 w/ Atilano 6-4. Same for ATLANTA +108 w/ Medlen 5-1. And COLORADO +101 w/ Chacin v a Giants team losing it's wheels. Lincecum is not the same Lincecum and like I said yesterday they can't field, hit, run or pitch right now and they are sinking fast. Automatic go against. POD LA -115 w/ Kuroda 7-5.
avatar

Posted by D-Gen
4 years ago

Actually jbones, I was accounting for the wind that kidgloves posted, but more because, as you say, Dempster has been solid at home and I see Arroyo as more than capable although I'd agree somewhat inconsistent (although the Cubbie bats should be of comfort to him!). With the Cubs as completely crappy as they've been lately, simply a small action play on a much better team with a close to even pitching matchup..............but, I just took a late look and saw them list the wind now as "out to left at 10mph", and with no time left to dig, I'm switching that 1 unit play to the OVER as an automatic (wind out to left at wrigley at 10mph or more means automatic "over" to me).......so, I'm playing that one for just 1unit on the underdog Reds and 1 unit on the over 9. Good Luck All
avatar

Posted by lincecumsbarber
4 years ago

Hous v SD - under 6 at 2.00
avatar

Posted by triplee2385
4 years ago

ok small play on the reds. . .
avatar

Posted by triplee2385
4 years ago

ok started the day off with a win on the over in BRAZIL and the NETHERLANDS. . .now where to go? no early action really jumping at me right now for the bases but will be doing a small play for Uraguay to win as the line is still not to far gone at -110 on the spread. . . leaning on a reds play but hesitant to pull the trigger
avatar

Posted by johnnybones
4 years ago

D-Gen - are you rolling with Reds because of the two teams heading in opposite directions? Arroyo can be so inconsistent even though my son's little league team has more pop in their bats than the North-Siders currently. Dempster is pretty damn sharp at home over past few seasons. I like Reds at this price too, but still a bit hesitant to pull trigger. Do you have wind update that is slanting your pick on the Under?
avatar

Posted by kidgloves
4 years ago

Fri., Jul. 2, 2010 First Pitch: 1:20 PM CDT Wrigley Field Chicago, IL Event Day Forecast Sunny Forecast : 77°F Feels like: 77°F Sunset: 8:29 PM Probability of Precip:0 % Spectator Index: 9 UV Index: Very High Wind Direction Wind Speed Wind: From the SSE at 10 mph BLOWING FROM 1ST BASE LINE TO LEFT FIELD
         1   2    next page    last page
You are currently not logged in.
Login | Signup | Help
You must be logged in to post a comment.

Top Response

Posted by aisaac
4 years ago

"Seriously Rickster...I hate when people talk trash on this site, but I'm going to make an exception for you. SHUT YOUR YAP. If you're truly winning at that clip, then congrats, but either post with proof or don't go clogging up the board with your ..."