Ice picks: Friday's best NHL bets

By COVERS.com STAFF | November 26, 2009 | 39 comments
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Chicago Blackhawks at Anaheim Ducks (+129, 5.5)

The wait was worth it.

After missing the start to the season, the Chicago Blackhawks finally debuted their big offseason acquisition, Marian Hossa, to rave reviews Wednesday night. The gun-for-hire scored two goals in the Blackhawks’ 7-2 flogging of the San Jose Sharks.

"It was nice for 'House' to come in and have a meaningful game," Chicago coach Joel Quenneville told reporters. "It was a good start to his Blackhawks career. I'll be interested in seeing how his line works out from here."

Quenneville put the veteran winger alongside Patrick Kane and Jonathan Toews, who combined for three points in the win. Chicago ranks fifth in scoring in the NHL with 3.3 goals a game. It’s won eight straight games, averaging more than four goals during this streak.

"We feel like we have lots of energy and we want to keep going," said Hossa.

The Blackhawks will face Anaheim for the first time this season. This year’s Ducks are a far cry from the defensive-minded squad that nearly faced Chicago in the Western Conference final last season. Anaheim is giving up over three goals a game, ranking 27th in goals against, shots against and penalty kill.

Pick: Chicago -140

Colorado Avalanche at Minnesota Wild (-125, 5.5)

The Avalanche have come crashing to earth after an out-of-this-world start to the year. Colorado has dropped six of its last eight games, most recently a 4-3 overtime loss to the Nashville Predators Wednesday night.

Head coach Joe Sacco is pointing the fingers at his team’s lackadaisical starts during this skid. Against the Preds, the Avs allowed two goals and were outshot 10-3 in the opening frame.

"We've just got to be ready to play. We've got to be better than that in the first period," Sacco told the Denver Post. "It's disappointing, anytime you lose that extra point at home."

The Avalanche have allowed just under five goals a game in their last four – all of which played over the total.

Pick: Over 5.5

39 comments
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The_sports_babe
The_sports_babe says:
11/26/09 11:55PM

Nothing looks good for me for Friday night... maybe play a little bit of poker[small money cash game.Limit]

Pending...Vancouver, lay 1.5 to make 1.25 reg. time..[Thurs eve. ]

+4.65 units/ season..... bol...TSB....

LeeK3
LeeK3 says:
11/27/09 12:44AM

I agree with oldtrafford, I like several plays. The ones that were easy to pick out were the Predators at home against the Blues. And then the Blackhawks and their 8-game hot streak. First it was four wins in a row at home, but now they've won 4 on the road against quality teams (Calgary, Edmonton. Vancouver, SanJose). Chicago is not only getting great goaltending, their also scoring A LOT. Their last 4 games were 7-1, 5-2, 1-0 and 7-2. Huet has started 7 of the 8 wins on this streak and he's slated to start Friday afternoon.

I also like San Jose to bounce back, like a few of you pointed out on Thursday's page. Nielsen, good to see you this year. You've been silent so far.

Other leans are the Flames and the Under 5.5 in Calgary/Detroit. The Wings are still banged up and just not scoring any goals. In their last 5 games they've scored 1, 1, 3, 1 and 0 against the Thrashers of all teams. And check out the matchup page and you'll see why on the Under as both teams are trending under. The Thrashers at even money in Carolina looks good, and the Over 5.5 in Islanders/Penguins as Johnson is starting for the Pens and Roloson is slated to go for the Isles. Johnson has done well so far this year but he's no M.A.Fleury. And the Islanders score when Roloson starts, but they don't score when Biron starts. I don't know why, but the stats don't lie. It is sorta eerie. Now I just need to wait until I see goalie confirmations on the games in the morning and narrow it down to 4 or 5 plays.

As far as today/Thursday, it was not posted, but I played the Over 5.5 in Ottawa/Columbus and I lost 1.25 units there. I coulda kept it a secret but that's not good karma. I hope everyone had a nice Thanksgiving here in the USA. And Cheers to you neighbors to the North too.

byonusho
byonusho says:
11/27/09 01:25AM

I have had those days too when nothing looks good. I got lucky and got both hockey tonight. Tomorrow I am on 2454 Phil over Buf -130, 2455 Pitt over NYI -140, 2465 NYR over TB -105, 2473 SJ over Edm -145, and for the NBA Clev -4.5 tomorrow. Good luck to all.

atlheatholder
atlheatholder says:
11/27/09 01:46AM

Good info Leek...

stumpmaker
stumpmaker says:
11/27/09 01:55AM

HA HA HA...Kyle Welwood gotta standing O for scoring an empty netter (his first of the year)...Everyone in town is pullin' for him and making a big deal about it...That's GOOD !! (lol)

Loolks like somemore shootout prospects tomorrow...

NJ/Bost

StL/Nash

Dal/Pho

see ya tomorrow !!!

nielson81
nielson81 says:
11/27/09 09:00AM

Sharks over the Oilers...absolute Lock

TheMystery
TheMystery says:
11/27/09 11:10AM

OK, think I have made up my mind for today. Hard to keep the play count down when theres is games going all day and night....

# Flyers Reg (+120)

As oldtrafford stated, the Flyers got a revenge game here and it should be a good spot for them. Philly got their first game at home of a long roadtrip, but I don't think this gonna be a letdown game as they should be happy to finaly get home again. They was riding a good hot streak before they hit the road where they was bailed out by a game against the Isles to end up with a 2-3 record. They'v been good at home all year and it's not gonna be easy for the Sabres to stop theyr loosing streak at 2 games with a win here.

BUF 1 PHI 3

# BUF@PHI u5.5 (-105)

Non of the teams have been great at scoring lately and both teams PP's have been belove avg. It looks like Miller who got a 5-13 o/u record so far gets the start for Sabres, while Emrey is confirmed for Flyers and even tho he got a 10-7 o/u record I think he gonna step up his game today.

# Blackhawks Reg (+110)

To put it easy, the Hawks is HOT... Won 8 in a row and a 8-1-1 record in their L10. They'v also been decent on the road with a 6-3-1 record, but the Sharks blowout might be followed by letdown game (?), but it didn't after the Flames 7-1 blowout to start the trip.

Ducks have had a tough season so far and find them self second last in their conference and got a low 7-7-0 record at home, but they might have turned a corner with their 2 wins in a row and winning 3 of 4 after getting back from their roadtrip. But you know what.. I'll take my chances with a hot Hawks team.

CHI 2 ANA 0

# Thrashers ML (-120)

# Thrashers Reg (+130)

This is a team that is better on the road than their is at home, posting a great 7-2-1 road record. They had a 3-game loosing streak with 2 of them vs TB and BOS before hitting the road and what did they do? Snap it with a win and a shutout in Detroit.

Canes got a bad season at every categories so far this season and got only a 5-5-1 record at home. To make things even worse heading into this game they'r off a 0-2 road trip vs Stars and Ducks and might be without Ruutu for this game. Also Ward is out again and even tho Legace who looks to get the start is a decent goalie and got good numbers this season, he's not Ward and I expect his numbers to drop a bit...

ATL 4 CAR 2

# Flames ML (+115)

Well, this is a 40% gut feeling, 20% on the banged up Wings, 20% on the goalie matchup, 10% on the Flames great road record and 10% on the recent form of the teams..

Just think Flames win this one...

CAL 3 DET 1

# Predators Reg (+115)

This is the second HOT team in NHL. Theyr on a 7 game win-streak right now and that's not just good luck, cause they got a coupple of quality players on the team thats finaly heated up after a slow start to the season with a lot of injuries. They'v been preforming well at home with a 8-3-0 record and during they'r win streak they'v been beating some great teams (MON, SJ, NJ, DET..) and in their recent game they beat the Avs in a tought game in Colorado where they'r almost unbeatable... Also it was agains Blues their great streak started with a 3-1 win @STL so I like their chances to got to 8 games with a good win here.

STL 1 NAS 4

# Sharks Reg (+100)

# Sharks PL (+185)

Sharks on a big revenge game here and they got a ton of quality on their team to put the anger into goals. Oilers who got a decent home record have been struggling a bit lately and got a injury list as long as a birthday shoping list...

I think Sharks gonna prevail in this one..

SJ 6 EDM 1

# PHI ML/NAS ML (+202)

Nothing looked in yet, only 90% in my mind so inputs is welcome...

And BOL to all...

StokesChargers
StokesChargers says:
11/27/09 12:03PM

Have a game starting in an hour.... One early play for today. Loving the under in the BOS/NJ game. Brodeur is confirmed. These 2 teams play tight games. Hopefully the offenses are a little sluggish with the noon start for their timezone. Cross your fingers for a tight defensively played game.

#1: NJ @ BOS U5 (-102)

StokesChargers
StokesChargers says:
11/27/09 12:11PM

Adding...

#2: Grand Salami U68.5 (-103)

Loving this play today. I look at this board and see potential for every game under! And tomorrow will be playing the opposite with almost every team on B2B's.

#3: PIT @ NYI Regulation (+0.5) (-150)

We have the backup in for PIT. Like Leek said, the Isles score with Rolly in. I think this is a good spot for them here. They like to play the Penguins tough, they always feel they have to prove something against them. Like they can contend with them. And they usually do.

I did not realize how many early starts we have today... That will probably be all my plays for the early ones, but like everyone else I am riding the Sharks tonight.

StokesChargers
StokesChargers says:
11/27/09 12:19PM

#4: NJ @ BOS (NJ ML) (+113)

Boston is coming home after winning 4 in a row on the road. A nice let down spot for them here against the best road team. I hate playing the side and total in the same game though. 3-1 final NJ. Same as the other night.

powers13
powers13 says:
11/27/09 01:45PM

todaYS PICKS SAN JOSE .... BLACKHAWKS AND NEWJERSEY.............

stefanopv
stefanopv says:
11/27/09 02:27PM

hawks and nash

stumpmaker
stumpmaker says:
11/27/09 03:11PM

Hi People !!!

Today I'm fading some popular road teams...No disrespect intended...I'ts just something that DOES happen...One thing I've discovered over the years is that there is NO SUCH THING as a complete LOCK !!!

Having said that, there's also another good advancing thought...Nobody wins em alland nobody loses em all...Look back at your own bad beats and you'll agree...

All of that data out there that is available to EVERYONE, is fine...Yeah, study it...But another thing that is obvious is that all the betting lines are based on the VERY SAME data and the public jumps all over it creating your favorites...

The one thing that I DO NOT DO is base my choice solely on the numbers...I probably put about 30% of my decision on them...

Chicago Blackhawks CANNOT be expected to run the table...Things the numbers DO NOT show are the niggling little injuries that discourage some players to no longer block some of those important goal saving shots...That's a small example..Much more goes on that numbers don't show...

A lot of teams see these high flying clubs coming along and lay in waiting to ambush them...

I think you're going to see that today with:

Anaheim

Carolina

Phoenix

Edmonton (how many times have you been burnt by these guys ???)

I also really like:

Tampa Bay (lesser choice)

Florida

Nashville

Common thread here is that they're all home teams on a holiday...(numbers only infer that slightly or you would see some blow-out rices on SJ and CHI, which you don't...)

That's the strategy that I will focus on today and see how it works..

GL everyone..

LeeK3
LeeK3 says:
11/27/09 03:42PM

My modem decided to go bonkers right at 11am when I was attempting to log on to my sportsbook, so I didn't get anything down on the Pens/Isles.

I like the above posts by The Mystery and StokesChargers, but that's because I agree with them. Hey Stumpmaker, no disrespect taken on your opinion, and I agree that underdogs win too, BUT those teams that you mentioned (Anaheim, Carolina, Edmonton) have some of the worst records in the league (all are in the bottom six with Carolina being the worst team in the league). I like your pick of Phoenix with Bryzgalov at home, but I just can't see those other teams getting wins today against such hot teams as the Hawks and Preds and then the Sharks (a top team) coming off of that bad loss at home to Chicago. No disrepect intended by me, but it's not like your getting great "plus money" in return on those dogs, so I don't see the value in them. Remember, Legace wasn't even in the NHL until Cam Ward went down. Deslauriers is a back-up but has started the last 4 games for the Oilers since Khabibulin is injured. Speaking of injured, the Oilers have 4 players OUT, 3 doubtful, and 2 questionable for tonight's game. And in Anaheim, the Ducks and Hiller face the hottest offense AND hottest defense with the Blackhawks.

Here are the plays that I ended up with today. Good luck to everyone!

NASHVILLE -140 vs St Louis, to win 1 unit.

Chicago -140 vs ANAHEIM, to win 1 unit.

Atlanta -115 vs CAROLINA, to win 1 unit.

San Jose -155 vs EDMONTON, to win 1 unit.

UNDER 5.5 (even) WINGS vs Flames, 1 unit.

stumpmaker
stumpmaker says:
11/27/09 03:58PM

No offense taken LeeK3..but like you even said yourself, there isn't much "plus money" on those selections just confirms that the injury issues and all the other numbers arn't scaring the oddsmakers all that much...I don't like teams that are on the road over Thanksgiving , that's all..Good examples are:

Underdogs Buffalo,Isles , and Minnesota are competing well today and Boston who deserved to win outright today took favorite NJ to a shootout (which I called...lol...)Yeah I know Buffalo isn't on the road but they ARE the underdog !!!

I've done this before and also seen others do it to some success...Good Luck Bro...

stumpmaker
stumpmaker says:
11/27/09 04:01PM

I'm still chuckling over Kyle Wellwood's standing O for the empty netter last night...Very moving...What a great city I'm lucky to be living in....

stumpmaker
stumpmaker says:
11/27/09 04:06PM

Whooaaahhhh!!!

Breaking news!!!!

Tiger Woods has been seriously injured in a car crash this morning !!!

TheMystery
TheMystery says:
11/27/09 04:39PM

Woods is already out of the hospital.... His agent says he's ok

Weird way to get injuried tho, lol... Hitting a fire hydrant, then tree while pulling out of his driveway...

sportsKing84
sportsKing84 says:
11/27/09 04:49PM

There are many games on the board tonight but 2 are money makers. You're never gonna make money in the long term betting 5 games a night.

The two games that stick out are Pittsburgh vs. West Virginia and the Boise vs Nevada game.

Check out "pickwinnersonly.com" for analyses, and what and how to bet them.

derekgiffen
derekgiffen says:
11/27/09 05:32PM

Whats the difference between a golfball and a car? . . . . . . Tiger woods can drive a golfball 300 yards

stumpmaker
stumpmaker says:
11/27/09 05:38PM

HA HA ...Good stuff !!! Glad he's alright tho..

StokesChargers
StokesChargers says:
11/27/09 06:02PM

A good morning so far going 3-0, with 1 play still pending (the Grand Salami). Have a few more plays to add.

#5: ATL @ CAR (ATL ML) (-106)

I do not really understand this line. The Thrashers are the obvious better team, and looked real good with a shutout win against Detroit the other night. We have a better goalie for Atlanta, better offense, and better defense. I actually do feel this could be a tight game, with Staal back for the Canes, but the difference will be the goalie. I know the Canes will be playing desperate for the win, but in the end I feel the better team will get it done tonight.

#6: SJS @ EDM (SJS ML) (-155)

Tough loss the other night to the Hawks. They will bounce back in a big way here tonight. We have Nabby confirmed; he has to be motivated.

#7: Parlay: NYR+1.5, STL +1.5 (-126)

I think both teams will win their games, but am to chicken to take that chance. The Preds winning streak started with the Blues, and I think it will end with them as well. Or maybe they wont end it, but they cans till lose by one goal.

GLA. Looking forward to tomorrow.

stumpmaker
stumpmaker says:
11/27/09 06:25PM

Ha Ha...Wonder if I should start fading Tiger Woods for awhile too...lol...?

powers13
powers13 says:
11/27/09 06:36PM

1winner winner new jearsey........ hawks and sanjose next ......

stumpmaker ....first of all the teams on the road play better during thanks giving for your f.y.i ..all the home teams are at home getting fat with family and turkey dinners.....

so your wrong about dinner........ your wrong aboy the hawks tooo....i geuuss you didnt see the beating they gave to sanjose....... and if you laying money on edmontoN caroliona AND ANAHIEM ...WELLL YOU HAVE A GOOD CHANCE OF GOING O FOR 3 OR 1 FOR 3 TODAY...... GOOD LUCK ON YOUIR PLAYS BUT IM UP 1 ALREAdy and the hawsk at minus 143 was a good deal as well...... you should enjoy your left over turkey and not bet those games....... i think it being thanksgiving the road teams will be ready and lighter on there feet...

powers13
powers13 says:
11/27/09 06:40PM

nashville is another great pick tonite...good luck to all and hope you yankees are enjoying thanksgiving dinnersw.......

iles playing great hockey ilses1940.......very competitive i should say...plus 1.5 goal plays are good with them......

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