Ice picks: Wednesday's best NHL bets

By COVERS.com STAFF | November 24, 2009 | 54 comments
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Boston Bruins at Minnesota Wild (+115, 5)

The Bruins welcomed back star forward Marc Savard in their 4-2 win over the St. Louis Blues Monday. Savard, who missed 15 games with a broken foot, registered no shots on goal and picked up a high sticking penalty in 16:30 minutes of playing time.

“Not bad,” said Savard, grading his performance . “I felt a little rusty at times. I had some chances. I felt pretty good. I think it’s coming. I had fun and we won. It’s a good thing.”

Before suffering the injury, Savard had seven points in eight games, scoring four goals and posting a plus/minus of +1. He’s slowly making his way back and brought some life to the second-unit power play.

“I think other guys feed off it,” Savard told the Boston Herald. “The second unit obviously is the one that scored the two goals. Once we go out and have some chances and calm it down, they go out and keep it going. It was good to see them capitalize, because as we’ve said, down the stretch (power plays are) going to be the difference.”

Boston has won three straight heading into Wednesday and is hoping to end its slump against the Wild. The Bruins have won just one of their last nine meetings with Minnesota going back to 2000.

Pick: Boston

Philadelphia Flyers at New York Islanders (+121, 5.5)

When it rains it pours in Philadelphia.

The Flyers, already dealing with the loss of star Simon Gagne, found out this week that they will not have the services of forwards Darroll Powe and Blair Betts for at least two weeks. Arron Asham is also out with a injury, leaving Philly without four of their top 12 forwards and 33.3 percent of its scoring.

"We have to march ahead, and some of the others have to step up," general manager Paul Holmgren told the Philadelphia Inquirer.

The Flyers have lost three straight games heading into Wednesday’s contest with New York. They desperately need stars like Jeff Carter and Mike Richards to step up. Both of those players have combined for just eight goals in the past 10 games.

Pick: New York

54 comments
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jgmjgm
jgmjgm says:
11/24/09 10:53PM

Phiily @ Islanders

I also believe Briere is out for a couple of games for a suspension? I was liking the Islanders Monday night when I first looked at this game. Love me some Home Doggie now.

The_sports_babe
The_sports_babe says:
11/25/09 12:14AM

I like 1 play for wednesday night

Lay 1.5 units to win 1 unit on the Dallas Stars

+6.15 units/season so far.... bol...TSB...

LeeK3
LeeK3 says:
11/25/09 02:52AM

Early leans for me on Wednesday based on the tentative starting goalies, are the Predators +115 Rinne over the Avalanche Anderson, the BlackHawks w/Huet as a +115 dog over the Sharks w/Nabby. Tampa Bay -140 with Nittymaki over the Leafs w/Gustavsson. And then a 2-team ML parlay on the Penguins and Ducks.

And I saw the Deslauries would get the start this week while the Bulin Wall is out with a sore back. And speaking of out, the Sens' Pascal Leclaire is out for 4 weeks with a broken cheek bone and minor surgery, after getting hit in the face with a puck, while sitting on the bench during overtime against the Capitals.

hvacdawg
hvacdawg says:
11/25/09 11:02AM

leclaire is injury prone. they just follow him around.

hvacdawg
hvacdawg says:
11/25/09 11:02AM

leclaire is injury prone. they just follow him around.

isles19404ever
isles19404ever says:
11/25/09 11:03AM

jgm, on the Flyers/Isles tilt tonight, Briere is OUT. along with forwards Arron Asham, Blair Betts, Darroll Powe, and of course Simon Gagne who has been on the shelf since late October. Dman Ole-Kristian Tollefsen is also OUT with a concussion. These injuries have taken their toll on the Flyers lately, especially on the Western road trip they just finished going 1-3 and losing their last 3. Brian Boucher will get the nod in net tonight, and with the Flyers making that west to east trip after 4 games out there, injuires mounting, and Boucher in between the pipes, the Isles are in a good spot. My only concern as Martin Biron will face his old team, is the blown lead factor that continues to haunt them going back to last season. Rolo stole 2 points in TO with a great performance, but the dreaded 3 nil lead was lost AGAIN and the Leafs should of come away with the 2 if not for the DR. Isles have also been away from home for quite a while, but have played well during this lenghty trip, with the MIN and STL games standing out as duds. I'm sure you will post any relative info as detailed as you are and I will do the same as I plan to keep the chat lines open back home on the Island.

Stump, big card tonight, will wait for your first post to look things over..

jgmjgm
jgmjgm says:
11/25/09 11:38AM

Isles - yes I figured Briere might be out along with all the other injuries. NYI is in a good spot here as I feel Philly is playing poorly. Boucher & Biron are confirmed as starters.

I think I will be rolling the NYI play in with Dallas + Nashville + Chicago.

Will need to check tending matchups, and game numbers later in the day.

isles19404ever
isles19404ever says:
11/25/09 12:16PM

I'm with you on Nashville, as they just swept their last home stand going 5-0, with wins against Detroit, New Jersey, San jose, and have won 6 in a row and 8 out of 10. The Avs will slowly get back to reality as I posted last week, and are just 4-6 in their last 10.

So far, Isles and Nash looking like nice dog plays on the ML, still early..

Gee_Gee
Gee_Gee says:
11/25/09 12:36PM

how is carter and richards combining for 8 goals in last 10 conisdered slumping? so thats an avg. of 4 each, meaning their "slump" would put both on pace for over 30 goals?

nuggins
nuggins says:
11/25/09 12:57PM

lots o' games today but by far the OVER 5 in njd/ott is my #1 play... looking at others but do like isles and nash as well as most...like pens PL -1.5 as well, perhaps the O...pens throttled them last game, Mon on a B2B and they are not even close to the pens in terms pf talent and level of play...like this PL as my #2 but let's wait a bit for goalies to lock anything down...

leclaire is a boner...how about paying attention instead of just jabbering to the trainer...idiot

nuggins
nuggins says:
11/25/09 02:05PM

yeah, DDH imagine that..guess who my favorite simpson character is?...it's Homer...

anways, got a PL dog 3 teamer going...hit one like this on Mon but a 4 teamer w/ dallas as a PL fav:

Isles PL

Hawks PL

Preds PL

2 team ML: Pens and Ducks

somethings telling me to dive into the Flyers?isels Over as well...

Need to narrow it down a bit but locked in: Dev over 5, and those 2 parlays so far

flyguys
flyguys says:
11/25/09 02:14PM

I didn't do the math but I thought that sound strange myself gee gee. With boucher and biron confirmed as the starters I like the over.

stumpmaker
stumpmaker says:
11/25/09 02:25PM

Good Morning Gents

I gotta lot of work to do here...For today I might just focus on possible "shootouts" and Overtime games...

Anaheim looks like about the only really solid prospect for an outright win...I would say a lean toward puckline...

The thing that jumps outta the page at me is that I was picking teams over the last few days that flat out UNDERPERFORMED !!!! History shows that these teams eventually DO turn things around most times sooner than later...Most notable are Buffalo, Phoenix, St. Louis...Another team that's coming off a nice win as a dog is Colorado..They may have it going again...That long string of wins by Nashville has a VERY HIGH probability of ending for a game or two...

What looks GREAT on paper often turns out to be a head scratching disappointment...Guess that's why they play them out...lol...

I do see the bubble bursting for some teams for a game or two here...Boston, Washington and Nashville..

Teams that are in VERY TOUGH tonite will beTampa Bay , San Jose , Edmonton , Dallas and Montreal..

With all the turmoil and buzzing that's going on in the hornets' nest that is the Toronto Maple Leafs , I see them being dangerous tonite with a lot of the one-way contract players stepping it up a lot...The only two players that aren't expendable are Kessel and Kaberle...

Basically, all of this is just thinking out loud as I've always said...I'm going to spend a couple of hours seeing if I can pick up the rhythms and cycles of winning and losing with some of these teams to get some solid high value choices....There may be a few of them here...I watched the CLB/Habs game last nite...Price STOOD ON HIS HEAD...Columbus dominated that game and should not have lost...(I had it for a OT/shootout..) I also think as I look down the list that over/unders merit a look..

Back later...

isles19404ever
isles19404ever says:
11/25/09 02:38PM

What up DDH, hope your feeling better..

Port, you alive? JT was MIA at TO on Monday, and the Leafs fell short after peppering DR with 60 shots. I hope you took it out on the green and not some poor Isles fan wandering about the ACC after the game..

StokesChargers
StokesChargers says:
11/25/09 03:45PM

Wow... Got a lot of homework done yesterday with only 1 game and no action. Makes room for today's nice board.

Liking a few plays today that I just can't seem to find any reasons to go against them. Will obviously ride the Preds playing at Colorado tonight. The Avs did not look that good last game. I saw the Flyers dominate them the whole 3rd period and they looked tired and like the team they were last year.

I am really liking a couple of dogs tonight. The Sabres and Capitals are both going into tonights game having come of losses to the Sens. In their games against the Sens I saw the Caps give up a 3rd period lead and the Sabres make the game look somewhat respectable in the 3rd period. Miller has not played since Friday, and I feel the best goalie in the league on 4+ days of rest here is a nice spot. It is a little scary that the Caps have lost 3 straight game and are coming back home. Will see how the line moves and decide if I will officially play on the Sens a little later.

In the LA/EDM I see a series where the road team has recently dominated this matchup. After a nice shutout win against the Yotes on Monday I see a let down here for the Oilers. Kings have had an extra 2 days rest over EDM since a couple tough home losses to 2 good teams in Calgary and Philly. I think they come out strong here and have the lead early and hopefully keep it throughout the whole game.

My POD might be the Devils tonight. They have won the last 7 meeting between them and the Sens. Again, the Devils have had an extra 2 days rest. Brodeur played only 2/3rds of the game against the Stars on Saturday, and played well after coming in for Danis who struggled. The Devils have also lost 3 straight games for the 1st time this season and this has to be a nice bounce back situation for them today at home.

Also leaning over in ATL/DET, PHI/NYI, and MON/PIT, but overs have been killing be lately.

gbear
gbear says:
11/25/09 03:49PM

STUMPMAKER,You had mentioned you were going to concentrate on Shoot outs/OT's.Who do you like in this regard?Im looking at;

Tor/T.B

LA/Edm

Chi/SJ

All of the above and maybe a couple of others going to the shoot out,what are your thoughts?

fab14
fab14 says:
11/25/09 04:14PM

In shootouts tonight i like OTT/NJ TOR/T.B CAL/PHX Gbear it good to see ya again.

stumpmaker
stumpmaker says:
11/25/09 04:17PM

Colorado alla way here !!! Adam Foote is back and the Avs should show some good stuff here after being on the road for 15 outta their 24 games...Avs are a quality team...

Florida (P/L)..I love riding these guys...This is a return match where Fla won 3-2 in Reg at MSG...I know about grudge matches, and I know Florida's record at home is shakey but this team has EIGHT solid underdog wins...They're UNDERRATED !!! Rangers' record looks streaky while Forida's is a model of consistency..I think Defence does it and "Kouner" has kept them in a lot of big games...

St.Louis (I'm gonna go M/L here) and the OVER...Two game win streak is about all that CLOWN Marc Crawford can handle...Blues will be on the program tonite !!!

Bos/Min (OT/Shootout)...Boston's gone into OT an inordinate number of times...Nolan and Kobesew coming back for Minny...Bostons road weariness will probably bring them down to Minnesota's performance level tonite...I see this one being dead even...(maybe even a Minn Win !!!) For sure a Minn (P/L)..

Buffalo (P/L)...Sabres looking better and better here...Stafford and Grier are healthy again giving the team anice overall look of balance...Washington's Defence has always been questionable to me and will show tonite partly because of Buffalo's dominance on the Penalty Kill...Lindy Ruff will have his boys ready to throw the wet blanket over Ovie tonite and that should do it...

Phoenix (P/L)...Yotes dominate in all defensive aspects especially the PK...Calgary are a ROAD JUGGERNAUT but are only mediocre at best at home for some reason....Maybe pressure....Anyways I'm gonna go the OT/Shootout on this one as well...

Ott/NJ (OT/Shootout)...Ott (P/L)

Chi/SJ (OT/Shootout)...Chi (P/L)

LA/Edm (OT/Shootout)...Edm (P/L)

I'm gonna lay off the NY Isles for today to see if they can right the ship a bit...

Man, if all these come in its gonna be party time !!!

gbear
gbear says:
11/25/09 04:20PM

FAB14, TKS,good to be back!And thanks for your input on the shootouts!

stumpmaker
stumpmaker says:
11/25/09 04:27PM

Hey gbear, fab14, DDH and the rest of you guys....Just saw your traffic after I just posted...Looks like we're on the same page for the most part and yeah, I see a lot of OT/Shootout possibilities tonite...I checked back a few wednesdays and see nothing to discourage me...Think the stars are lining up tonite with the even match-ups...It happened more than a few times last year and already more frequently this year...With it paying so big, I'm gonna load up today !!!

GL...

jgmjgm
jgmjgm says:
11/25/09 04:32PM

Wednesday's In / Out:

Ottawa's Mike Fisher - Out

Chicago's Marian Hossa - In

Carolina's Eric Staal - Activated / Maybe In?

Edmonton's Nikolai Khabibulin - Out

Pittsburgh's Tyler Kennedy - Out

Phoenix's Martin Hanzal - In

NY Rangers' Chris Drury - In

San Jose's Dan Boyle - In

San Jose's Devin Setoguchi - Out

Tampa Bay's Mattias Ohlund - Out

Minnesota's Chuck Kobasew - In

Minnesota's Martin Havlat - Out

Buffalo's Mike Grier - In

Anaheim's Joffrey Lupul - Out

Calgary's Rene Bourque - Out

gbear
gbear says:
11/25/09 04:35PM

STUMPMAKER FAB14 DDH,

Yes it looks really tempting to load up on SO matches tonight.Im going with 4 finally and they're going to be;

TO/TB

Ott/NJ

LA/Edm

Chi/SJ

a 5.00 wager pays out 11,393.30,yeah its a long shot but believe me IT HAS HAPPENED MANY TIMES BEFORE.I will be posting my thoughts on how I approach capping SO games probably in my playbook today or tomm.In the meantime lets darn the books over,they've been doing it to us for years!

benhogan76
benhogan76 says:
11/25/09 04:39PM

Afternoon gents, tonight I like the Wild and the under also like Oilers/Kings O 5.5 finally if I am stupid enough to play another PL or 3 way I like the Pens to handle the Habs.

stumpmaker
stumpmaker says:
11/25/09 04:40PM

Agree gbear...GL

stumpmaker
stumpmaker says:
11/25/09 04:42PM

P.S. gbear...I like to box the parlay as well...any two correct always generates an overall profit...know what I mean by that ???

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