Randy Scott is an oddsmaker for betED.com.
Kansas City Chiefs at Jacksonville Jaguars (-6.5, 41.5)
Opening Line: -6.5, 42
Where the early action is: 75 percent - Jags
Comments: This will be our least bet game of the day. There’s nothing really interesting in this matchup. Chiefs RB Larry Johnson is out (Disciplinary)
Entering the Jags in a teaser to bring the line down to -0.5 or less is the only real action happening.
Fact: The Chiefs have zero rushing touchdowns this season.
Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals (+2.5, 45)
Opening Line: -3, 43
Wise Action: Over 43
Where the early action is: 94 percent - Ravens
Comments: The Bengals won the last time these teams played in Baltimore 17-14 in Week 5. And this week they are home underdogs against the same team. That seems strange, but that’s because there are more tangibles in this line than stats.
The bettors are all over Baltimore -2.5 in this one, as well as putting them into a teaser at +3.5 or more. We might have to move that line back on to the key number 3 if the action doesn’t balance out soon.
The wise guys are betting this will be a fairly high-scoring game.
Fact: Ravens QB Joe Flacco started a streak of 54 passes without an interception, since his season-high two interception against the Bengals back in Week 5.
Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts (-8.5, 49)
Opening Line: -8.5, 48
Where the early action is: 70 percent - Texans
Comments: The undefeated Colts have a fairly big number to cover at home this week against a streaking Houston team. Houston has won 3 in a row and has looked very solid in the process.
Usually the Colts get all the action regardless of the point-spread, but this week we are currently taking more Straight bet action on the Texans, but are loading up on Colts teasers at -2.5 or better.
This is a very tough game to comfortably book, and we’ll look to get out of this game with as little damage as possible. Expect this line to drop if the bettors continue to see this spread as a bit too high.
Fact: Colts QB Peyton Manning has six 300 yards passing games out of seven this season.
Washington Redskins at Atlanta Falcons (-9.5, 41)
Opening Line: -10, 42
Where the early action is: 90 percent - Falcons
Comments: Atlanta needs a game like this to get back on track. They have a fairly soft three games after this. Atlanta has allowed an average 36 point in their last two games and the Redskins only average about 17 point per game. This is a good practice game for them.
The bettors are heavily backing the Falcons in this one and even more so in teasers.
Fact: The Falcons are 10-1 at home under second-year coach Mike Smith
Green Bay Packers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+10, 44)
Opening Line: -10, 44
Where the early action is: 98 percent - Packers
Comments: All Green Bay here. This is another automatic fade against the Bucs. The Packers are pretty much in a must-win situation. To not show up and lose to the winless Bucs this week could slam the door on their playoff hopes. It just isn’t going to happen. The bettors have Green Bay in every hookup imaginable. This is a huge root for the house, look for this like to move off of 10.
Fact: The Bucs have made a total of two field goals all season.
Arizona Cardinals at Chicago Bears (-2.5, 44.5)
Opening Line: -3, 44.5
Where the early action is: 90 percent - Cardinals
Comments: The Cardinals are a hard team to figure, they play better on the road. The Bears are extremely inconsistent. The opening line only represents home-field advantage and has drop off the key number 3 due to the lop-sided action. Putting Arizona in a teaser at +8.5 or better is also a very popular bet.
Fact: Cardinals QB Kurt Warner has 11 interceptions and 11 touchdown passes this season.
Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots (-10.5, 46.5)
Opening Line: -10.5, 47
Where the early action is: 50 - 50 split
Comments: This is solid line and will likely stay where it is. The point-spread action is light, but split. The teaser action is loaded with Patriots -4.5 or better. It will be interesting to see what the Patriots do to Miami’s wildcat offence. Our gut feeling is it won’t be much of a contest.
The total has already dropped some, and might drop even more.
Fact: The Dolphins have averaged only 1.7 yards on 21 wildcat attempts the past two games.
Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints (-14, 51.5)
Opening Line: -14.5, 52
Where the early action is: 50-50 split
Comments: The undefeated Saints carry yet another monster point-spread. The bettors aren’t really touching this pointspread, the ones that are, are betting both sides. Teasers are the big bet in this one to bring the Saints down to -8 or less.
The Saints are coming off a big win on Monday night against the Falcons, the only game they haven’t covered this year. So the question remains, how long can the Saints go without a let-down game? Check the odds on the Saints going undefeated for the rest of the regular season NFL Side Bet of The Day.
Fact: The Saints have five touchdowns off of interceptions this season, which ties their club record set back in 1998
Detroit Lions at Seattle Seahawks (-10, 42)
Opening Line: -10, 43
Where the early action is: 90 percent - Seahawks
Comments: No one is backing the banged up Lions in Seattle this week, no matter how high this line gets. It’s all Seahawks every way possible in this one. Teasers are huge here to bring Seattle down to -4 or less.
The total is heavily lop-sided to the under. Look for that number to drop even more.
Fact: Detroit’s rookie QB Matt Stafford has a passer rating of 61.7
Tennessee Titans at San Francisco 49ers (-4, 40.5)
Opening Line: -5.5, 40.5
Wise Action: Titans +5.5
Where the early action is: 67 percent – 49ers
Comments: This is the only game the wise guys bet the spread on. That moved the line down to 4, but we are getting heavy on the Niners. This is a tough game to read, when in doubt go with the wise groups. This line will likely stay at 4, regardless of where majority of the action ends up.
This could end up being a big time running game, the total hasn’t moved yet but we could see some movement to it closer to game time.
Fact: 49ers RB Frank Gore has three touchdown runs of more than 60 yards this season.
San Diego Chargers at New York Giants (-5, 48)
Opening Line: -4.5, 47.5
Where the early action is: 55 percent - Chargers
Comments: Not a lot of action on this game yet, but the action we are getting is fairly split. The Giants normally would be getting most of the bets on a game like this, but they haven’t looked good in the past 3 games.
The Giants are taking more teaser action at +1 or better and the total is getting all over action. Look for the total to move up even more closer to game time.
This is the first time Rivers and Manning have started against each other; it’ll be interesting to see who shows up in this one.
Fact: The Giants average 26.5 points per game, which ranks ninth in the league. The Chargers rank 10th with an average of 26.4 points per game.
Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles (-3, 50)
Opening Line: -3, 47.5
Where the early action is: 75 percent - Eagles
Comments: This will be one of the most bet on games. It’s the last game of the day, which generally draws more bets and it’s also great matchup. This should be a big-play game by both teams. The total moved up to 50 points late in the week.
It seems the bettors have gotten past the fact the Eagles lost to the Raiders back in week six. 75 percent of the straight bet action is on Eagles and 98 percent of the teaser action is also on the Eagles +3 and on.
It’s early, and there is a full board of games ahead of this one, but it looks like the house is going to need Dallas pretty big. That could be cause for a line move off the key number three.
Fact: Donovan McNabb has thrown only one interception in 133 attempts this season.