Michael Perry is an oddsmaker for Logans.com.
No. 9 LSU (7-1, 4-4 ATS) at No. 3 Alabama (8-0, 5-3 ATS)
Line/Total: We opened with Alabama -9 and a total of 38. On Monday, we got sharp money on the dog and moved to Bama -7.5, where it still resides. We got a wise play on Over 38 Wednesday. Total is at 40 now. There are large decisions on both the side and total, as 66 percent of action on spread is backing LSU and 79 percent are on the under.
Injury Report: LSU: RB Richard Murphy (knee) is out for season, P Derek Helton (hip) is probable
Alabama: DE Damion Square (ACL) is out, RB Terry Grant (undisclosed) is questionable, LB Dont'a Hightower (knee) is out, TE Colin Peek (knee) is questionable, RB Jeramie Griffin (knee) is out
Comments: The only team that realistically stands between Alabama and a trip the SEC Championship Game is LSU. The Tigers get a chance to not only crush Alabama title hopes, but they will have the inside track toward the aforementioned SEC title game if they can upset the Crimson Tide Saturday.
Alabama had an extra week to prepare for this game. It seems like the bye came at perfect time for the Crimson Tide as they narrowly escaped defeat against Tennessee the week prior. Quarterback Greg McElroy has been a huge disappointment over the past three games, failing to throw a TD pass during this stretch. It looks like this comes down to which defense buckles first, as Alabama is second in the SEC in points allowed (11.4) and LSU is third (12.1).
Prop of Game: Jordan Jefferson (LSU) Total Completions: 15.5
No. 12 Ohio State (7-2, 7-2 ATS) at No. 10 Penn State (8-1, 5-4 ATS)
Line/Total: The sharps are all over Penn State in this matchup, as line has gone from PSU -3.5 to -5.5. Total opened 40 and currently is 39. We are going to need OSU and the points in this matchup, as 66 percent of side action is backing Penn State. Not much of decision on total, as 54 percent of action here is backing the under.
Injury Report: OSU: QB Terrelle Pryor (leg) is probable, S Aaron Gant (lower body) is out, LB Andrew Sweat (knee) is out for season, RB Marcus Williams (knee) is out for season, OL Justin Boren (foot) is probable, PK Aaron Pettrey (knee) is out for season, RB Jaamal Berry (hamstring) is questionable, LT Mike Adams (knee) is out, LB Tyler Moeller (head) is out for season
PSU: LB Michael Mauti (knee) is out for season, DT Brandon Ware (foot) is out for season, RB Stephfon Green (ankle) is probable
Comments: Surprisingly, the huge Big Ten matchup between Ohio St and Penn State is for second place in the standings. Iowa is still the only undefeated team, but has to play at Ohio State November 14, so this conference is still far from being decided.
After getting upset by Iowa at home earlier this year, Penn State has won and covered five straight. Much of PSU's recent success, at least offensively, can be attributed to QB Daryl Clark who has nine TD passes and only one INT during the five-game win streak. OSU QB Terrelle Pryor struggled against PSU last year, throwing no TD passes, while throwing an INT and only recording six yards of rushing.
Prop of Game: Daryl Clark (Penn State) Total Passing Yards: 222.5
No. 20 Oklahoma (5-3, 3-4-1 ATS) at Nebraska (5-3, 5-3 ATS)
Line/Total: We opened OU at -5.5 and posted the total at 41.5. It looks like two separate betting syndicates are on this game, as we got sharp money on OU early in the week and moved game to -6. Then we got some sharp money on the other side +6 and +5.5 and moved game to current number of OU -4.5. Enormous decision on the spread, as 88 percent of the action here is backing the Sooners. We have even action on total, as 54 percent of total action is on the under.
Injury Report: OU: QB Sam Bradford (shoulder) is out for season, TE Jermaine Gresham (knee) is out for season, OG Tavaris Jeffries (suspension) is questionable, WR Brandon Caleb (ankle) is probable, WR Adron Tennell (shoulder) is questionable, OG Brian Simmons (knee) is out , DT DeMarcus Granger (back) is out, LB Tom Wort (knee) is out for season, LB Mike Balogun (eligibility) is out
Neb: RB Roy Helu (shoulder) is probable, RB Quentin Castille has been dismissed from team, WR Chris Brooks (back) is probable, TE Kyler Reed (knee) is probable, LB Blake Lawrence (concussion) is out for season, S Rickey Thenarse (knee) is out, CB Jace Dean (knee) is out for season, RB Dontrayevous Robinson (leg) is probable, CB Alfonzon Dennard (shoulder) is questionable, RB Rex Burkhead (foot) is out 6-8 weeks.
Comments: Before the 2009 season began, lofty expectations were made for both Oklahoma and Nebraska. However, both teams have been extremely disappointing this year, each losing three times this season. Some in Huskerland were even talking about bringing back the Blackshirts after they beat Missouri. But disaster quickly struck in Lincoln after the team lost home games to Texas Tech and of all teams, Iowa State. Nebraska has failed to cover three straight. Oklahoma at least has the excuse of having injuries, as All-Americans Sam Bradford and Jermaine Gresham are out for the season.
Prop of Game: Chris Brown (Oklahoma) Will He Record a Touchdown: No (-140)