Pick 'n' roll: Saturday's best NBA bets

By COVERS.com STAFF | November 6, 2009 | 40 comments
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New York Knicks at Milwaukee Bucks (-4, 194.5)

At the NBA draft, Knicks fans groaned when Stephen Curry did not drop to them. Things might have been all right if the Knicks had grabbed Brandon Jennings, the early front-runner for Rookie of the Year.

Jennings is averaging 22.0 points and 5.3 assists while shooting 48 percent from the field, including 50 percent from the arc.

"Sometimes the challenge comes if the player has some sort of success, and as a coach you're happy for him and all that," Bucks coach Scott Skiles told SI.com. "But you also know there's a lot more there and you want to get more out of him."

While Jennings is flourishing, Knicks draft pick Jordan Hill has played two minutes and point guard Chris Duhon is averaging just 10.2 points and 6.8 assists on 31 percent shooting.

Pick: Milwaukee -4

Denver Nuggets at Atlanta Hawks (-2, 214)

Even with scoring sub J.R. Smith sidelined by a suspension, the Nuggets lead the NBA with an average of 115.4 points per game.

Denver also leads the league in free throws made (29.6) and attempted (37.6) per game, 3-point shooting (.470) and points per shot (1.44).

The Hawks are no slouches either, getting a spark from offseason addition Jamal Crawford to rank fifth in offense (108.0) and eighth in shooting
(.479). They also lead the NBA in free-throw percentage (.831).

Both teams look to run whenever possible and are content playing shootouts. The Nuggets are 17th in defense (101.8 ppg) and the Hawks are 19th (102.4).

This one will have an ABA feel to it.

Pick: Over 214

40 comments
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BET2COVER says:
11/07/09 12:13AM

Can't get enough of these FADE palys..

BET2COVER says:
11/07/09 12:34AM

**plays**

Chezman says:
11/07/09 01:35AM

Oh Yeah! Fade Away!

HMoney says:
11/07/09 06:59AM

Boise goes over easily-i shoulda just stayed away from side.

lean to Raptors tomorrow vs Mavs but have alot of CFB plays

1. ALABAMA-LSU Under 40

2. MIAMi the U -13.5

3. CINCINNATI -17

4. PENN ST -3.5

5. OREGON STATE +7

6. NORTHWESTERN +17 1H +9

7. HOUSTON COUGARS PK

8. UL MONROE -1

9. WESTERN MICH +21 GL H$

tagsrock says:
11/07/09 09:54AM

I will be out most of the day..I found one thread that the guy was claiming illinois is a lock lock lock..Im kinda up in the air on fading him but i will for the heck of it..Wish i had time to find a better fade but i dont..Taking the gophers on the fade...

good luck today men..Lets go BYU!!!

tagsrock says:
11/07/09 09:54AM

Fade this one with caution!!

ginder123 says:
11/07/09 12:13PM

YTD: 3-1 (+2.9 units)

Atlanta Hawks -3

ginder123 says:
11/07/09 12:13PM

For 1 unit

tomnolan says:
11/07/09 12:25PM

Good morning all- 3 team parlay to start this wonderful day. Pitt / Iowa / Mia fl. Good luck to all!!!!!

doobiebrother says:
11/07/09 01:01PM

CFB 38-39-1 (-5.6). All trends ATS unless otherwise noted.

5* Pitt (-21.5) over Syracuse – Loss of WR Williams was huge for Orange as he was #1 in Big East and #6 in CFB in receptions (49), with next guy on team having just 18. Third down back Bailey (17 receptions) is also out. With Syracuse tough vs. run (88.9 #7) but horrible vs. pass (274 #117), Panthers will go deep early and often. They have the best WRs in the league and QB Stull will match his #6 efficiency (161.2) vs. Syracuse #114 efficiency “D” (158.5). Panthers do have ND on deck but come off bye and have another bye after Irish.

5* Wisconsin (-12.5) over Indiana – Badgers 37-0 trouncing of a good Purdue team was impressive. Their only losses are to undefeated Iowa and at Ohio St. in a game they dominated (yardage 368-184). Hoosiers have played 8 straight weeks including 5 road games, and heartbreaking loss at Iowa last week virtually eliminated them from bowl competition. Badgers had bye before Purdue game and should overpower weary hoosiers at line of scrimmage.

5* Arkansas (-7) over S. Carolina – Tough spot for Gamecocks who have not had a week off this year. They play 10th straight week and 3rd road game in 4 weeks including Bama and Tennessee. They’ve already clinched bowl eligibility and have home game with Florida on deck. They have allowed 24 sacks and now will be without 360 lb. LT King, who protects QB Garcia’s blind side. Arkansas DL coming on like gangbusters and could have a field day. SC DE Mathews (39 T, 8 TFL, 5 sacks) is also out. Razorbacks had only EMU last week and must win 2 of next 3 at home to clinch bowl eligibility heading to LSU for season finale.

3* UConn (+17) over Cincinnati – Huskies have had some adversity but still are 7-1 L8 and 6-1 on road. Cincy has faced only one other team with strong running game and should have lost at home (Fresno 28-20). Bearcats may be looking ahead to WVU on Friday. Cincy often wins via HC Kelley outcoaching foes but nobody outcoaches Edsell.

3* Florida (-35) over Vanderbilt – Commodores likely to end up with 0 here as they are #93 in total offense, without QB Smith, and down to their 3rd teamer at LT. Vandy “D” spunky, but Tebow and Gator offense will be on the field all day and might make 35 look small.

3* SMU (-18) over Rice – Normally this would be a trap game with SMU coming off road games at Houston and Tulsa, and Rice off a bye, but Mustangs have 3 of final 4 at home and need 2 wins to clinch first bowl berth since 1984. Despite recent success, SMU still underrated. Their win a Tulsa was no fluke (yardage 429-322) and they outgained Houston in loss (397-394). June Jones run and shoot could explode vs. # 114 Rice “D” (470). No letdown here as Mustangs can take sole control of 1st place in CUSA West if Houston loses at Tulsa.

3* Kansas St. (+2.5) over Kansas – Jayhawks keeping burning money (0-5) but public not betting against them, and as long as lines maker continues to get equal money on both sides or more on Kansas, he will continue to set bad line. KSU coming on strong under brilliant guru Snyder and their comeback vs. tough Oklahoma “D” last week was impressive. Wildcats have trounced Colorado and A&M by combined 82-20 in L2 home games and should be favored here.

3* Penn St. (-5.5) over Ohio St. – Both teams play great “D” (OSU #5 & #6 scoring PSU #6 & #1), but Lions have big edge on offense (#24 to #63) and at QB (#20 eff. To #60). With OSU K Petrey out, they also have special teams edge. Home field alone worth 6 points here. L5 meetings decided by 7>.

3* Stanford (+7) over Oregon – Letdown spot for Ducks after big USC win and despite a couple of misleading score, have yet to play a really good road game. They lost at Boise, trailed UCLA at the half and gained just 300 yards, and barely outgained Washington (416-395). Cardinal had LW off and are 9-1 SU & 10-0 ATS at home. Their OL and power running game will have success and outright upset would not surprise.

3* USC (-10) over Arizona St. – Devils simply not good enough to keep angry and embarrassed Trojans from taking out their frustrations.

thewild says:
11/07/09 01:01PM

CLEMSON -9

FSU is on the down.....Clemson on the come. To much speed.

luckylogan says:
11/07/09 01:20PM

MILW-4 Covers may have gotten one right!

luckylogan says:
11/07/09 01:21PM

Tom Nolan...should have played them in a 10-point teaser! Iowa?? Too many pts!

vdevitz21 says:
11/07/09 01:52PM

plays today

CFB

Penn St -5

Nebraska +4

NBA

Nets +14

Jazz -15

0-0 posting on this site

i see guys have some good insight i wanna try to give and recieve some insight and break the bank!!!

ochocincoloco says:
11/07/09 02:34PM

All plays 1.1 u each

Bobcats +8 and over 171

Sooners -4.5

Nittany Lions -5.5

Wyoming +13.5 CASH IT

Megamaniak says:
11/07/09 02:35PM

Word up, doobiebrother!!!!

ochocincoloco says:
11/07/09 02:38PM

Duke Blue Devils +10 1.1 u

also like Oregon Ducks and TCU Cash your tickets

ToyPro says:
11/07/09 02:39PM

Texas -17 Second half over UCF

FBtropi says:
11/07/09 02:59PM

Mega, what up bro? Good to see ya back in. Missed your input and verbal backhands to some. Hope all is well. Stay up..

luckylogan says:
11/07/09 03:28PM

MEGA--wow..the legend return!

luckylogan says:
11/07/09 03:29PM

One NFL teaser tomorrow..NO/ATL/GB...let the chalk talk!

luckylogan says:
11/07/09 03:30PM

Hmoney..how did you get PENN STATE -3.5??

powers13 says:
11/07/09 03:48PM

iowa is no number 4 team even lastweek vs indy they looked terrible...it was more bad coaching on idy part than anything.....shoud be ranked around 11 to 14.....

cantex48 says:
11/07/09 03:48PM

hey mega!how's the weather out there....mittens and scarf time up here,good to see ya!

powers13 says:
11/07/09 04:02PM

lucky logan great call on byu.............24 to 0......and more

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