Ice picks: Wednesday's best NHL bets

By COVERS.com STAFF | November 3, 2009 | 42 comments
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Washington Capitals at New Jersey Devils (-145, 5.5)

Another NHL superstar will be watching from the stands for the next couple weeks. Washington Capitals winger and reigning NHL MVP Alexander Ovechkin is currently listed as week-to-week by the team and will sit out Wednesday’s clash with the New Jersey Devils due to an upper-body strain.

Ovechkin leads the NHL in scoring with 23 points in his first 14 games of the season, scoring nine goals and adding 14 assists.

“We have to buckle down,” Capitals head coach Bruce Boudreau told the media. “A goal a game he scores, so we got to play better defense and cannot allow four or five goals a game. You have to win 3-1 and 2-1 and if you get lucky sometimes make it a 4-2 game. I think we have enough character players who understand what we will have to do without Alex.”

Washington is visiting one of the best under plays in hockey. The Devils have finished below the total in four straight contests and boast a 3-8-1 over/under record to start the year. They beat Washington - with Ovechkin in the lineup - 3-2 in a shootout two weeks ago, playing under the 6-goal total.

Pick: Under 5.5

New York Islanders at Buffalo Sabres (-185, 5.5) 

First-overall draft pick John Tavares isn’t the main reason the Islanders are the hottest team in hockey – but he’s a good start. The rookie forward has registered a point in each of the team’s four straight wins, two goals and two assists, heading into Wednesday’s game in Buffalo.

New York’s veteran corps is impressed with the youngster’s rapid improvement in the pros, especially mentor, teammate and roommate Doug Weight.  Weight has opened his home to Tavares much like Pittsburgh Penguins great and team owner Mario Lemieux did with the Penguins’ budding superstars.

"Doug has made things very easy. All I have to do is focus in on hockey," Tavares told reporters. "I think I've taken that first step a lot quicker than I would have had I been on my own."

The Islanders have outscored their opponents 15-5 during this current hot stretch, getting great production from all their forward lines as well as goaltender Dwayne Roloson, who has been in goal for three of those victories.

Pick: New York +170

42 comments
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The_sports_babe says:
11/03/09 11:39PM

I deserve everything i got tonight. Never, and i mean never, will i play that useless etc. etc. team [ and i use the word team, loosely] again.

-1 unit tonight. +1.93 / season.....TSB...

jgmjgm says:
11/04/09 12:07AM

Hang in there TSB. I'm sure the fact that it ended up going to overtime couldn't have helped either. I understand your reasoning that there is an exception to every rule, but my exception to that exception rule involves Toronto teams. Anyway that's my bias towards Canada's "Center of the Universe". Keep your head up. Bad beats are part of the game.

Nice to see the Thrashers squeak one out in Montreal. I'm glad I laid off the total as I would definitely have been on the wrong side of that one.

For a Thursday Doggie, I am looking at two matchups so far. I need to see the goaltending matchups and look at the numbers more but my early leans are for:

NYI over Buffalo - I'm a big believer in riding a hot team and goalie even in the face of downright stupidity. Isles have won 4 straight, last beating the Sabres 5-0 Saturday. Tables are turned now and the rematch is in Buffalo where they will be looking for more than a pound of flesh for revenge. Logic would say Buffalo wins this one going away. The little voice is saying this will be closer than most think and could be a coin flip going into overtime. There is a reason the Isles have beaten NYR, WAS, BUF, and EDM in their last four. I haven't figure what that reason is, but I can't look a good paying Doggie in the mouth and not play them. Goaltending matchups will be key, but I expect Rollie & Miller in this one.

Calgary over Dallas - Flames are playing B2B on this short road trip. I always expect to see a better result in the first game. Dallas is still banged up. I expect Auld to probably go for the Stars - I thought I heard something about Turco having the flu/H1N1. Calgary got the bag-skate of all bag-skates yesterday in practice after players messed up some drills. Brent Sutter really let them have it and then there was an extended meeting after practice. I expect the Flames to be well motivated against Dallas who also has the wishy-washy thing going.

LeeK3 says:
11/04/09 12:09AM

Hey, the Leafs actually played decent and Gustavsson again stopped all kinds of shots that shoulda been goals, but just a crappy goal there in OT where he pushed it in himself as he was going backwards. And so much for the Bruins alternating Wins/Losses thing. At least the Thrashers did their part tonight. But now the Penguins can't do anything on the Power Play (0 for 4 in the 1st is not good). HEY, the just tied it as I'm typing. Need the Pens win to just lose 10% juice.

Looking ahead to Wednesday's games, if Anderson is starting, I'm on the Avalanche, who are undefeatd on home ice, over the improved-but not-as-hot Coyotes. Covers shows the overnight line is the 'Lanche -120. That seems like a steal and is surely to go up.

jgmjgm says:
11/04/09 12:22AM

Ha... didn't even notice Covers picks before I went into my Isles rant.

LeeK - I also like the Avs tomorrow.

I think the Caps @ Devils could be interesting as Ovie asked to travel with the team so he'd still be around everyone and keep them pumped up. As Covers says, the Under looks tempting.

LeeK3 says:
11/04/09 12:32AM

JGM, that's funny as most of the time I don't read the picks from Covers first, as to not get influenced. The hot Isles at the large dog makes sense, but not sure if I can pull the trigger. And yes, the Under makes sense in N.J. with A.O. out. And since I was typing when you posted your last message, thanks for the tidbits on the Flames practice/meeting. That's good information right there.

jgmjgm says:
11/04/09 12:46AM

I also believe Eric Cole could be available to the Hurr tomorrow in Florida. That would be an emotional lift to Carolina but I see Eric Staal is d2d so that needs checking tomorrow.

I can't see myself giving Carolina @ Florida more than a passing glance however.

I definitely like a hot San Jose team in Columbus tomorrow though.

StokesChargers says:
11/04/09 01:04AM

Cannot believe this Avs line, I think I might play it tonight with them coming home after a 4 game trip and 2 tough losses. To much value for the flames, have to play on them. I have a feeling these line will move a lot by mid-afternoon tomorrow so I think I may play them now.

May as well throw in the Sharks with the low juice as well. Feeling real good about the board tomorrow. If these last 2 games tonight end how they look like they will would be +0.5 units for today. Official plays tomorrow. GLA.

sonvolt says:
11/04/09 01:45AM

Buffalo and NJ, two game parlay ...both teams thrive at home, buff has revenge and washington has trouble against defensive teams. Dont buy the Isles hype, folks! Good luck to all ...

Wookiee says:
11/04/09 06:35AM

sonvolt says:

11/04/09 06:45AM

"Buffalo and NJ, two game parlay ...BOTH TEAMS THRIVE AT HOME..."

NJ is 1-4 at home this year and played badly in almost all 5 games. I don't know how you can call that thriving...

falcons1212 says:
11/04/09 07:09AM

Sharks ride em til they lose

jgmjgm says:
11/04/09 02:12PM

Looks like we're back up, so I'll throw this out there quickly.

M. Biron (conf) vs. R. Miller (conf)

S. Varlamov (prob) vs. M. Brodeur (conf)

E. Nabokov (prob) vs. S. Mason (conf)

C. Ward (prob) vs. T. Vokoun (conf)

M. Kiprusoff (prob) vs. M. Turco (conf)

I. Bryzgalov (prob) vs. P. Budaj (conf)

Note: Anderson is not starting for the Avs, and Biron is in for the NYI.

LeRinkRat says:
11/04/09 02:14PM

"goaltender Dwayne Roloson, who has been in goal for three of those victories."

both http://www.leftwinglock.com/ and http://www.dailyfaceoff.com/ say Biron goes in goal for the Islanders @ Buffalo (although Biron did shut out the Sabres his last @ Nassau for his only win this season)

both teams seem pretty even on their recent stats so probably worth a shot on the "Big Dog"

tagsrock says:
11/04/09 02:20PM

nuggs saved my behind with the pengs again.. good work nuggs!!

boston285 says:
11/04/09 02:27PM

Any thoughts on the San Jose PL tonight? I am feeling they are scoring wild right now but the CBJ's play a good defensive game too. I am undecided on this one.

I like:

San Jose ML

Phoenix ML

Calgary ML

DaMasterMind says:
11/04/09 02:28PM

Hey JgmJgm where do you get your Info of who starting in net of each and every game in the nhl that good piece of info to have before placing any bets on hockey

jgmjgm says:
11/04/09 02:38PM

DaMasterMind - http://www.leftwinglock.com/

Re: SJ @ COL - The Jackets will have Jan Hejda in the lineup for the first time this season. Mike Commodore missed the first eight games because of a pulled groin muscle. - Columbus Dispatch

D Mike Commodore (charley horse) missed practice, but is expected to play Wednesday. Nikita Filatov said his back was bothering him last week, but he feels fine now. He left practice early on Saturday because the pain was affecting his skating. - Columbus Dispatch

Re: CAL @ DAL - There were a couple of changes with the Flames' lines at Tuesday's practice - Jarome Iginla and Olli Jokinen were back together on the top line with Eric Nystrom on left wing. Also, Dustin Boyd was centering Curtis Glencross and David Moss on the third line. - TSN

Center Mike Modano has played one game this season because of a rib injury, and winger Jere Lehtinen has played two games because of assorted ailments. Both are expected to return to the lineup on Wednesday against the Flames. - Dallas Morning News

(I like the over 6.5 now in this game... especially with Turco in after recently being sick.)

KingKenny13 says:
11/04/09 02:42PM

Ya I stuck my neck out with him.... parlayed the ML and OV... & straight. that was the best 5 min to end a game I have just about ever seen... the ducks were all over them and Crosby takes over the goal and saves the night... what a fkn game...

jgmjgm says:
11/04/09 02:44PM

For other information about lineup changes, injuries, etc. I like TSN "Ice Chips" in Canada.

http://www.tsn.ca/nhl/feature/?id=11009

It is updated daily with pertinent information.

elithepunk says:
11/04/09 02:46PM

DaMasterMind ; You guys know that there is a hockey forum right here on Covers right?

There's even a thread http://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=23&sub=100572847 for starting goaltenders.

nuggins says:
11/04/09 02:50PM

no sweat tagger...that was prob. the best game that i ever went to...from the game itself, to the seats, to the ambiance (it was a 50/50 split between pens and ducks fans)...to the stories that i will have from that night...went 3-0 last night on my nhl bets so that was nice as well...just got to work, only 3 and a half hours late...so i'll dive into the games in a bit...

GPPLT says:
11/04/09 02:59PM

I've just been lurking around for a while, using your guys' (and girls) advice. A lot of its been helpful, so thanks. My plays for tonight are

SJ ML

FLA ML

CAL ML

Over Cal @ Dal

LeRinkRat says:
11/04/09 03:05PM

"Any thoughts on the San Jose PL tonight?"

been looking at this one too. my local sportsbook here in Las Vegas has the Sharks -1 1/2 +240. they have covered the -1 1/2 their last two roads against the Hurricanes and Flyers and in 5 of their 6 road wins this season. with that record I think that IF you bet the Sharks, who are 6-4 on the road this season, you may as well go for the puck line +$$$.

DaMasterMind says:
11/04/09 03:10PM

Good looking ....... elithepunk and Jgm and all really for the tips and help. new to this site and sportsbook GL to all tonight

boston285 says:
11/04/09 03:39PM

Thanks for the stats and your thoughts LeRinkRat. I think i may just do that! GL to you tonite!

jgmjgm says:
11/04/09 03:43PM

Just heard this on radio. I thought I'd throw it out for what it is worth.

Steve Yzerman will be in Columbus tonight to check out possible CDN team members including Thorton & Heatley from SJ, and Mason & Nash from the Jackets.

Personally I don't believe in jinxes or mushes or bad luck in general. But the appearance of Stevie Y at games puts a lot of pressure on perspective Oly players to impress him or even play through injuries when they should be sitting that game (Luongo).

I'm still on the Sharks in Columbus and have it rolled into a 4-teamer:

SJ

BUF

CAL + Over 6.5

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