Monday night debate: Who'll cover the spread?

By JASON LOGAN AND ASHTON GREWAL | October 19, 2009 | 42 comments
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There are enough storylines in Monday's big game to keep a room full of writers busy for months. We grabbed two of the lesser talented ones and got them to go over some of the main points bettors are talking about.

What has surprised you the most about the Denver Broncos this season?

Jason Logan: Kyle Orton. It’s not that Orton has played out of this world, but he’s been steady in the same mold as Trent Dilfer or Brad Johnson. His defense is going to give him enough kicks at the can and good field position that eventually he’s going to find the end zone. He’s among the Top 10 in QB rating and has seven touchdown passes to just one interception. He’s no Peyton Manning but defenses must respect the Denver passing game.

Ashton Grewal: It’s got to be the defense. Last year Denver’s defense was among the worst in the league. I didn’t think the team had the right parts to make a switch from a 4-3 to a 3-4 front, but defensive coordinator Mike Nolan proved me and a lot of other people wrong.

The new scheme is making the most out of Denver’s skill defenders, particular pass rusher Elvis Dumervil who’s among the league leaders in sacks.

Does LaDainian Tomlinson have any juice left in his legs?

Grewal: It sucks to say this because LT has had such a prolific career, but when you watch him in space, he just doesn’t have the same type of burst – especially to the outside.

Of course, it doesn’t help either that San Diego’s offensive line is better at pass blocking than bowling over defenders in the run game.

Logan: I think there is plenty of juice left in Tomlinson’s legs. It’s just the other things connected to the legs that may be dried up.

The bye week will have done him good and if he’s going to have a breakout game, it will be against the Broncos. He’s rushed for 18 touchdowns and more than 1,300 total yards in 16 career games versus Denver.

If there is juice left in L.T., the Chargers will squeeze out every drop Monday night.

San Diego loves to air it out and put up a lot of points, while Denver plays more of a cautious style. Which type of game will we see Monday night?

Logan: I think San Diego is going to pick on the little guys in this game. The Chargers have tall receiving options with guys like Vincent Jackson and Antonio Gates. Denver’s corners are all under or just pushing six feet. Jackson is finally having his breakout season and Gates remains one of the best tight ends in the game.

Plus, Philip Rivers loves to play against the Broncos. While Jay Cutler may be in Chicago, he’ll find a new kid to bully in Kyle Orton.

Grewal: I see Denver running the ball early and often. This team will come up with 15-play drives that will eat up the time of possession and keep San Diego’s offense off the field. The Broncos’ revamped secondary will be good enough to break up the Bolts' deep pass attempts. 

Final score prediction:

Logan: San Diego 26, Denver 13

Grewal: Denver 20, San Diego 17

42 comments
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apblack78
apblack78 says:
10/19/09 12:42AM

SD 24-20

Chezman
Chezman says:
10/19/09 01:02AM

San Diego - 42

Denver - 17

lmayoral13
lmayoral13 says:
10/19/09 01:31AM

sd covers... flat game for denver after the big win last week

Dogjimbo
Dogjimbo says:
10/19/09 02:39AM

SD will prove right...And the over..GL

ace7
ace7 says:
10/19/09 02:48AM

Denver 24

San Diego 20

Mark my words because I rule...

baller9566
baller9566 says:
10/19/09 02:52AM

The book failed to mention that denver has been winning them money from all you denver haters! Look is time to face the facts denver's D is For real having dawkins has just elevated the play of all the holdovers from last year they are playing inspired D. Denvers corners may be small but they sure do get after it Look for dawkins to be covering gates and bailey will be all over jackson and that Front seven will get to rivers thats a Fact! On the offensive side denver has probably the best offensive line in the league right now and Orton knows where to get the ball if he s in trouble.

Loook for marshall to have another Big game over SD weak secondary and Watch out for THEM WILD HORSES 150+

Den 27 SD 17 Gl all

Bet4More
Bet4More says:
10/19/09 03:28AM

Seems like the Under 44 is a safer play ......

CSFurious
CSFurious says:
10/19/09 07:45AM

Denver should cover +4. Outright win on the road against decent divisional foe might be asking too much. Small play on Denver @ +4.

wizard_me
wizard_me says:
10/19/09 08:26AM

denver in a blow out

dalec
dalec says:
10/19/09 10:42AM

Denver 42

San Diego 20

donny07
donny07 says:
10/19/09 10:53AM

Why Denver ??????? See new England yesterday .Denver beat nw 2h no score newgland 2h . Denver is not win tonight.

TheCincyKid
TheCincyKid says:
10/19/09 11:35AM

Chargers win 27-16

anth611
anth611 says:
10/19/09 12:02PM

under under under denver wins 23- 13

bej0101
bej0101 says:
10/19/09 01:29PM

good call cincikid, i like that score too..

kentlau
kentlau says:
10/19/09 01:44PM

Denver wins 23-20 overtime.

ennulow
ennulow says:
10/19/09 01:45PM

Denver will win 20-17 overtime.

bmoose11
bmoose11 says:
10/19/09 02:08PM

Denver 60-0, McDaniels won't be outdone

StevenGA1011
StevenGA1011 says:
10/19/09 02:13PM

DEN +3.5 & UNDER 44

pickenwinners
pickenwinners says:
10/19/09 02:24PM

wow how can u say its a flat game for denver after last week.??? this is like the skins playing the cowboys. MNF they will be up for this

tomslicksta
tomslicksta says:
10/19/09 02:53PM

I don't understand what donny07 tried to say.

luckylogan
luckylogan says:
10/19/09 02:54PM

Denver + the points! Champ Bailey and Brian Dawkins are TOOOOOOOOO good for Rivers to beat deep!Denver run defense reduces Bolts to dolts!

Bet4More
Bet4More says:
10/19/09 03:19PM

I cashed in on Denver and the Under on the two previous games they vs. Dallas and New England two weeks in a row. And I'd hate to bet against them tonight, especially they are the better team here with 5-0 record with a steel curtain defense.

I hope the trends continue tonight on MNF.........Denver +3 and the Under 44

bol guys............................

HipScarface
HipScarface says:
10/19/09 03:35PM

Looks to me like "donny07" would be better off spending his $ on Rosetta Stone, english edition. I like Denver here but I think that the under is the safest play.

Cooler999
Cooler999 says:
10/19/09 03:39PM

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luckylogan says:

10/19/09 10:54AM

Denver + the points! Champ Bailey and Brian Dawkins are TOOOOOOOOO good for Rivers to beat deep!Denver run defense reduces Bolts to dolts!

What the hell is a DOLT? Anyway...I'll take the under

geminisav
geminisav says:
10/19/09 03:54PM

I cannot believe peolple are leaning towards the sorry sand diego farters when the website and books are forcing you to play them. Broncos +3.5, yanks und first 5 innings, and the phillies. cash that.

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