What bettors need to know: Packers at Vikings

Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings (-4.5, 46)

Odds provided by BetUS.com.

Revenge in the Air

It’s been two years in the making, but it’s finally here. Brett Favre is facing the Green Bay Packers.

Emotions will be running high in the latest renewal of this longstanding division rivalry. For his part, Favre has tried to downplay the storyline this week by giving it the ‘it’s just another game’ treatment.

“It’s a Monday night game, the only game playing and there’s more excitement because of that,” Favre said. “But you can’t treat it any differently. Trying to keep your emotions in check any time is part of it. But I think that’s a key part to any player’s success, too, is you want to be excited, emotional. If it doesn’t mean a whole lot, you shouldn’t be playing."

Aside from the emotional side of the game, Favre playing against his former mates also has more tangible aspects. The Vikings’ coaching staff has consulted with Favre extensively this week in hopes of gaining insight into how to stop quarterback Aaron Rodgers and head coach Mike McCarthy’s West Coast offense.

“There’s still some guys on the club he’s familiar with on their offense, and some of the things schematically that they’re doing, there’s some familiarity,” defensive coordinator Leslie Frazier told local media. “We’re picking his brain as much as we can to try to get some insight.

Favre was placed on the injury report for the first time this year because of a sore foot. While it limited his practice time, it’s not expected to a concern come game time.

Grant-ing a Wish

Yes, the Packers rushing attack ranks in the bottom half of the league through three weeks and it faces one of the league’s top rush defenses behind a patchwork offensive line. But things may not be as bad as they seem.

Packers’ running back Ryan Grant has excelled against the Vikings in three games since he became the Packers’ starting running back late in the 2007 season. The veteran out of Notre Dame has combined to rush for 286 yards on 53 carries against the Vikings, an average carry of 5.4 yards, and has rushed for two touchdowns.

On the run

The Packers run defense has allowed consecutive 100-yard rushers to drop to 23rd in the league in run defense and now must tackle Adrian Peterson, the league’s top rusher with 357 yards. Peterson has been especially productive against the Packers in the team’s four previous matchups. He has rushed for at least 100 yards in three out of those four games, including a 192-yard performance in the teams’ final meeting last season.

Injuries

It appears the Packers will be without the services of starting left tackle Chad Clifton for the second straight week because of an ankle injury. If he’s unable to go, Daryn Colledge will again get the call and draw the responsibility of blocking standout defensive end Jared Allen. Defensive linemen Johnny Jolly (abdomen) and B.J. Raji (ankle) were also added to the injury report as limited participants in practice Friday.

The Vikings come into this one in pretty good shape health-wise. The major concern is All-Pro left guard Steve Hutchinson, who is listed as questionable with a back injury. He practiced on a limited basis Saturday after missing the first two practices of the week. Punt returner Darius Reynaud is doubtful with a hamstring injury. Bernard Berrian or Jaymar Johnson will take over return duties if Reynaud is unable to go.

Head-to-Head

These teams split their two meetings last year. Green Bay beat the Vikings 24-19 as 1-point home favorites in September and Minnesota came back to avenge the defeat with a 28-27 win as 2.5-point home faves.

Line Movement

Oddsmakers opened with the Vikings favored by 3.5 points, but the line grew with players backing the home team. BetUS is dealing Minny -4.5 with the total sitting at 46. 

Trends

Packers are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as an underdog. Packers are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 road games. Vikings are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Vikings are 1-4 in their last five games as a home favorite. Over is 7-1-1 in the last nine head-to-head meetings in Minnesota.

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Posted by BYUD947
4 years ago

Trainofthought...U should stay clear of betting....Those kinda emotional feelings for a player are not sound for picking games....LOL.
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Posted by doobiebrother
4 years ago

NFL Season 9-9 (-1.9) 2* Packers (+5) over Vikings – GB won’t stop Peterson and Minnesota has the better team, but we all know the better team doesn’t always win in the NFL. GB is 4-2 SU, 5-1 ATS at the Metrodome with the 2 losses by 1 and 3. They’ve scored at least 20 in L7 visits. Packers were 2-7 SU down the stretch LY but ALL 7 losses were by 4 points or less. GB is also 9-2 away in Oct, 8-1-1 as RD 6<, and 14-4 inside the division, including 8-1 away. I like Pack’s ball hawking secondary, which was 3rd in the NFL in interceptions LY (22) and led the NFL after 3 games TY (7), over Favre, who is an interception waiting to happen. Also like matchup of GB WRs vs. Vikes 2nd year S Johnson, who can be beat deep if Rodgers gets the time. Number that keeps jumping off the page is Vikings 265 yards of total offense vs. Detroit, still the worst “D” in the league. Minny 0-4 at home and has scored more than 28 only once in L11 home games. Contrary to some reports, GB OT Clifton will play, according to the Milwaukee Journal-Sentinal.
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Posted by TRAINOFTHOUGHT
4 years ago

Favre to me is overated. ESPN makes me wanna puke, they suck out of his behind with a straw. Favre will try and show off and throw picks and get sacked a bunch of times, this will resort to a Green bay victory GB-31 Vikes-27
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Posted by imsoti8
4 years ago

GB gave up 17 pts and 117 rushing yards to to St. Louis on the road. The front 4 of Minn. will be active and I don't think Rodgers will have enough time to hit the big play. Vikings by 4 = 20 to 16
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Posted by essential9
4 years ago

Date placed: Oct 04, 2009 3:23p Date settled: Oct 04, 2009 7:21p 5 Team Parlay151390752 Football - NFL Lines (Game) Total (217) New York Jets vs. (218) New Orleans Saints Under 47 Sun@4:05p Final Scores New York Jets 10 New Orleans Saints 24 Football - NFL Lines (Game) Total (219) Buffalo Bills vs. (220) Miami Dolphins Over 37 (-115) Sun@4:05p Final Scores Buffalo Bills 10 Miami Dolphins 38 Football - NFL Lines (Game) Point Spread (220) Miami Dolphins -1 Sun@4:05p Final Scores Buffalo Bills 10 Miami Dolphins 38 Football - NFL Lines (Game) Point Spread (222) San Francisco 49ers -10 (EVEN) Sun@4:15p Final Scores St. Louis Rams 0 San Francisco 49ers 35 Football - NFL Lines (Game) Moneyline (224) Denver Broncos +120 Sun@4:15p Final Scores Dallas Cowboys 10 Denver Broncos 17 Outcome: Win Risk US$ 105.54 to win US$ 3058.66 Feeling good, rolling with packers moneyline and the under
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Posted by sizzler
4 years ago

The Vikings by 6 just to piss of all the + 4.5 and 5 takers. 2 Longwell FG's to make it a 6 point win. -cya
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Posted by HMoney
4 years ago

I hate Favre. There i said it. I say he still sucks in the Minn dome 49ers should have won that game remember Harvin returned the kickoff for TD. but Minnesota has the D and 2 playmakers AllDay and Percy. Green Bay has the WRs and more mobile QB The Clifton injury is bothersome esp w/ Allen coming after Rodgers' blindside. Pack should just draw to Grant and use the screen. Raji being dinged also hurts this would be a pass game but it's the MNF event supersmall bet give me the points GBay +4.5
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Posted by macorisano
4 years ago

I really like the Vikings, but according with the numbers Green Bay will win.
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Posted by SportsGuruX
4 years ago

MINNESOTA -4.5
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Posted by AChigurh
4 years ago

GB and GB ML.
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Posted by billsha
4 years ago

Remember when Favre's dad passed and he had a MNF game with the Raiders? He killed them with an emotional tribute to his pa. I think this will be an emotional game for Favre and he runs up at least 35 points. Vikings win 35-10
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Posted by viking2007
4 years ago

viking all the way
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Posted by BYUD947
4 years ago

In that case who have the Packers played???? Not to mention being upset @ home to the pathetic Bungles....Come on Mainman.. see the game for what its worth..Rivals with an extra incentive that Being B.Favre...Pack cant stop the run...Vikes pass D stinks..But the Vikes will get plenty of pressure going against a patchwork Oline...Vikes By 7!!
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Posted by mainmansam
4 years ago

Just who have the Viks played and it took a last gasp pass to get over the niners. The competition will pad anybody's stats this early in the year.....I'm on Packers and some points........Wish it was at Lambo Field......
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Posted by StevenGA1011
4 years ago

MIN -4.5
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Posted by FATSTAX
4 years ago

like the Under...GB will get shut down!!
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Posted by tclem
4 years ago

The unexpected -Taking GB and the points ... or Minny moneyline Under 46 ...division rivals
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Posted by SportsGuruX
4 years ago

Minnesota -4.5
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Posted by buckeye61
4 years ago

...and tease Minny and the over large.
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Posted by buckeye61
4 years ago

Might have to tease Green Bay and the over as well.
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Posted by buckeye61
4 years ago

Vikes pull this out with D and controling the clock, but no way is this a blowout. I wish it was because I'm going large on the Vikes but buying it downto -3.
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Posted by ShadowWarrior
4 years ago

Vikings all the waaayyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy
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Posted by StreakerBT
4 years ago

vikings 34 packers 10.
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Posted by BYUD947
4 years ago

Bend But Dont Break "D"...Excuse me!!
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Posted by BYUD947
4 years ago

Heavy dose of A.P. and Steady bend but dont D should get the Vikes over the edge.... Favre - 24 Packers - 17
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Top Response

Posted by AChigurh
4 years ago

"GB and GB ML."