Pick 'n' roll: Tuesday's best NBA bets

By COVERS.com STAFF | April 28, 2009 | 30 comments
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Content provided by Associated Press. Picks by Covers.com staff.

Dallas Mavericks at San Antonio Spurs (-5, 189.5) odds provided by logans

Tim Duncan has never lost a first-round playoff series, and only once since the Spurs won their first championship in 1999 has San Antonio not advanced in the postseason. But down 3-1 to the Dallas Mavericks, the third-seeded Spurs must win at home Tuesday night in Game 5 or their season is done.

"We haven't been in that position very often,'' Spurs coach Gregg Popovich said Monday. "It is what it is. You just play the games and deal with it.''

It was a typical, non-alarmist Popovich response. But it's been anything but a typical postseason for the Spurs, who are saddled with trying to become just the ninth team in NBA history to storm back from a 3-1 deficit and win a series.

Unmoved by the daunting task facing San Antonio are the Mavericks, who want to seal their first playoff series victory in three years and not be lulled into a Game 6 back in Dallas.

The Mavs have been here before: Up 3-1 against the Spurs in the 2006 conference semifinals, San Antonio rallied to even the series and forced Dallas to wrest the series in overtime of Game 7.

"I've never lost in the first round,'' Spurs guard Tony Parker said. "It's just a different situation. Right now, Dallas is just playing better than us. We've been down 3-1 before, and we came back and gave us a chance in Game 7. So that's the motivation right now, to take care of Game 5.''

Role players, always essential to San Antonio, have fizzled this series. Duncan and Parker combined for 75 percent of San Antonio's points in a 99-90 loss in Game 4, and it still wasn't enough. The duo made 25 of 42 from the field, and everyone else had 6 of 28.

It appeared to underscore how much the Spurs are missing Manu Ginobili, who is out for the playoffs with a stress fracture in his ankle. The Mavericks have taken notice, too, that his absence alone makes this hardly the same Spurs who stormed through the playoffs in previous seasons.

Pick: Mavs

Houston Rockets at Portland Trail Blazers (-5.5, 182) odds provided by logans

Youth and inexperience are catching up with the Portland Trail Blazers.

The youngest team in the postseason has struggled with Houston's Yao Ming to fall behind 3-1 in the playoff series with the Rockets and faces elimination Tuesday night in Portland.

Yao had 21 points and 12 rebounds in an 89-88 victory over the Blazers on Sunday night. Once his teammates were able to get him the ball inside, Yao was nearly unstoppable. When Portland tried to double him, that left someone else open.

While focused on Yao, the Blazers also made some crucial mistakes that cost them after leading 70-64 going into the fourth quarter.

Two obvious errors came with less than a minute to play. First, when a falling Joel Przybilla badly overthrew Steve Blake after rebounding Blake's missed 3-point attempt, the ball sailed into the backcourt. Then, with Houston leading 87-85, Portland's Brandon Roy drove to the basket and was called for an offensive foul when he ran into Chuck Hayes.

The victory moves Houston closer to advancing to the second round of the playoffs for the first time since 1997.

Portland has had trouble matching up with Yao the whole series. In Game 1, the Blazers had Przybilla play behind the 7-foot-6 center from China - which didn't work.

Portland seemed to find more success when Przybilla fronted him. A rarely used combination of Przybilla and rookie Greg Oden - both 7-footers - playing at the same time also tricked the Rockets in Game 2, Portland's lone win thus far.

Home court could help Portland on Tuesday. The Blazers were 34-7 at the Rose Garden during the regular season.

Two-time All-Star Roy, a third-year player with no playoff experience, has the job of rallying his team for Game 5.

"I don't want anybody in our locker room to get down,'' said Roy, who had 31 points in Game 4 and is averaging 28.3 in the series. "I think this is a great experience. We're fighting extremely hard. There's just some minor things we have to improve on. And just going through this experience I think will help us in the long run.''

Roy did not practice Monday afternoon because of flu-like symptoms, but he was listed as probable for Tuesday's game. A call to the Blazers to provide more details about his symptoms was not immediately returned.

LaMarcus Aldridge, who was averaging 16.5 points and 8.3 rebounds for Portland during the playoffs, also didn't practice Monday because of a right elbow strain. He was also expected to play in Game 5.

Pick: Rockets

30 comments
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kirkster10079 says:
04/28/09 02:31AM

Another LA 4th Q melt down I tried to warn everyone not to long ago your better off playing them at the half took them 1st Q lose win for the half , under 106 2nd half they made it interesting the last 2mins almost blew my cover also Jazz -18 1/2 in game with about 9 mins left new there would be a classic La melt down last to both small plays but wins and some $$$$ back also had a lose on a 2 team 5point teaser 3-2 down just under 1unit..................

kirkster10079 says:
04/28/09 02:32AM

that is Jazz +18 1/2 in game at betus...............................

kirkster10079 says:
04/28/09 02:37AM

LA for me is a1st Q & 1st half bet only maybe 3rd Q in the right circumstance

kirkster10079 says:
04/28/09 02:55AM

Early leans got to go with Boston Gordon should not be effetive with the bad hammstring no lift no burst of speed, Sixers have covered every game should do the same they are playing team ball & good D...........

kirkster10079 says:
04/28/09 03:03AM

Joseph are you aware of Gordons hammstring did he just tweek it or did he pull it badly food for thought if he,s not a 100% they are in trouble he needs that burst of speed to be affective.............................

kirkster10079 says:
04/28/09 03:28AM

Gordon sustained only a strained hammstring according to an MRI ,he recieved an anti inflammatory injection at half time last game ,,,,,,,,

Dogjimbo says:
04/28/09 07:22AM

Gordon's hammy is as good as it was the last the game....He B ok. Still not touching it, if I do it will be on CHIC.

SeattleWinner30 says:
04/28/09 10:44AM

TAKING THE DAY OFF TODAY BOYS!!!!! GOOD LUCK TO ALL......................2-4 YESTERDAY, WHICH SUCKSSSSSSSS!!!!! WITH THAT SAID 22-13 RUN SINCE LAST TUESDAY AND COLLECTED A NICE ENVELOPE FROM THE BOOKIE YESTERDAY. BACK TOMORROW.................

luckylogan says:
04/28/09 11:32AM

0-1 with LA over! One nba play today: Philly +8.5 points. Too many points!

nbafan88 says:
04/28/09 12:13PM

Orlando -8.5

TB/Minn UNDER 8

moneymaker09_nj says:
04/28/09 12:18PM

2TEAM PARLAY

NUGGETS +7 - W

LAKERS bought the pts. -5 1/2 - W

risk 1K won 707.57

essential9 says:
04/28/09 12:20PM

4-0 yesterday. Parlay / 53161... 2009-04-27 22:39 $182.51 $665.18 $665.18 Win

NBA/G- Utah @ LA Lakers Under 212 (-110) 2009-04-27 22:50 Win

NBA/G- (Utah @ LA Lakers) Utah Point Spread 12 (-110) 2009-04-27 22:50 Win

Parlay / EC88E... 2009-04-27 20:00 $50.00 $182.51 $182.51 Win

NBA/G- (Denver @ New Orleans) Denver Point Spread 1.5 (-115) 2009-04-27 20:40 Win

NBA/G- (Atlanta @ Miami) Atlanta Point Spread 4.5 (-105) 2009-04-27 20:10 Win

Todays Leans

Celtics -7.5

moneymaker09_nj says:
04/28/09 12:25PM

3TEAM PARLAY

NUGGETS +8 - W

LAKERS -6 1/2 - W

BULLS +15

2K to win 2028.80

G/L

PeriL0us says:
04/28/09 01:16PM

moneymaker... do u ever lose?

jason18801999 says:
04/28/09 01:16PM

lets see tonight, i like my scrotum as a pick, nice and sweaty

mcgrumpy says:
04/28/09 01:28PM

So far today i like Rockets

powers13 says:
04/28/09 01:40PM

i wish i had this luck during the regular season,but thats why in the playoffs there is not as many blow outs. won all teaser last night UTAH was MY KEY FOR ALL TWO TEAM TEASERS at 17.5 with denver plus 8 and atlanta plus 10 . i have the remaing two team teasers utah 17.5.....philly plus13.5, with mavs plus 10.5 ,utah with houston plus 10.5........ base ball once gain in the washington nats as i wrote yesterday the over both bad picthing by both teams, i will take the next two days philly.... its not to be cocky but if you truly have avoided spending time and watching the nats play evry night you are do yourself a disfAVOR AND LOSING OUT ON money.... note this and it might be too late he migh be pulled as a starter but martis is horrible for philly,put him up there with sonnastine,povano,ponson,etc...... money maker ,seattle winner and lucky logan do very well as well as indrep,leek 3 tooo.seattle winner was on fire of late and always comes up with good runs......... good luck today.... time too look at the nats and the picthing once again.easy win withe over was pick of the day for me,with smaller plays on white sox ,dodgers and minny over.....

StevenGA1011 says:
04/28/09 01:44PM

PHI +8.5

PHI/ORL OVER 188

DAL +5

DAL/SA OVER 189.5

HOU/POR OVER 182.5

sandman62 says:
04/28/09 03:51PM

Dog Day

Bulls +8

76ers + 8.5

Rockets +5.5

Mavs +5

moneymaker09_nj says:
04/28/09 04:43PM

PERILOUSE<

lol... Lets just say I WIN more than I lose,

thys! G/L on your picks & plays on the day.

moneymaker09_nj says:
04/28/09 04:50PM

POWERS13<

congrats on a great day, yesterday!

G/L with 2days picks and plays,

head2609 says:
04/28/09 05:23PM

suck it

moneymaker09_nj says:
04/28/09 05:23PM

3TEAM PARLAY

BULLS +13 1/2 {-375}

MAGIC -4 {-255}

NUGGETS -4 {-475}

1K to win 1142.65

ochocincoloco says:
04/28/09 05:48PM

Gave you Jazz and the under yesterday damn technical fouls almost cost the cover. Price great 4th Q but you're a punk. What an easy cover for all with the Nuggets yesterday.

76ers ML +350 swing for the fences hedging it with the points +8.5

probably will come down to last shot again. the new AI will hit a winner at the end. CASH IT

Sitaro says:
04/28/09 05:57PM

Well at least I called the money line HAWKS! and how about those Nuggets they are for real.......congrats to all backers, easy cruise control Victory! I am still treading water and trying to right the ship tonight..........

ORLANDO minus whatever! 5 times in a row! nope.......The magic men by double digitsl, I live in Philly and give my respect, but I have seen too much disappointment to know when enough is enough! Magic with an easssyyyyyy cover...

CELTICS: I always like the season Vet against the rookie, yeah the line is high, tells me all i need to know........bang

PORTLAND: at home, more relaxed realizing their limitations, Houston will wait to go back home to close out the series........

MAVS: kinda hesitant, but will take the points!

Best of luck to all, and remember, bet smart, have fun, and most of all You never know!

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