Ice picks: Sunday's best NHL bets

By COVERS.com STAFF | November 16, 2008 | 16 comments
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Content provided by Associated Press. Picks by Covers.com staff.

Tampa Bay Lightning at Carolina Hurricanes odds provided by betED (-145, 5.5)

Five months ago, the Tampa Bay Lightning believed Barry Melrose would be the coach to help them rejoin the NHL's elite.

For now, it will be up to Rick Tocchet to return them to respectability.

After Melrose's stunning dismissal, Tocchet will make his debut as the Lightning's interim coach on Sunday against the Carolina Hurricanes.

Melrose was fired on Friday by Tampa Bay (5-7-4) following an unimpressive 16-game stint that came after he left the television booth to coach the team that finished with the league's worst record in 2007-08.

Tocchet has been in the NHL for 25 years as a player and coach. He played 18 seasons, most notably with Philadelphia and Pittsburgh, and was an assistant with three clubs.

However, Tocchet has some baggage. He was sentenced to two years' probation in August 2007 after pleading guilty in an investigation into a sports betting ring. Tocchet said he never bet on NHL games, and rejoined Phoenix's staff in February after a two-year absence that included a league suspension.

Tocchet inherits a team that's last in the league with 33 goals scored, and has been shut out three times this season despite having high-scoring All-Stars Vincent Lecavalier and Martin St. Louis, and top overall draft pick Steven Stamkos.

Lecavalier - the franchise's all-time leading scorer - has just six goals and five assists in 2008-09. St. Louis, meanwhile, has 12 points after averaging 92.5 over the last two seasons.

Stamkos could be overmatched as a rookie. The 18-year-old center had one assist in his first eight games before scoring his first two NHL goals as part of a three-point night on Oct. 30. He's since failed to get a point in seven games.

After conducting his first practice on Saturday, Tocchet said Lightning players will be driven harder.

"We have to increase the energy level in some players," he said. "We've got to start getting these guys cranking on the ice, playing a high-tempo game."

Carolina (8-7-2) also has had trouble finding the back of the net recently. Including a 3-2 loss to Atlanta on Friday, the Hurricanes have tallied five goals during a three-game losing streak.

Pick: Lightning

San Jose Sharks at Chicago Blackhawks odds provided by betED (+105, 5.5)

Few teams have gotten past the San Jose Sharks this season. It's been more than three years since the Chicago Blackhawks have done it.

The league-leading Sharks look to continue their impressive start Sunday night and beat the Blackhawks for the 12th consecutive time.

San Jose (14-3-1) bounced back from its first consecutive losses of the season and improved its NHL-best record Thursday with a 6-1 home rout of Calgary. Joe Pavelski and Milan Michalek each scored twice for the Sharks, who held a 46-24 advantage in shots on goal.

San Jose scored a season-high four power-play goals in nine opportunities versus the Flames, improving to 7-for-21 with the man advantage in its last three games.

Wins have been virtually automatic for the Sharks against Chicago (7-3-5) in recent years. Since losing 6-3 at the United Center on Oct. 7, 2005, San Jose has won 11 straight in the series - outscoring the Blackhawks 38-19 in that span - with five of those victories coming on the road.

Center Patrick Marleau has five goals and six assists in those 11 victories. He has 13 goals and 16 assists in 40 career games versus the Blackhawks.

Chicago has yet to lose in regulation at home this season, but fell to 2-0-2 on its five-game homestand after a 4-3 overtime loss to St. Louis on Friday night. Dave Bolland scored two goals and assisted on another for the Blackhawks, but his hooking penalty in overtime allowed the Blues' Andy McDonald to score the game-winner on the power play.

"We've got to let this one really sink in and get ticked off about it," captain Jonathan Toews told the Blackhawks' official Web site. "We have to come back and do better on Sunday."

The Sharks will likely start Brian Boucher, who played 15 games for Chicago in 2006-07, in net for the injured Evgeni Nabokov (leg). Boucher is 4-2-0 with two ties and a 1.84 goals-against average in eight career games against the Blackhawks.

Pick: Blawkhawks

16 comments
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TomToronto says:
11/16/08 10:23AM

LIGHTNING get my money today. I always bet on teams the game after a coaching change and after hearing how much the players HATED Melrose, I think Vinnie and the boys witll come out flying today. Carolina hasn't been scoring lately and TB gets a win this afternoon.

Sorry, Covers' "experts" but your advice above doesn't wake sense. SAN JOSE has owned the Hawks and are playing great hockey but you want to put money on Chicago? Yeah, the Hawks have yet to lose in regulation at home but I think that's about to happen tonight. My cash is on SJ to continue the streak.

If you wanted to buck a trend, I would have gone with ATLANTA at Phil. The Flyers have dominated the Thrashers for years but this is a hot Atlanta team that is hitting the ice today. Phillie as a favorite here is a risky play. Atlanta's not going to keep winning forever but they just might get a rare win against the Flyers.

ST LOUIS is a potential winner today as well. They are hosting the hapless Habs and Mtl has looked pathetic for a while. Their only recent win was against the flaccid Sens. The Blues at home today will top the Habs.

goderich says:
11/16/08 10:28AM

My three plays for hockey today are:

Montreal 10* @ - 130

San Jose 5* @ -110

Anaheim 2.5* @ -176

Unit_G says:
11/16/08 11:01AM

I believe Tocchet can get Tampa Bay going, but not in his first game behind the bench. The Lightning owned the worst record in the NHL, last season. "Worst to first' stories don't occur very often. And seeing how the Rays just accomplished such a feat, it seems that much less likely for *lightning* to strike the place twice. But that's 'big picture' stuff; as for 'the small picture' . . . this game is simple. Both clubs have lost three consecutive. One team is at the bottom of their division while the other is a the top of their's (a point or two behind WAS). Also, the team at the top of their division (all while plagued by injuries) is playing at home. I'll back the home side, thank you.

TomToronto says:
11/16/08 11:27AM

Whoa, U_G, I have no illusions about how lousy the Lightning are, Nowhere near first will they be going. I just think the "first game after a coach is fired" theory will be in play. Especially, after players complaints to management and owners resulted in Melrose's ticket out. They're good for ONE GAME and, against a Carolina squad that ain't all that hot, I'll wager that Tampa Bay takes this afternoon's contest.

tyler1985 says:
11/16/08 11:38AM

garbage i agree with both...

Hollister says:
11/16/08 11:40AM

Tam/Car over 5.5

Flyers ML

Ducks PL

Unit_G says:
11/16/08 11:54AM

Do yo' thang, Tommy. We won't the both of us win, but neither will we both lose. And I'm comfortable with that. Enjoy the show, friend. Cheers.

TomToronto says:
11/16/08 12:27PM

Thanks, Uggy.

Unit_G says:
11/16/08 12:55PM

lmao . . . "Uggy"? lol . . . ohh that tickles me. lol Thank you, Tim-Tom. BOL w/ the rest of your plays today. Peace.

justpredictor says:
11/16/08 01:11PM

I think covers are 4-0 over the last two days but one of the picks today will not come through...I think SJ will win today at CHI, while TB-CAR is tough to call, TB is with new coach, CAR at home, both teams will go for the win, however TB should prevail.

STL should get by MTL, a team that is struggling, back to back games

Metivier says:
11/16/08 03:54PM

split my plays last night.. was 53 seconds away from cashing the B's in going against the covers pick.. but rangers found a way to tie in dieing second and went on to win.. I balanced things out with an AVS win, almost same story but in my favour as they came back at the end

today.. ive gotta say i agree with your picks TomToronto, besides SJ who is a fav and i think could win... I think theres a good chance all the other dogs on the card today have a good shot at winning

so ill add on the kings as a potential upset as well

TomToronto says:
11/16/08 06:29PM

Ugh, UG - Tampa Bay was up 2-0 but it's now 2-2 late in the third. Hold on...

Metivier says:
11/16/08 06:40PM

jeez.. ya thats a let down they just blew the 2-0 and now lost in SO

nuggins says:
11/16/08 07:07PM

very quickly before the stillers game comes back on...kings can pull an upset however they will be coming off a b2b tough late loss (really should have wongh thou -preds will be a good bet w/ ellis in net as a dog for the time being...cleaned up the CA teams) vs a rested though currently underacheiving ducks team....biggest thing is labarb is starting for the kings and he's a turd- no worthwhile play on this game-imho ana pl best away from that game...POD is the habs...ok, great price and they are too good of a team to con't their losing streak...esp. to the blues...price in net...i usually bet dogs but money lies on MON today....GO STEELERS..

faceoff says:
11/16/08 09:32PM

1st game after a new coach has not worked after the last 2 or 3 firings... Trends have a way of balancing out in time....

desy67 says:
11/17/08 02:52AM

good thing I didn't listen to Icepicks today.

Took the Hurricanes and the Sharks.

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