Where the action is: Sunday's key NFL line moves

By LOGANS.COM | November 15, 2008 | 1 comment
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Information provided by Blake Edwards, oddsmaker for Logans.com.

 

Baltimore Ravens vs. New York Giants

Line/Total:  Giants opened 6.5 and remained there most of the week, but enough action has steadily come in on the Giants to force us to move it to 7. We opened the total 42 and remain there.

Matchup of the Game:  Ravens 1st ranked rush defense (giving up only 65.4 yards a game) vs. Giants 1st ranked rushing offense (averaging 168.9 yards a game).

Key Injuries:  Ravens: OT Willie Anderson and WR Derrick Mason upgraded to probable.  Tight end Daniel Wilcox missed last game, listed Questionable.

Giants: LB Gerris Wilkinson downgraded to expected to miss.  CB Corey Webster upgraded to probable.  LB Jonathan Goff injured last game, listed as questionable.  S James Butler missed last game, listed questionable.

Weather:  Looks mild for game in the Meadowlands in mid-November.  Game time temperature around 48 degrees with a slight wind. 

Chicago Bears vs. Green Bay Packers

Line/Total:  We opened this game later in the week (Thursday) due to QB Kyle Orton’s injury.  We opened Packers 3.5 and 43 and there’s been zero movement on the game.  People will probably wait to bet it when there’s more definitive information on Orton.

Matchup of the Game:  Bears 30th ranked pass defense (giving up 251.8 yards a game) vs. QB Aaron Rodgers who’s ranked 5th in passing efficiency. 

Key Injuries:  Bears:  QB Kyle Orton has practiced some this week, but is still listed questionable.  HC Lovie Smith say’s “if he continues to make progress like he has, I think he has a good chance to play.”  WR Brandon Lloyd and LB Hunter Hillenmeyer both missed last game and are listed as questionable.

 Packers: LB Nick Barnett expected to miss the reason of the year.

Weather:  Game time temperature 35 degrees, chance of light snow showers.

Minnesota Vikings vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Line/Total:  Bucs opened at -3.5 and there’s been sharp action on the favorite. We’re currently dealing Bucs -4.  I expect more action on the favorite and we’ll most likely close the game 4.5 or higher.  Total opened at 39.5 and was quickly bet down to 38.5, again sharp action moving that total.  We’ve seen public action on the over so I doubt this total will go down more. 

Matchup of the Game:  QB Gus Ferrotte, who’s thrown eight interceptions in his last three starts against the Bucs’ 5th ranked passing defense, which also ranks 2nd in the NFL with 12 interceptions. 

Key Injuries:  Vikings: S Madieu is questionable.

Bucs: RB Carnell “Cadillac” Williams was activated this week after being out since last year with a career threatening knee injury. He’s listed as questionable.  RB Warrick Dunn, WR Ike Hilliard, FB BJ Askew all upgraded to probable.  RB Earnest Graham is auestionable.  TE Alex Smith downgraded to doubtful.  OG Arron Sears missed last game, listed questionable.                  

Weather:  Another beautiful day in Tampa, game time temperatures in the mid 70’s.

San Diego Chargers vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Line/Total:  We opened Steelers -4 and 43 on Monday, but we closed the line when news came out that QB Ben Roethlisberger was questionable for the game.  We reopened the game on Thursday once it was confirmed he’d be playing.  We’re currently offering Steelers -5.5 and 42.5.

Matchup of the Game:  QB Philip Rivers’ 2nd ranked passer rating vs. Steelers 1st ranked passing defense (gives up only 171.1 yards a game)

Key Injuries:  Chargers:  No significant injuries to report. 

Steelers: QB Ben Roethlisberger, RB Willie Parker, LB LaMarr Woodley all upgraded to probable.  TE Heath Miller downgraded to expect to miss.  CB Deshea Townsend injured last game, downgraded to expected to miss.

Weather:  Slight chance of rain showers with game time temperature in the mid 30s.

Dallas Cowboys vs. Washington Redskins

Line/Total:  We opened this game on Wednesday due to a slew of injuries on the Redskins side of the ball, especially RB Portis.  We opened Cowboys -1 and 43.  All the early action is on the ‘Boys. We moved the line a half-point to Cowboys -1.5.  No movement on the total.

Matchup of the Game:  Cowboys sputtering offense gets its leader back, QB Tony Romo. He  and the Cowboys offense vs. the Redskins 4th ranked defense.

Key Injuries:  Cowboys: QB Tony Romo, G Leonard Davis and OG Kyle Kosier all listed probable.  RB Felix Jones downgraded to doubtful.

Redskins: RB Clinton Portis, LB Marcus Washington and DT Anthony Montgomery all downgraded to doubtful.  DE Jason Taylor, CB Shawn Springs and OL Chris Samuels all upgraded to probable.  RB Ladell Betts upgraded to questionable.  WR Santana Moss and OG Pete Kendall listed as questionable. 

Weather:  Chance of light snow showers with game time temperatures in the mid 40s. 

1 comment
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drsweet says:
11/15/08 10:48PM

Shoot down the redneck and take the over. Romo will be shaking...

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