Where the action is: Sunday's key NFL line moves

By BETED.COM | October 11, 2008 | 25 comments
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Randy Scott is the sportsbook manager with betED.com. He gives insight on how injuries and bets are affecting his NFL lines.

OAKLAND 47.5
NEW ORLEANS
Sun 1:00 p.m. ET

- The pointspread was hit by wise action Oakland +7.5

- The total hasn't moved, but could go up if key players return for NO

- Marques Colston was upgraded to probable and Jeremy Shockey was upgraded to questionable

- Where the money is: Currently majority of the public is betting NO at a ratio of 6.6 to 1.6 but more money is on Oakland.

CINCINNATI 42.5
NY JETS -8.5
Sun 1:00 p.m. ET

- The pointspread was hit by wise action NY Jets +5.5

- The total slightly dropped from 43, and may drop even more due to the Bengals’QB injury.

- Carson Palmer was downgraded to doubtful and isn’t expected to play

- Head coach Marvin Lewis didn't rule out Palmer as a backup for Sunday and wouldn't say if he will be the No. 2 or No. 3 quarterback

- Where the money is: Currently majority of the public is betting Jets at a ratio of 8.2 to 3.1. This line could reach -9

DETROIT 45.5
MINNESOTA -13
Sun 1:00 p.m. ET

- There was some wise action on the under when the total was at 46.5 due to Detroit’s QB injury.

- The pointspread has dropped from -13.5

- Jon Kitna is doubtful and will be replaced by Dan Orlovsky

- Where the money is: Currently majority of the public is betting the under and are split with the Vikings getting the edge by ratio of 2.6 to 2.0

MIAMI 44.5
HOUSTON -3
Sun 1:00 p.m. ET

- The total was hit by wise action playing the under at 45

- Matt Schaub (Flu) is listed as 'probable'

- The pointspread has dropped from -3.5

- Where the money is: Currently the public is split with Miami getting the edge by a ratio of 4.5 to 3.2

ST. LOUIS 44
WASHINGTON -14
Sun 1:00 p.m. ET

- The total was hit by wise action betting the under at 44.5

- The pointspread has gone up from -13.5

- Where the money is: Currently majority of the public is betting Washington by a ration of 5.3 to 2.0

PHILADELPHIA -5
SAN FRANCISCO 42
Sun 4:15 p.m. ET

- The pointspread has dropped from -6 due to Philly running back Brian Westbrook’s injury.

- The Total has dropped from 42.5

- Westbrook (ribs) will not travel with the team

- Where the money is: Currently majority of the public is betting the over and Philadelphia by a ratio of 7.9 to 2.1, but more money is on SF

DALLAS -5
ARIZONA 50.5
Sun 4:15 p.m. ET

- The total was hit by wise action on the over at 49

- The pointspread has dropped from -5.5

- Anquan Boldin is listed as doubtful. Boldin and tight end Ben Patrick were the only players not to participate in at least part of Thursday's practice, according to the injury report. The Cardinals haven't ruled out Boldin playing Sunday, but it's doubtful he'll play. He attended practice but was not available to talk to reporters.

- Where the money is: Currently majority of the public is betting the over and
Dallas by a ratio of 10.8 to 2.7 - this line could go back up and reach as high as -6

NEW ENGLAND 44
HOUSTON -5
Sun 8:15 p.m. ET

- The pointspread was hit by wise action NE +5.5

- The total has dropped from 44.5

- Where the money is: Currently the public is split with NE getting the edge by a ratio of 3.8 to 3.2

GREEN BAY -1
SEATTLE 44.5
Sun 4:15 p.m. ET

- The pointspread has flipped from SEA -2 to GB -1 due to Seattle QB status

- The total has dropped from 46 due to the injury

- Matt Hasselbeck (knee) is downgraded to expected to miss

- Where the money is: Currently majority of the public is betting the under and GB by a ratio of 6.9 to 1.8, but more money is still on Seattle. We expect that to change and see the line move up from -1

25 comments
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JDro says:
10/11/08 10:04PM

if the public is betting one side, but "more money" is on the other side, does that mean we should be on the "more money" side?

Sorry still kinda new at this stuff, just making sure I know what the info in the thread means...

JDro says:
10/11/08 10:04PM

in other words, should I take SF +5 at home as a home dog no one realllllly seems to be talking about this weekend as a surprise cover?

luckyme1 says:
10/12/08 12:01AM

JDro

I DO 49ERS WILL WIN THIS GAME

GOOD LUCK

CHEERS

macorisano says:
10/12/08 12:24AM

JDro regularly the money flow from the publics to the professional bettor. bet the teams with more money

Queenglock says:
10/12/08 01:20AM

detroit and cincinnati will both win.

icebro1 says:
10/12/08 01:55AM

queenglock. how can you say Detroit and Cincinnati will both win, when both teams qbs, Kitna and Palmer are both injured and listed doubtful to play. You need to re-think that one.

vegasbb3128 says:
10/12/08 01:56AM

Just what high school teams, are Detroit and Cincy playing?

vegasbb3128 says:
10/12/08 01:57AM

Wash, Philly, Giants, Az................

icebro1 says:
10/12/08 02:08AM

watch out for a let down with washington this week coming off a couple big wins. thats alot of points theyre giving to a team that might have new life this week with new coach. Im getting on the rams + 14.

Mazdaspeed says:
10/12/08 02:21AM

Am I really the only one that noticed Houston isn't playing NE? WTF People?

If you can't even get who is playing right, why am I supposed to believe anything else you write?

peppy222 says:
10/12/08 02:48AM

Nobody should ever listen to a sports book manager. Bookmakers lie. They want to get into the bettors' psyche. If you have a question, ask anyone other than a location. The location is the devil on Earth. I cannot believe a Web site supposedly dedicated to helping bettors would allow bookmakers to talk to them!

peppy222 says:
10/12/08 02:50AM

Ha! The word "location" was changed from "location" in the post above! Some manipulation going on!

kingbubba says:
10/12/08 09:57AM

what do you guys think about nwo (-7)? oak does not nearly have the kind of offence that nwo has, plus nwo playing at home, is this a no brainer?

nwo, outplaying a stingy minn def, winning the special teams, better offence numbers, stopping AP, and still losing the game?

there out to win today,

TomToronto says:
10/12/08 10:08AM

Winless teams coming off a bye week cover the spread 75% of the time. STL might be a good pick this week.

DaShowStopa says:
10/12/08 10:58AM

Hilton Contest Top 5 Consensus

CHI 111

ARI 97

SEA 91

CLE 90

NYJ 87

Leaders Picks

King of Krunk OAK BAL TB ATL SEA

Fezzik OAK BAL NYJ TB JAX

Both are at 20 points

rabman50 says:
10/12/08 11:07AM

Tom,

That's why I went with Detroit last week.

doobiebrother says:
10/12/08 11:34AM

Forget about what's happenung at the book and concentrate on what's happening on the field.

doobiebrother says:
10/12/08 11:36AM

Typo- make that "happening" at the book. Hangover.

zOrO-GZA says:
10/12/08 11:45AM

very useful info, i already make my bets tho xD

GL with that.

TheContrarian says:
10/12/08 12:48PM

My contrarian losersare here: http://quitetothecontrary.com.

cyearian says:
10/12/08 01:00PM

I have to agree with queenglock.

Cincinnati will have it tougher but I can see that secondary own Favre this weekend. They have to win sometime and this is a great trap week. Palmer has been totally ineffective this year so him being out isn't a big deal.

As for Detroit - they will cover without a doubt. Minn is on a short week after a win they shouldn't have had. Again Kitna has given more points than he has scored the last few weeks.

With that take the points in both contests along with:

Bears

Texans (VS Miami)

San Diego (New England 2nd straight week to the west coast)

Saints Over (saints will score

Colts

This is a great money weekend.

cantex48 says:
10/12/08 01:19PM

Pats,stayed on west coast

Riverboy says:
10/12/08 01:48PM

My 1:00 PM best play is Saints -7

Oakland in turmoil and Saints offense if moving the ball. Doubt raiders can or will keep up.

Doobie, just don't fall overboard if drinking while fishing.

cantex48 says:
10/12/08 05:33PM

tom t.o.///good point...also never give double digits in NFL,am in Montreal they gave me 15.5 w/Rams,and noticed detroit also covered,bet under there,so not sho if they won or not

justagiggolo says:
10/12/08 06:24PM

check out vegas sports advisor and click on their season members section

all their picks are being listed for free...

pretty sure it's a mistake, because they charge for their picks

I'm having a killer day based on their plays so far..

just an fyi.. don't BLOCK ME because I'm posting this,, just trying to help out fellow degenerates :)

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