Ugly unders make pretty bets

It’s always been the understanding in the sports investment industry that when it comes to betting totals, the public loves the ‘over’. It stands to reason. Who wants to place a wager, wishing for a whole-lot-of-nothing to take place?

The answer is those who can separate their personal enjoyment from serious money making theories can make money on the ‘under.’ All it takes is a little patience.

On highly publicized events the total is often shaded towards the wagering tendencies of the public, leaving you to pay a heavy price to bet on both the favorite and the ‘over.’ Of course, this doesn’t mean that one shies away from betting the ‘over’ in any game being played on television, be aware that in some cases you could be losing value.

For a quick and accurate example of this theory, one needs looking no further than the results of the 2005 Super Bowl and NBA All-Star games. In both cases, the underdog and the under, cashed tickets. Many were left with useless favorite-plus-over parlay tickets in their hands, while a lucky few were able to win by going against the public grain. Those ‘under’ bettors who fell asleep waiting for the scoring to begin, were happy to awake winners.

I guess ultimately what I’m trying to say is that if you see an under bet that you like, do not discard it as an ugly bet. While the excitement may be null and void, the end profit remains the same as an easy ‘over’ win.

Favorites cover and overs happen, but the public might be less quick to catch on to a nice little under trend you may have uncovered. This something to consider when looking at totals. An ugly under could turn out to be a pretty good bet.

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Posted by itdontcomeeasy
5 years ago

?
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Posted by punta
6 years ago

when u play under its like u already won and u r challenging the over to beat u kl
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Posted by Gbeer11
6 years ago

Yeah... This article was about as bland as a hand full of dirt to the mouth, but atleast sean2114's comment was informative.
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Posted by sean2114
6 years ago

not true damonte, i learned not to smoke crack when my wife is pregant, this could be the result of a similar situation
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Posted by damonte
6 years ago

I learned absolutely nothing from this article.
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Posted by happycap
7 years ago

Don't mean to be too critical but you make it sound like it is just so hard to bet unders when in fact the enjoyment of good pitching makes it preferable to a lot of baseball bettors anyway... Not every bettor is hooked on the longball, and betting is ONLY EVER entertaining (to winners) when they win. Actually, there is nothing more frustrating than holding an over ticket and watching pitchers get out of jam after jam! In a way it is easier to have an under blown quickly so you can move on to the next opportunity. It is already quite well known that a slight edge in value (generally) resides with unders, and I am not sure what else this article brings to the table.
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Top Response

Posted by itdontcomeeasy
5 years ago

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