MLB Power Rankings: Week 4

By Steve Merril - Covers Expert

The Chicago Cubs continue their run atop our Power Rankings this week with the Washington Nationals closing the gap slightly. The most notable changes are five clubs (Giants, Astros, Yankees, Tigers and Marlins) taking massive nosedives down the list.

MLB Power Rankings

Rank Last Week Change Team W-L (ATS) Power Rating Team Comments
1 1 same 14-5
(14-5-0)
-132 Chi. Cubs
The Cubs stay atop the rankings after going 5-2 last week. Chicago is now 14-5 on the season. Chicago’s pitching has been terrific all year, and if their offense gets consistent, the Cubs could be an elite team.
2 2 same 14-4
(11-7-0)
-128 Washington
Washington had another winning week; the Nationals are 14-4 after 18 games this season. The Nationals’ starting pitching has been outstanding. Washington’s offense broke out last week as they’ve scored 27 runs in their last six games.
3 5 up 2 12-6
(11-7-0)
-125 Kansas City
Kansas City continued their winning ways this past week. The Royals are 12-6 overall this season. Kansas City will hit the road for a 6-game West Coast trip this week against a pair of bad teams (Angels and Mariners).
4 4 same 12-7
(11-8-0)
-124 LA Dodgers
Los Angeles is now 12-7 on the season after winning four of their last five games. The Dodgers’ pitching staff will be happy to get out of Colorado where they gave up 18 runs in a 3-game series over the weekend.
5 6 up 1 10-9
(9-10-0)
-122 Pittsburgh
The Pirates are 10-9 after three weeks of play. Pittsburgh’s offense is in excellent form as they’ve scored 32 total runs in their last four games. Pitching is still a concern as they gave up 25 runs in those four games.
6 8 up 2 10-8
(9-9-0)
-120 St. Louis
The Cardinals are 10-8 after opening the season with an 0-3 record. St. Louis has now won ten of their last fifteen games overall. St. Louis’ offense has scored a whopping 111 total runs in their eighteen games this season.
7 10 up 3 10-7
(8-9-0)
-118 NY Mets
The Mets are heating up as they are 6-1 over their last seven games, bringing their season record to 10-7. New York’s offense has come around; they’ve scored 54 runs in their last nine games.
8 13 up 5 13-6
(10-9-0)
-117 Chi. White Sox
The White Sox went 5-2 this past week week, pushing their record to 13-6 on the season. They have played a soft early schedule, but Chicago’s pitching has been excellent as they’ve given up 3 runs or less in 15 of their 19 games.
9 14 up 5 11-6
(10-7-0)
-116 Baltimore
Baltimore is 11-6 on the season. The Orioles have a potent offense, but their pitching is poor. However, the pitching staff has been good recently, allowing 22 runs over their last six games.
10 15 up 5 9-7
(7-9-0)
-115 Cleveland
Cleveland came into this season with high expectations, but the Indians have started their season off slow. Cleveland is 9-7 after sixteen games. The Indians will begin this week with momentum after a 3-game sweep in Detroit over the weekend.
11 12 up 1 9-9
(10-8-0)
-114 Boston
Boston has played .500 baseball over their first 18 games of the season. However, that is pretty good considering the Red Sox have played a brutal schedule so far this year.
12 9 down 3 10-10
(11-9-0)
-114 Toronto
Toronto has been extremely disappointing so far this season. The Blue Jays are just 10-10 over their first twenty games. Toronto has been a streaky team, winning or losing in clusters.
13 3 down 10 9-11
(9-11-0)
-113 San Francisco
San Francisco had another poor week, and the Giants are just 3-9 over their last twelve games. Their last seven games have come at home against weak competition, so there is some concern with this team which prompted a steep drop in the rankings.
14 7 down 7 8-9
(9-8-0)
-112 Detroit
Detroit is in terrible current form. The Tigers are 8-9 overall, but they are just 2-6 over their last eight games. In their defense, they did play the Royals and Indians in their last six games.
15 16 up 1 10-9
(10-9-0)
-105 Texas
The Rangers were hot, but they just got swept in a 3-game series by the White Sox. Texas is still a respectable 10-9 on the season. The Rangers’ offense needs to put-up a lot runs to win because their pitching has been so poor.
16 18 up 2 10-10
(9-11-0)
-102 Arizona
Arizona is 10-10 on the season despite playing a 4-game series with the Cubs, and a 3-game series against the Dodgers. The Diamondbacks’ offense has been fantastic while scoring 30 runs in their last four games.
17 19 up 2 9-9
(11-7-0)
100 Seattle
The Mariners are 4-1 over their last five games, pushing their record to 9-9 on the season. Seattle’s woeful offense came to life this past week as they scored 26 runs in their last four games.
18 24 up 6 10-9
(10-9-0)
105 Oakland
Oakland is 10-9 on the season after ripping off a 6-game winning streak. The A’s play in a lot of close games; 54 one run games last season. Oakland has already played in 8 one run games this season; they are 5-3 in those games.
19 20 up 1 8-10
(8-10-0)
108 Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is just 8-10 in their eighteen games, but their offense has recently come around. The Rays scored 25 total runs in their last four games, including 15 runs in their 3-game series in New York against the Yankees.
20 21 up 1 8-11
(8-11-0)
110 LA Angels
Los Angeles is just 8-11 after the first three weeks of the season. Their offense has scored just 57 total runs in those nineteen games. The Angels were a fortunate team last season, but they’ve had no such luck so far this season.
21 17 down 4 7-10
(6-11-0)
111 NY Yankees
New York had another rough week; they are now just 7-10 on the season. The Yankees’ offense is in an extended slump as they’ve only scored 31 total runs in their last twelve games.
22 25 up 3 8-11
(9-10-0)
115 Milwaukee
Milwaukee is just 8-11 after three weeks of the season. The Brewers’ pitching continues to be a major concern. They’ve given up 113 total runs; the second most in all of baseball.
23 26 up 3 9-10
(8-11-0)
118 Cincinnati
After opening the season with a 5-1 record, Cincinnati has gone 4-9 to bring their overall record to 9-10. Their losing ways can be mainly attributed to their poor pitching which has allowed 117 total runs on the season; the most in baseball.
24 27 up 3 9-9
(11-7-0)
120 Colorado
Colorado is a respectable 9-9 after the first three weeks of the season. The Rockies have played a pretty tough schedule, so this team may be better than projected.
25 28 up 3 9-10
(9-10-0)
124 Philadelphia
Philadelphia opened the season at 0-4, but they’ve gone 9-6 since. While the Phillies have moved up in the power ratings in consecutive weeks, they are still one of the worst teams in baseball.
26 11 down 15 6-13
(5-14-0)
125 Houston
The Astros have taken a major drop in the power rankings after opening the season with a 6-13 record. Houston has simply looked terrible on the mound and at the plate, and they won’t be moving up until they show some major improvement.
27 29 up 2 7-12
(9-10-0)
127 San Diego
The Padres are just 7-12 after nineteen games this season. Aside from scoring 29 runs in two games in Colorado, the San Diego offense had scored a total of 18 runs in their other eleven games. But they’ve come alive lately, scoring 25 runs over their last six games.
28 22 down 6 6-11
(7-10-0)
128 Miami
Miami’s season continues to be terrible; the Marlins are just 6-11 in their first seventeen games. Miami will stay on the road this upcoming week with 7 away games against the Dodgers and Brewers.
29 23 down 6 5-14
(9-10-0)
129 Minnesota
The Twins began this season with an 0-9 record, but they’ve gone 5-5 since to raise their record to 5-14. Minnesota is just 1-10 on the road, so their upcoming 6-game homestand will be welcomed with open arms.
30 30 same 4-14
(8-10-0)
130 Atlanta
The Braves began the season winless at 0-9, but they went 4-5 over their next nine games. However, Atlanta is on a 5-game losing streak, and their next seven games will be against the Red Sox and Cubs.

Power Ratings compute offensive and defensive statistics into one number for each team, while accounting for factors like recent performances and strength of schedule. Power Ratings can be used as a baseline for relative spread index to compare current or future match-ups between two teams. The relative spread does not account for non-statistical factors like home-field advantage, recent injuries, game time decisions, rivalries, publicity, and weather.