NFL Power Rankings: Week 17

By Teddy Covers - Covers Expert

As we head into the extremely unpredictable final week of the NFL regular season, the New England Patriots continue to hold down the top spot in our Power Rankings. Massive injuries, resting star talent for a playoff run and coaching changes are all huge factors across the league in Week 17.

NFL Power Rankings

Week 17 Rank Last Week Change Team W-L-T (ATS) Power Rating Team Comments
1 1 same 13-2-0
-6.5 New England
The New England dynasty shows no signs of dissipating. Since the Pats hired Bill Belichick in 2000, the other three AFC East teams have combined to have 23 head coaches!
2 2 same 13-2-0
-5.5 Dallas
Dallas locked up a first round bye with their win over the Lions on Monday Night, and early reports indicate that the Cowboys could rest some starters at Philly in Week 17.
3 3 same 10-5-0
-5 Pittsburgh
The Steelers are locked into the No. 3 seed following their win over Baltimore, expected to sit key players on both sides of the football against the Browns on Sunday.
4 5 up 1 10-5-0
-4.5 Atlanta
With a win against New Orleans on Sunday, the Falcons lock up a first round bye. Head coach Dan Quinn: “It’s all out there for us. We are going to battle for it in every way that we can.”
5 7 up 2 11-4-0
-4 Kansas City
The Chiefs are still live for the No. 2 seed in the AFC, needing a win at San Diego and a Raiders loss at Denver to secure a first round bye week.
6 6 same 9-6-0
-3.5 Green Bay
The Packers had their bye all the way back in Week 4 so head coach Mike McCarthy gave the team an extra day to rest following their win over the Vikings on Saturday.
7 4 down 3 9-5-1
-3.5 Seattle
The Seahawks will take the field on Sunday with an opportunity to earn the NO. 2 seed and a first round bye, despite the bevy of key injuries on both sides of the football.
8 10 up 2 8-7-0
-2 Baltimore
Ravens wide receiver Steve Smith, talking about the expected level of effort following Baltimore’s playoff elimination loss last week: “We will not give up or play dead.”
9 9 same 10-5-0
-2 N.Y. Giants
The Giants are locked into the No. 5 seed, regardless of Sunday’s outcome. No surprise, then, that the early Week 17 $$ in Vegas has been pouring in against the G-men.
10 20 up 10 10-5-0
-0.5 Miami
The Dolphins are locked in to a Wild Card spot and could sit multiple defensive starters this week after the banged up unit was on the field for a whopping 90 plays at Buffalo.
11 15 up 4 8-7-0
-0.5 Tampa Bay
The Bucs failed to force a single turnover for the first time since Week 4 in their loss to the Saints, and while ‘live’ they are 60,000:1 longshots to make the playoffs.
12 17 up 5 8-6-1
-0.5 Washington
The Redskins are still very much alive for the postseason if they beat the Giants on Sunday, as long as the Lions and Packers don’t end up in a tie on Sunday Night.
13 23 up 10 6-8-1
0 Arizona
Arizona lost FOUR different games this year due to special teams miscues. Last week, those special teams blocked a field goal and a punt, and kicker Catanzaro nailed the game winner.
14 16 up 2 9-6-0
0 Houston
The Texans red zone woes (ranked 31st in the NFL in red zone TD percentage) were every bit as problematic with Tom Savage behind center last week as they had been under Osweiler.
15 21 up 6 7-8-0
0 New Orleans
After three years of ineptitude and injuries, high priced free agent addition Jarius Byrd intercepted his first two passes of the season against Tampa last Sunday.
16 8 down 8 12-3-0
0 Oakland
The good news for Oakland? New starting QB Matt McGloin is walking into a great situation – three pro bowlers blocking in front of him and elite WR’s to throw to.
17 12 down 5 8-7-0
0.5 Denver
Denver is 1-4 SU and ATS in their last five games, the lone win coming against lowly Jacksonville in a game the Jags gave away.
18 13 down 5 9-6-0
0.5 Detroit
From a ‘pure power ratings’ standpoint, Detroit has no business as underdogs against Green Bay. From a ‘success in big games’ perspective, the Lions deserve to be dogs!
19 18 down 1 7-8-0
1 Buffalo
Head coach Rex Ryan and his defensive coordinator brother Rob both got the axe on Tuesday, leaving offensive coordinator Anthony Lynn to coach their season finale.
20 19 down 1 5-9-1
1 Cincinnati
The Bengals have scored only five fourth quarter touchdowns all season, and two of them came in a loss to the Cowboys back in October when they trailed 28-0.
21 14 down 7 7-8-0
1.5 Indianapolis
Andrew Luck is not taking Indy’s second consecutive non-playoff season lightly: “I feel like I failed my teammates… (missing the playoffs is) not what being a Colt is all about.”
22 25 up 3 6-9-0
1.5 Philadelphia
One hidden factor in Philly’s struggles since their 3-0 start is their extremely tough opposing slate. The Eagles have played an NFL-high 11 games vs. opponents with winning records.
23 11 down 12 8-7-0
1.5 Tennessee
No team in the league suffered through a worse Week 16. Tennessee lost as favorites at Jacksonville, eliminating them from the postseason and lost QB Marcus Mariota to injury.
24 22 down 2 6-9-0
2 Carolina
Panthers tight end Greg Olson became the first TE in NFL history with three consecutive 1000 yard receiving seasons in their ‘no-show’ loss to Atlanta on Sunday.
25 24 down 1 3-12-0
2.5 Chicago
QB Matt Barkley tied a franchise record – the kind you don’t want to tie – in their loss to Washington. Barkley’s five interceptions matched Jay Cutler for the Bears all-time high.
26 26 same 5-10-0
4 San Diego
Since the AFL/NFL merger in 1970, Josh Lambo became only the fourth kicker to miss two field goals in the final four minutes with his team trailing by 3 points or less.
27 30 up 3 3-12-0
4.5 Jacksonville
Blake Bortles threw for more than 200 passing yards before halftime for the first time in his NFL career last Sunday. He had thrown 200+ passing yards eight times after halftime.
28 27 down 1 7-8-0
5 Minnesota
The Vikings season has clearly spiraled out of control, with their veteran secondary telling reporters after the game that they were ignoring the coach’s gameplan.
29 29 same 4-11-0
6.5 Los Angeles
Rams cornerback Trumaine Johnson, after LA blew a two TD lead at home in the fourth quarter: "The last few possessions, it seemed like we gave up. The whole team, including myself."
30 28 down 2 4-11-0
7 N.Y. Jets
The Jets were forced to go back to Ryan Fitzpatrick at QB last week (and this week too),with Bryce Petty hurt and Christian Hackenberg still having a ‘redshirt’ year.
31 31 same 2-13-0
7.5 San Francisco
Chip Kelly’s quote after San Fran snapped their 13 game losing streak: “There is an energy and a spirit to them in terms of how they practice and how they train.”
32 32 same 1-14-0
8 Cleveland
Head coach Hue Jackson, talking about future Hall of Famer Joe Thomas following the Browns first win of the season: “I cried like a baby with him to be very honest with you.”
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Power Ratings compute offensive and defensive statistics into one number for each team, while accounting for factors like recent performances and strength of schedule. Power Ratings can be used as a baseline for relative spread index to compare current or future match-ups between two teams. The relative spread does not account for non-statistical factors like home-field advantage, recent injuries, game time decisions, rivalries, publicity, and weather.

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