NFL Power Rankings: Preseason Edition

By Teddy Covers - Covers Expert

The defending Super Bowl Champion New England Patriots are the top team in our preseason NFL Power Rankings, with the Steelers, Seahawks, and Packers filling in below. At the bottom of our preseason rankings are the Jets, 49ers, Browns, and Rams.

NFL Power Rankings

Week 1 Rank Last Week Change Team W-L-T (ATS) Power Rating Team Comments
1 0 down 1 14-2-0
(13-3-0)
-8.5 New England
The Patriots effectively lap the field, even after the loss of Julian Edelman. My numbers show New England would be favored against every other team, even on the road.
2 0 down 2 11-5-0
(9-6-1)
-5 Pittsburgh
After three consecutive seasons with ten or more wins and three consecutive early exits from the playoffs, it feels like ‘now or never’ time for Pittsburgh in the Big Ben era.
3 0 down 3 10-5-0
(8-8-0)
-4 Seattle
The Seahawks have only two major questions heading into 2017. Can their offensive line stop being a sieve? And can this team chemistry remain functional through January?
4 0 down 4 10-6-0
(9-6-1)
-4 Green Bay
Green Bay has a very manageable schedule when it comes to travel this year – they don’t play a single game outside of the Eastern or Central time zones.
5 0 down 5 11-5-0
(10-6-0)
-3.5 Atlanta
The last team to lose a Super Bowl and return to the big game the next year was the 1993 Buffalo Bills. In other words, it’s been a while!
6 0 down 6 12-4-0
(9-7-0)
-3.5 Kansas City
It feels like Philly all over again! Andy Reid is 43-21 SU as the Chiefs head coach in the regular sesaon, but he only has one playoff win in four years to show for it.
7 0 down 7 13-3-0
(10-6-0)
-3 Dallas
The Cowboys greatest strength last year was the most dominant offensive line in football, but Doug Free retired and Ronald Leary went to Denver in free agency.
8 0 down 8 11-5-0
(9-6-1)
-2.5 N.Y. Giants
The Giants ranked in the Top 5 of some power ratings. Here in Las Vegas, the betting markets rule and those markets have the G-men rated lower than Dallas on opening day.
9 0 down 9 12-4-0
(10-6-0)
-2.5 Oakland
Everyone already knows about how potent this offense is capable of being. But if the Raiders are going to match last year’s success, it’s their defense that needs to step up.
10 0 down 10 9-7-0
(7-9-0)
-2 Tennessee
Mike Mularkey’s squad has been a popular ‘wiseguy’ choice in Vegas all summer, taking heavy $$ Over their season win total & ‘longshot’ bets to win the Super Bowl.
11 0 down 11 7-8-0
(6-10-0)
-1.5 Arizona
After back-to-back stellar ATS seasons to open his career in Arizona, head coach Bruce Arians has been a sub .500 pointspread proposition over the past two seasons.
12 0 down 12 6-10-0
(6-9-1)
-1.5 Carolina
Rookie Christian McCaffrey has wowed observers throughout the preseason, giving Cam Newton one more explosive weapon to work with.
13 0 down 13 7-9-0
(8-8-0)
-1 Philadelphia
After facing the single toughest schedule in the NFL last year, Philly has the single biggest ‘SOS decline’ this year, based on current win totals from Vegas.
14 0 down 14 9-7-0
(9-7-0)
-0.5 Tampa Bay
Dirk Koetter was the coach who put Boise State on the map in college football. In his first year as an NFL head coach, he snapped the Bucs string of five consecutive losing seasons.
15 0 down 15 9-7-0
(8-8-0)
0 Detroit
The Lions depth was rock solid during the preseason and third round pick Kenny Golladay turned heads with a bevy of jaw-dropping catches from Matthew Stafford!
16 0 down 16 6-9-0
(7-9-0)
0 Cincinnati
After enjoying years of continuity on the offensive line, Cinci could have three first year, first time starters on the OL trying to protect Andy Dalton.
17 0 down 17 9-7-0
(6-9-1)
0.5 Houston
Don’t underestimate how much the ongoing flooding in Houston is going to affect this team. The Saints were a pointspread disaster in 2005 after Hurricane Katrina.
18 0 down 18 8-8-0
(7-9-0)
0.5 Baltimore
The Ravens have been hit HARD by the injury bug, losing nine different players to season ending injuries since the beginning of mini-camps in June.
19 0 down 19 9-7-0
(9-7-0)
0.5 Denver
Over the last two seasons, the Broncos have had the best pass defense in the NFL, by a wide margin. With three pro bowlers returning in the secondary, they should be elite again.
20 0 down 20 8-8-0
(9-7-0)
0.5 Minnesota
Sam Bradford completed an NFL record 71.6% of his passes last year, yet the Vikings closed the campaign on a 3-8 skid, losing four of those games as favorites.
21 0 down 21 7-9-0
(11-5-0)
0.5 New Orleans
The Saints defense looked vastly improved in preseason, allowing only a single touchdown in eight quarters of football in Weeks 2 & 3
22 0 down 22 8-7-0
(10-6-0)
1 Washington
The Redskins passing game ranked behind only Atlanta’s last year, but Kirk Cousins lost his top two receivers in the offseason. Can Terrelle Pryor and Josh Doctson step up?
23 0 down 23 10-6-0
(9-7-0)
1.5 Miami
The transition from Ryan Tannehill to Jay Cutler hasn’t affected Miami’s power rating in any significant way, but from a ‘team chemistry’ standpoint, Cutler is no Tannehill.
24 0 down 24 5-11-0
(7-9-0)
1.5 San Diego
The Chargers will be playing in front of very small crowds this season. The Stub Hub Center in LA seats only 27,000 and the Chargers couldn’t fill it in either preseason game.
25 0 down 25 8-8-0
(7-8-1)
2 Indianapolis
With Andrew Luck still dealing with the aftermath of offseason surgery, the Colts are likely to go into Week 1 with Scott Tolzien as their starting quarterback. Not pretty!
26 0 down 26 3-13-0
(8-8-0)
2 Jacksonville
The Jags have solid defensive depth and a bevy of skill position players on offense. But can Blake Bortles avoid the hideous mistakes that have plagued him?
27 0 down 27 3-13-0
(7-9-0)
3 Chicago
Mike Glennon has officially ‘won’ the Bears starting quarterback job. Take the Under for how log he’ll last as the starter before Mitch Trubisky takes over!
28 0 down 28 7-9-0
(6-10-0)
3.5 Buffalo
Talk about a bad preseason! The Bills traded away their best skill position threat and their best player in the secondary, while QB Tyrod Taylor has really struggled.
29 0 down 29 4-12-0
(4-11-1)
4 Los Angeles
The Aaron Donald contract dispute is still lingering, leaving the Rams pro bowl defensive lineman still holding out; a major downgrade for the stop unit.
30 0 down 30 1-15-0
(3-12-1)
5 Cleveland
The wiseguys in Vegas love this team to overachieve! The Browns season win total opened at Over/Under 4, and there’s been nothing but Over $$ ever since.
31 0 down 31 2-14-0
(5-11-0)
6 San Francisco
Kyle Shanahan’s Super Bowl play calling that cost Atlanta the game didn’t affect his ascension through the coaching ranks. It’s full rebuild time with his first head coaching gig!
32 0 down 32 5-11-0
(6-10-0)
7 N.Y. Jets
The Jets defense has all kinds of potential, but their offense looks truly bottom of the barrel. Expect totals on the Jets games to be the lowest in the league.
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Power Ratings compute offensive and defensive statistics into one number for each team, while accounting for factors like recent performances and strength of schedule. Power Ratings can be used as a baseline for relative spread index to compare current or future match-ups between two teams. The relative spread does not account for non-statistical factors like home-field advantage, recent injuries, game time decisions, rivalries, publicity, and weather.

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