MLB Power Rankings: Week 25

By Steve Merril - Covers Expert

The Chicago Cubs own a comfortable lead in our weekly MLB Power Rankings and will, most certainly, finish the season as our No. 1 team. The Boston Red Sox continue to ride their potent offense and moved up two spots to No. 3. The big losers this week were the New York Yankees who dropped three spots to No. 15 and seem to have run out of steam in the American League East.

MLB Power Rankings

Rank Last Week Change Team W-L (ATS) Power Rating Team Comments
1 1 same 94-55
-141 Chi. Cubs
A rare losing week for the Cubs who went 3-4 and are just 6-7 the past two weeks combined. The Cubs are still easily the best team in the league at 94-55 and they have already clinched the NL Central division. Chicago remains 91-51 and +6.0 games ahead of the Nationals and +6.5 games ahead of the Rangers for the best record in MLB. The Cubs have scored the third most runs in the Majors (735) while allowing the fewest (511).
2 2 same 88-61
-131 Washington
The Nationals went just 3-3 last week, but they still have the second best record in baseball (88-61) and stand 9-4 the past two weeks combined. The Nationals will play all six games on the road this week as their current 9-game road trip continues at Miami and Pittsburgh. Washington has a +8.0 game lead in the National League East division over the Mets. Overall, the Nationals have given up the second fewest runs (553) in the league this season.
3 5 up 2 85-64
-127 Boston
A solid 5-2 week for the Red Sox who are now 13-6 the past three weeks, helping them extend their first place lead in the American League East division to +3.0 games ahead of the Orioles. Boston is now 85-64 overall this season. Boston's offense remains the best in baseball as they've scored a total of 825 runs (5.5 runs per game) so far this season. They have the best X_WL record (expected won-loss based on run margin) in the American League at 90-59.
4 3 down 1 88-62
-126 Texas
The Rangers went just 3-3 last week and are just 6-7 the past two weeks, but 10 of those 13 games were on the road against division foes. Texas is still 88-62 which is best record in the American League and the third best record in MLB behind the Cubs and Nationals. Texas is an incredible 34-10 in games decided by exactly one-run (3-0 last week), so they've had a lot of close wins this season.
5 4 down 1 86-63
-125 Cleveland
The Indians went just 3-4 last week and are only 7-7 the past two weeks combined. Cleveland is still 86-63 in all games this season. They continue to hold a +7.0 game lead over the Tigers in the American League Central division. Cleveland has been extremely strong at home this year, going 49-26, compared to just 37-37 on the road. The Indians have also dominated division opponents, going 41-22 versus the AL Central.
6 6 same 84-65
-122 LA Dodgers
Los Angeles went 4-3 last week, despite a close 10-9 extra inning loss on Sunday. The Dodgers are now 84-65 on the season and they hold a +5.0 game lead over the Giants in the National League West division. The Dodgers are 47-27 at home, but just 37-38 on the road. Los Angeles is 64-44 versus right-handed starters, while going just 18-21 versus southpaws.
7 8 up 1 82-67
-120 Baltimore
Baltimore went 4-3 last week and 8-5 the past two weeks, bringing their overall record to 82-67 on the season. They finished a 9-game road trip and are now in the midst of an 11-game home stand. The Orioles pitching remains suspect, having allowed 176 total runs in their past 34 games (5.2 runs per game).
8 7 down 1 81-68
-118 Toronto
Toronto was just 3-4 last week and is only 4-9 the past two weeks. The Blue Jays were just 12-15 during the first month of the season, but they have since gone 69-53. The Blue Jays are 81-68 overall, despite going just 17-23 in games decided by exactly one run this season.
9 11 up 2 80-69
-115 NY Mets
A 4-2 week for the Mets who are now 14-5 the past three weeks. New York is 80-69 on the season overall. Their pitching has been strong with a 3.51 ERA (3rd in MLB), but their offense has struggled with a .242 batting average which is the third worst in all of baseball.
10 10 same 79-70
-114 Detroit
The Tigers went just 3-4 last week and are only 5-8 the past two weeks. Detroit falls to 79-70 overall this season. Despite one of the worst bullpens in the league, the Tigers have still gone 26-16 in games decided by exactly one run this season.
11 9 down 2 79-70
-111 San Francisco
The Giants were 2-5 last week and are just 22-37 since the All-Star break, despite standing 79-70 overall on the season. The Giants' failed to capitalize on seven straight home games last week and must now play seven straight road games this week.
12 15 up 3 79-70
-110 Seattle
The Mariners went 4-2 last week and are now 10-3 the past two weeks after having gone just 2-10 in the twelve games prior. Seattle is 79-70 overall on the season. Despite being -8.5 games behind the Rangers in the American League West, the Mariners actually have the best net run differential (+52) in the division.
13 13 same 78-71
-108 Houston
Houston went just 3-3 last week which included a pair of one-run losses versus Texas. The Astros are 78-71 overall this season. Houston is 61-43 in their past 104 games after starting the season with just a 17-28 record. The Astros are currently -9.5 games behind the Rangers in the American League West division.
14 14 same 78-71
-107 St. Louis
St. Louis went 3-4 last week with a tough schedule that featured three home games versus the Cubs and four road games at San Francisco. The Cardinals are 78-71 on the season, and they are one of only two teams in baseball (along with Pittsburgh) that has a losing record at home (33-41) and a winning record on the road (45-30).
15 12 down 3 77-72
-105 NY Yankees
A terrible 1-6 week for the Yankees after going 6-1 the week before. New York is 77-72 on the season. New York is now 24-11 in games decided by exactly one run this season, after going 0-2 in two close games this past weekend.
16 16 same 76-73
-103 Kansas City
Kansas City is 76-73 overall on the season after going 2-5 this past week. The Royals have still gone 19-13 in their past 32 games. Kansas City has been much better at home (44-30) than on the road (32-43) this season. They have gone 41-22 versus division opponents and just 35-51 in all other games.
17 17 same 74-75
101 Miami
The Marlins went 3-3 for the second straight week and have only had a winning record once in the past seven weeks. Overall, Miami is 74-75 on the season, and they have been eliminated from contention in National League East division race. The Marlins rank 3rd in the league in batting average (.266), but only 27th in scoring (4.1 run per game) and 29th in home runs (117).
18 18 same 74-75
102 Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh went 5-3 last week after going just 2-11 the two weeks prior. Overall they are 74-75 on the season. The Pirates have been stronger versus left-handed starters (19-9) than right-handed starters (55-66) this season. Pittsburgh is one of only two teams in the league (along with St. Louis) that has a losing record at home (36-38) and a winning record on the road (38-37).
19 19 same 72-77
105 Colorado
The Rockies went 3-3 last week and they are now 72-77 on the season. Colorado trails the Dodgers by -12.0 games in the National League West division. The Rockies are 54-52 versus right-handed starters this year, but just 18-25 versus southpaws.
20 21 up 1 68-82
108 Milwaukee
Milwaukee had another 4-3 winning week, including going 3-1 versus the Cubs on the road. The Brewers are now 68-82 on the season, but a solid 12-6 in their past 18 games which includes a 5-2 record versus the Cubs. The Brewers are 39-36 at home, but just 29-46 on the road this year. Milwaukee is 29-16 versus left-handed starters, but just 39-66 versus right-handers.
21 20 down 1 72-77
110 Chi. White Sox
Chicago had a 4-3 week and is now just 72-77 overall and 50-67 over their last 117 games after beginning the season with a 22-10 record. Chicago is only 29-40 versus division opponents, compared to 43-37 in all other games.
22 22 same 65-84
115 LA Angels
Los Angeles started last week 0-5, but finished 2-0 with two weekend wins versus Toronto. Overall, the Angels are 65-84 on the season, but their X_WL (expected won-loss based on run margin) is 71-78. Los Angeles is 19-21 versus left-handed starters, but just 46-63 versus right-handed starters this season.
23 24 up 1 66-83
122 Oakland
The Athletics were 6-1 last week after going 3-9 the prior two weeks combined. Oakland is now 66-83 on the season. The A's have allowed 77 runs in their past ten losses (7.7 runs per game) and their overall 4.52 ERA is the second worst in the American League this season.
24 23 down 1 67-83
124 Philadelphia
The Phillies went 4-3 last week, but are still just 9-17 in their past 26 games overall. Philadelphia is 67-83 on the season. The Phillies have gone 27-21 in games decided by exactly one run this year, compared to 40-62 in all other games.
25 26 up 1 64-85
126 Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 64-85 on the season after going 4-3 last week. The Rays are just 33-49 in their past 82 games. Tampa Bay's offense has struggled this season, ranking last in the American League in batting average (.246) and second to last in on-base percentage (.310).
26 25 down 1 63-86
128 Cincinnati
The Reds started the season 32-57, but have gone 31-29 since the All-Star break. Overall, Cincinnati is 37-41 at home this season, but a terrible 26-45 on the road. Pitching has been a huge problem as the Reds have allowed the most home runs (239) in the Majors with the fourth worst team ERA (4.88).
27 27 same 62-87
129 San Diego
The Padres went 3-3 last week, starting with a 3-0 sweep at San Francisco, but then getting swept at Colorado (0-3). San Diego now has a 62-87 record on the season. They are just 12-22 in their past 34 games overall. San Diego is 20-20 versus left-handed starters, but a horrible 42-67 versus right-handers this year.
28 28 same 63-86
130 Arizona
Arizona is now 63-86 this season after going 5-2 last week after going 0-6 the week prior. The Diamondbacks still allowed 40 runs in their seven games, and they have given up 510 total runs in their last 77 games (6.6 runs per game). Arizona is a terrible 30-48 at home this year, while going a respectable 33-38 on the road.
29 29 same 58-91
133 Atlanta
The Braves went 3-3 last week which included winning a home series versus the Nationals. The Braves are 14-12 in their past 26 games after starting the season a horrendous 44-79. Atlanta is still just 58-91 overall this year. The Braves have actually been better on the road (32-42) than at home (26-49) this season.
30 30 same 55-95
138 Minnesota
The Twins went 2-5 last week and are just 6-24 in their past 30 games overall. Minnesota is now 55-95 this season which is -3.5 games behind the Braves for the worst record in baseball. The Twins' pitching staff has been terrible this year with a 5.10 ERA which is the second worst in the Majors.

Power Ratings compute offensive and defensive statistics into one number for each team, while accounting for factors like recent performances and strength of schedule. Power Ratings can be used as a baseline for relative spread index to compare current or future match-ups between two teams. The relative spread does not account for non-statistical factors like home-field advantage, recent injuries, game time decisions, rivalries, publicity, and weather.