MLB Power Rankings: Week 4

By Steve Merril - Covers Expert

A slight shake-up at the top of our weekly MLB Power Rankings as the Baltimore Orioles take a turn at the top of the list and last week's top team, the Houston Astros, take a tumble down to No. 3.

MLB Power Rankings

Rank Last Week Change Team W-L (ATS) Power Rating Team Comments
1 2 up 1 12-5
(9-8-0)
-130 Baltimore
The Orioles have won four of five and five of their last seven games. Before Boston's offensive explosion on Sunday, they had allowed just three runs over a four game span. Of concern here is Kevin Gausman who has allowed four runs or more in three of his five starts. Boston got to him on Sunday while the Reds beat him up to the tune of eight runs in just over two innings. Chris Tillman is due back soon though.
2 4 up 2 13-5
(10-8-0)
-127 Washington
Bryce Harper is the hottest hitter in baseball right now. Ryan Zimmerman is in good form as well with eight hits in his last 18 at-bats. Zimmerman's improvement is huge to the lineup that has seen Daniel Murphy cool off a bit. Koda Glover and Shawn Kelley are the new co-closers and so far so good with them.
3 1 down 2 13-6
(10-9-0)
-125 Houston
The Astros lineup is averaging over four runs per contest so far this season. They are going to have to continue to rake with Michael Fiers, Charlie Morton and Joe Musgrove at the back end of the rotation. Musgrove in particular has struggled over his last few starts with three straight opponents getting to him for three runs or more.
4 3 down 1 10-8
(7-11-0)
-124 Chi. Cubs
The Cubs offense is hot right now picking up nine hits or more in seven of their last eight games. Chicago travels to Pittsburgh for some revenge after getting swept at home last week. After that they begin a weekend in Boston against the Red Sox. Kyle Hendricks has a 6.19 ERA through three starts which is concerning considering he was the NL ERA leader last season.
5 7 up 2 11-7
(12-6-0)
-122 NY Yankees
New York continues to lead the way in bullpen ERA. Aroldis Chapman and Dellin Betances are locking down the 8th and 9th innings which helps make up for a decent starting rotation. After a slow start, Aaron Judge has five HRs over his last 11 games. Ronald Torreyes has had the team's first home run, first triple and first four-hit game of the season. He's not going to make things easy for Joe Girardi when Didi Gregorius returns.
6 8 up 2 13-6
(11-8-0)
-120 Colorado
The most impressive part of the Colorado's hot start is their 7-3 road record. It's still very early, but the last time the Rockies had a winning road record was 2009 when they went 41-40. Antonio Senzatela has been a very pleasant surprise having won three straight starts including two in Coor's Field. The righty has 17 strikeouts to just four walks.
7 19 up 12 10-8
(8-10-0)
-118 Cleveland
Jason Kipnis returned from the disabled list so that helps the lineup. Michael Brantley has 10 hits in his last 25 at-bats so you see what a difference he makes when healthy. The problems reside in the rotation where the five pitchers have combined for an ERA of 4.81 which is good for 29th overall. Corey Kluber threw a complete game shutout last time out so maybe he's turned things around after a very slow start.
8 5 down 3 11-8
(10-9-0)
-117 Boston
Big series taking place at Fenway Park this week with the Yankees and Cubs coming to town. Rick Porcello gets the first crack at New York. He's 1-2 with a 5.32 ERA. The offensive output the team put up on Sunday was almost as much as they scored over the previous four games. Mookie Betts and Andrew Benintendi are both in great form offensively.
9 11 up 2 12-8
(12-8-0)
-115 Arizona
Arizona has scored the most runs in baseball and has the best run differential in the National League. Since last Sunday, they have scored 11 runs or more three times with two of those coming against the heralded Dodgers at home. Five regulars are hitting .290 are better and that doesn't include Paul Goldschmidt who checks in at just .257. Fernando Rodney's ERA is 7.36 which is a concern for the team's closer.
10 12 up 2 10-8
(10-8-0)
-113 Miami
The West Coast has been unkind to Miami so far after losing a series in Seattle. Luckily they bounced back in San Diego before hitting up Philly this week. The Fish are averaging just over 4.5 runs per game. Martin Prado's return now gives them five regulars who hit .275 or better. Giancarlo Stanton has found his power stroke with four HRs and nine hits over the last four games.
11 13 up 2 10-9
(12-7-0)
-112 Cincinnati
The Reds snapped a four game losing streak on Sunday as they knocked off the Cubs. Cincy held their own in the series with 20 runs and 30 hits. The bullpen problem from last year reared it's ugly head though. Somehow, Bronson Arroyo put together two straight decent starts after getting shelled by St. Louis and Milwaukee. Amir Garrett continues to be stellar despite losing to the Orioles last time out. The southpaw had 12 K's in seven innings.
12 16 up 4 10-10
(11-9-0)
-109 Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay finished out a 4-2 homestand against the Tigers and Astros. Their offense put up four runs or more in all but one game. Before the season began, we didn't think the offense would be good enough to win games. Evan Longoria is hitting .234 so if he starts getting hot, then their lineup will be even tougher. Steven Souza Jr has a fantastic 1.037 OPS. Alex Colome gave up his first run of the season on Sunday.
13 10 down 3 10-8
(8-10-0)
-108 Detroit
The Tigers have weird peripherals. They are two games above .500, but have a terrible run differential. When Detroit loses, they do not do it in close fashion. Miguel Cabrera's injury is tough for this lineup and that means Victor Martinez is going to have to get hot. He just got over the Mendoza line on Sunday and has moved ahead of Ian Kinsler who is hitting .217. Despite all the negatives they are right there in the AL Central.
14 6 down 8 8-11
(6-13-0)
-105 NY Mets
Injuries are a problem for the Mets with Lucas Duda and Wilmer Flores on the DL and Yoenis Cespedes hobbled big time. New York enters this week hitting just .189 at home and .175 in their last seven games. This power ranking is probably higher then they currently deserve, but any team with Noah Syndergaard, Jacob deGrom and Matt Harvey should get some respect. Jeurys Familia is also back from his suspension.
15 9 down 6 9-10
(10-9-0)
-101 LA Dodgers
Much like the Mets, the Dodgers aren't in good form right now. Also like New York, LA is too talented to stay this way. Kenta Maeda has been a huge disappointment so far in year two as the righty has an 8.05 ERA in 19 innings of work. Rich Hill's injury issues are a problem although Alex Wood has been a good fill-in so far.
16 24 up 8 10-9
(10-9-0)
100 Oakland
Andrew Triggs finally gave up an earned run after three straight starts of not doing so. Despite lacking true name brand starting pitching, the group has held up nicely for the most part. Ryon Healy has 11 hits in his last 21 at-bats. Oakland has had a very home friendly start to their season with just six road games.
17 28 up 11 9-10
(8-11-0)
102 St. Louis
The Cardinals have turned things around since last week winning six of their last seven games. They swept Pittsburgh at home in three 2-1 contests while they outslugged the Brewers on their way to three of four in Milwaukee. The bullpen is still an issue, but they finally got on the board with a save. Jedd Gyorko has six hits in his last three games and is seeing more time because of it.
18 17 down 1 8-10
(9-9-0)
103 Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh might have swept the Yankees at home if not for a bad error on Saturday. Ivan Nova continues to be fantastic allowing just eight runs over 27 innings of work. The righty struck out seven Yankees on Sunday so that must have felt good for him. We'll see how well they do in round two against the Cubs on Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday.
19 25 up 6 9-10
(12-7-0)
105 Texas
The Rangers are glad to be home after a 3-6 road trip through the rest of their division. So far they've enjoyed taking on the Royals at home although the offense continues to scuffle. Texas is hitting .207 as a team. Amazing how much better they are when Sam Dyson can't affect the outcome. Dyson is on the DL along with Adrian Beltre and A.J. Griffin.
20 18 down 2 9-11
(10-10-0)
106 Milwaukee
Eric Thames continues to be one of the best stories in baseball. The slugger has eight HRs with six of those coming over a five game span earlier this month. Matt Garza is expected to be activated off the DL on Monday to make the start. Milwaukee's starting pitchers are 8-4, but a 4.61 ERA. That's asking a lot for the offense to overcome on a nightly basis.
21 14 down 7 8-10
(9-9-0)
108 Minnesota
Minnesota has lost six of their last seven as their offense has dried up. Byron Buxton continues to look lost at the plate while Joe Mauer is hitting .222. On the positive side, Ervin Santana continues to post stellar numbers with two earned runs allowed in 28 innings. Brandon Kintzler has also been surprising at the closer position having not allowed an earned run yet.
22 21 down 1 7-11
(8-10-0)
110 Kansas City
The starting rotation has the best ERA in baseball, but the bullpen has six losses. Kansas City still has way too many regulars hitting worse then .200. As a team, they are hitting just .209 and averaging less then three runs per contest. They have scored three runs or less in eight straight and 11 of their last 12 games.
23 15 down 8 8-12
(5-15-0)
110 LA Angels
Now that Garret Richards is on the DL, the rest of the rotation is going to have to step up. The problem is that no one really has done so. The best ERA by any of them is Tyler Skaggs who checks in at 4.44. Skaggs along with Ricky Nolasco, Matt Shoemaker and Jesse Chavez don't exactly strike fear into opposing hitters.
24 27 up 3 9-9
(11-7-0)
111 Philadelphia
Hector Neris becomes the third closer for the Phillies who have won four straight including a home sweep of the Braves. The offense has had eight hits or more in seven straight games. If Vince Velasquez figures things out, then this rotation becomes sneaky good with Jeremy Hellickson and Jerad Eickhoff posting solid numbers already.
25 20 down 5 8-9
(9-8-0)
113 Chi. White Sox
Chicago has scored three runs or less in nine of their last 13 games as the stripped down lineup has struggled for traction. Todd Frazier is hitting .108 as he continues to prove to be a bust after coming over from Cincinnati. At least Avisail Garcia is in great form. Jose Quintana is still looking for his first win of the season as he's 0-4 with a 6.17 ERA.
26 22 down 4 8-12
(10-10-0)
115 San Diego
San Diego split a six game home stand taking a set from Arizona while falling in two out of three to Miami. Luis Perdomo returned from the DL on Sunday giving the rotation an injection of youth. Still, the offensive numbers are pretty ugly. Wil Myers is hitting .354 with four HRs and 11 RBIs.
27 23 down 4 6-13
(6-13-0)
117 San Francisco
Madison Bumgarner getting hurt riding a dirt bike on an off day symbolizes this season pretty well. The rest of the rotation has been pretty bad. Johnny Cueto has three of the group's five wins, but his 5.25 ERA isn't even the highest with Matt Moore (5.87) and Jeff Samardzija (7.40) being higher. However, this is still a veteran group that has the potential to turn things around.
28 26 down 2 6-12
(10-8-0)
118 Atlanta
Atlanta has lost six in a row since their five game win streak. The Braves offense has scuffled scoring just 15 runs over this current skid. Freddie Freeman has cooled off a bit from his torrid start getting just two hits over his last four games. You can't really blame the rotation although the team hasn't gotten the best from Bartolo Colon who has one win in four starts.
29 30 up 1 8-12
(10-10-0)
121 Seattle
The Mariners snapped a three game losing streak on Sunday, but now head to Detroit and Cleveland on this current road trip. Hisashi Iwakuma and Yovani Gallardo are showing their age right now although the former Brewers starter won on Sunday. Mitch Haniger has gotten hits in nine of his last 10 games which has seen his average balloon to .321.
30 29 down 1 5-13
(7-11-0)
125 Toronto
The Jays need to get Josh Donaldson back as Jose Bautista is hitting miserably right now. He's struck out 26 times in just 68 at-bats. Russell Martin is also in a slump with just seven hits in 14 games. J.A. Happ and Aaron Sanchez are on the DL as well as Troy Tulowitzki. Things are just not breaking Toronto's way as they begin a series in St. Louis this week.

Power Ratings compute offensive and defensive statistics into one number for each team, while accounting for factors like recent performances and strength of schedule. Power Ratings can be used as a baseline for relative spread index to compare current or future match-ups between two teams. The relative spread does not account for non-statistical factors like home-field advantage, recent injuries, game time decisions, rivalries, publicity, and weather.

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