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I think the safer play is pairing Denver -2
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der1904 | 22 |
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One thing with those trends...how many of those teams were underdogs at home during that 3rd game??
After 2 blowout wins the public will have inflated the lines and lead to less covers. I understand the logic but this seems like a special case no?
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EarnMoney | 26 |
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Those numbers seem astronomical to me...are we sure these are legit?
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CAPTAINPAP | 94 |
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Vegas knows something..but not everything.
NFL FOOTBALL Atlanta Detroit 226 69.71% 30.29% $1,286,480 $8,136 99.37% 0.63% $2,474 $36 Speaking of.... Check out these numbers from sbrforum NFL consensus. |
CAPTAINPAP | 94 |
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Dude...yall need to read the thread before getting butthurt.
It has been stated MULTIPLE times where he got the numbers. Why are there so many haterz on here?
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LeagueCapper | 173 |
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I think people who cap seriously realize that the trends favor the Packers.
That's why this thread was made...because line moves have to do with how the money is pouring in. There are always a ton of factors to consider when placing a bet. And this is one of them. This info is interesting and may or may not change my play. But to me, having more info is always better. I think the Under is the best play in this game, and have teased the pack to +3. I may put alil on da Bears come gametime if that line jumps back up.
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LeagueCapper | 173 |
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and no one is talking about it. This is by far my best bet this weekend.
Wash. has played great these last 4 games..3 of which were divisional games where the Skins had tape on the opponents but not vice versa.. Baltimore got beat by Pitt last week but are we forgetting there are 9-3? And receiving points to a 6-6 team.... |
ttplaya | 8 |
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KC ML 2 weeks in a row..?
I was with them last week and am definetly not rolling with the ML or the spread. I think there are alot of other solid underdogs to play this week.
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Gavinnick | 8 |
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replied to
***Macwesties Thurs. Dec. 06, 2012 "WEEK #14" *"Thurs. Night" NFL Football Play***
in NFL Betting
I'm sorry..was this thread saying to take the Raiders ML?
OOOHHH so if I take the Raiders and the points the better team can still win but just not cover the spread (Like the Broncos have done the last 3 weeks)??
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Macwestie1 | 67 |
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Quote Originally Posted by idle_havoc: Hot tip? snow? bit of an oxymoron I think lol 60% chance, 2-3 inches of wet snow forecasted Icwutudidthere
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tommyirish | 14 |
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Quote Originally Posted by spuggy901: I need some help with my picks ive betting and getting killed this year. Here is what i like on a 4 pick parlay my bookie numbers are.
e another 3 pick parlay
I also have another 4 Pick Parlay
HELP!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! You dont have to do parlays you know...Pick your best games and bet them straight up. Then throw in some parlays and teasers. If done right, you seldom lose big and more generally make a modest profit (best bets hit, most parlays lose) and can hit that big score when everything comes together.
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NFL_Sharp | 62 |
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Yeah I haven't seen that on any of my sportbooks.
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4_Leaf_Clover | 8 |
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Has anyone noticed that McFadden is going to be back? That has got to help Oak in some capacity.
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Covers | 144 |
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I believe he got it from this site... matchup section shows 59% on the Saints
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Junkie4Hire | 8 |
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huh? His guy is giving him 3 points either way..
Falcons -1/2 Saints +6.5 |
shindo03 | 9 |
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I think Oakland pulls the upset
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brandonisme | 5 |
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I just really do not understand why post like these happen. It is a crying shame..these mods are non-existent.
Why is covers a place where everyone post a new thread with their own picks on the same games. We should be discussing games as well! We all have a general interest and post like these do not further the community. |
Get_Capped | 46 |
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Open: Det +3 O/U51
Current: Det +3.5(-120) O/U 51.5 I want to get some of yalls thoughts on this. I will start by saying I do like the dogs this week (Miami got me), but not in this game. I placed an early bet at GB -3 as I expected the line to go up and more importantly I thought it was WAY to low. Initial thoughts: GB dismantled my Texans on the road and we are loads better than Det. GB is also coming off a bye which benefits the better teams. Evidence: Pack are: 5-0 ATS last 5 vs. the NFC North 5-1 ATS last 6 in Det 9-3 ATS last 12 meetings overall. Det has some good trends YTD but Green Bay has owned the Lions recently. I think that is a more powerful trend. That being said I think the OVER is the best bet in this game. I have seen alot of likes for Det on this board and just wanted to see what yall saw. BOL |
ttplaya | 1 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Tomspeople: May also make a play on CHI/SF game, but line isn't out at most books so I'm going to wait and see. I'm guessing the line should be around SF-4, and if so, I won't be playing it. I'll post in this thread either way though. Week 11 Detroit Lions +3.5 > Green Bay Packers Arizona Cardinals +9.5 > Atlanta Falcons Carolina Panthers +1 > Tampa Bay Buccaneers Jacksonville Jaguars +15 > Houston Texans Kansas City Chiefs +3.5 > Cincinnati Bengals New Orleans Saints -4.5 > Oakland Raiders New England Patriots -9.5 > Indianapolis Colts Pittsburgh Steelers +3.5 > Baltimore Ravens (Waiting for a better line but will take Pits regardless) Previous Picks YTD Record: 51-28 (+20.2) Interested on your take on the bolded picks. I could not find many trends on GB but I think they are a top 5 team and they are coming out of a bye. I got the line at -3. I saw what they did to my Texans. You don't see the Saints in for a letdown. Raiders are 5-0-1 last 3 years as a home underdog following an ATS loss. They bounce back really well. |
Tomspeople | 16 |
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why do you like the Lions and the Jets?
By only betting the ML of the Colts do you anticipate either a NE blow-out or an Indy upset?
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iNTENSITi | 2 |
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