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Hello Gents....can I play? Can we cap any sport?
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jasonwhitesknee | 106 |
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Who the f'k are the moderators in the penalty box?
WTF i find out that I'm boxed because I have a service??? Today I answered the 1000th email from people who aren't clients of mine asking me about the Labourchere, which I posted to try and help people. and not once in my posts did I ever tell someone to sign up or ask for a client. So that makes sense....ban someone who was trying to help people. It's ok that there are all kinds of threads about the Labourchere, it's ok that Blackbelt cappers and all these other services decide that "hey that might work" but I'm fukn banned from answering a question because???? what some loser had an axe to grind and had a buddy who's a mod and they said I was a tout? I know that's how it works here but I never solicited business so maybe the genius who put me here can email me and explain why. It saves me a lot of typing when people email and say "why the fuk wont you answer in the thread???" Maybe helping people is illegal here because it might take away business from the great covers ...um...experts. |
3rd_and_Long | 127 |
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I've also done some reseach with my stats team on an even better way to use the Labourchere. We found that it would be best if you actually create an individual line for each game. All game 1's would be played on the game 1 line, all game 2's or "B" games would be on the Game 2 line and all game 3's would be played on the game 3 line.
In MLB this would have made you an extra 15 units of profit over the course of the season. I created a google doc to outline the Labourchere and the recent update. Hope this helps. https://docs.google.com/Doc?id=ddx45786_53c89dkjc9 |
badhank69 | 26 |
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Hello Everyone,
Look aside from every time Morrison has a loss he comes up with some kind of back system that would have eliminated that loss and is not counting it on his record....tell that to the people who just lost 16+ units. Look there is a better way to manage your money in these Chase type systems so you can stop buying all the points all the time. the only time you should buy is if the line is 4, 4.5, 5, or 5.5. Those are terrible lines when it comes down to free throws and you should buy points on those. A better way to manage your money is using the Labourchere. It is an effective way to make sure you're not wagering 10 units on a game 3 and it allows you to actually recover your losses in the event that you do lose. I've been talking about it for a year on here and I get a lot of emails about it so I created a google doc that explains it and also the latest research that my stats team has uncovered. Believe me, the system isn't broke but that style of money management will only leave you broke in the end. The Labourchere: |
avidgolferinms | 23 |
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Morrison people if you are new to that program you MUST be careful. You can't manage your money that way. My people also had Sacramento but using the Labourchere, which I've been writing about for nearly a year in here, we are down 3.5 units and we'll actually win that back as we pick up wins this week where as the people following Morrisons idea of money management won't be even until some time near the holidays. I hate to see people losing 15+ units like that....if you're in that progam manage your money differently or 2-3 losses in a season will wipe out all of your profit
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whitakp | 29 |
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Guys I've been telling people for over a year that you CAN NOT manage your money like that. My people also had Sacramento as a play and I have no shame in saying we lost because we are down 3.5 units and not 16. Morrisons system, well what he sells because it's actually not his, but the system will produce plenty of wins but if you want any hope for success you can not manage your money laying out 10 units on a game 3. I've recommended and my members Use the Labourchere so not only do you not lay out that much money but you can recover your losses and don't always have to buy 3 points. The system isn't broke, the money management just sucks
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badhank69 | 26 |
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A note....the reason you need the pre-paid Visa bank / xxxxxx is because Visa basically told the US Govt to kiss their ass and there is no way the would cooperate with an inernational transaction block via the internet. MC caved in. That's why, for the most part, if you're going to depoit its going to have to be a Visa card.
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TarHeel7703 | 22 |
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FYI.....Just so you're aware and despite what sites like "NBA Never lost" and I'm not sure if Morrison advertises "0" losses or not but the East / West NBA System DID have 1 or 2 losses.....What happens is after the season is over each year, these people go back over the losses and figure out a filter that would have eliminated that loss and then they can say we were ??? - 0.
The truth is that there will be a loss or two. Dont get me wrong...It is still a great way to play and we use versions of it with filters but I don't want to see anyone get
wiped out like many people did in baseball believing that there has NEVER been a loss and by completely out betting your bankroll thinking you'll never lose.
Boston lost 2/19-2/22 last year... New Jersey lost 1/19-1/22... Those losses include the 3pt buy if you are buying the points.
Just use your head and don't out bet your bankroll and lets all make a ton of money this NBA season
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Locksmith20 | 78 |
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Zumbize, if you use the following filters the sweep system is excellent all year long. You won't have as many plays but you'll hardly ever lose.
#1 - Make sure the team you're playing has a win% of .475 or higher #2 - Do not play a team vs one of the leagues top 5 teams. For example.....Boston at Tampa.....Lets say Tampa swept them last time I would pass on this because Boston, although very good themselves, are playing a Top 5 AL team. I've been using these filters for years. Recently, I've been told by some of my members that Morrison all of a sudden has added filters for his people. He uses RPI and recommends not to play a team that is .01 lower in RPI than their opponent. It's basically the same as the filter I use but if you used my filters you would have had one or 2 losses all year. Even I got burned the few times I ignored my own filter. It's tempting to play when you have two bad teams playing each other but it's amazing how inconsistent those teams can be. |
psic | 13 |
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Zumbize you'd be surprised....believe me the halftimes are just as big an opportunity for the sportsbook as the player. The stronger games are ones where the public is "easily trapped" when a big public favorite is losing at the half and gets the "cheap-o" halftime. Those are ones that hit at a higher percentage.
I personally don't play every half time blindly under those criteria even though it would produce a very good profit. What I gave you are some guidelines. I usually try to stick to the ones that really stand out.....like in NFL....Bears, Panthers, and Giants were all covering by comfortable margins and were favorites at half... I actually only played 3 halfs this past weekend in college....Lost on Michigan State / Iowa, Won on Missouri and Army Now I normally use the information at half to either hedge a bet I already have or try to middle a bet. But if you keep track I think you'll be pleasantly surprised at the returns you can get. Best of luck to everyone |
psic | 13 |
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I worked in the casino / sportsbook business for 10 years....halftimes are based in part on the original line because the books have to be aware of middle opportunities for the public, 2nd they have to be aware of where the public is betting and if there is lopsided action in their location...injuries and coaching have very little to actually do with it but their position on the game as a sportsbook has more influence than anything. Halftimes represent just as much of an opportunity for the sportsbook as it does for the player.
It's ok to disagree and I'm certainly not here to claim to know everything ...all I'm saying is that if you are aware of the two scenarios that I've outlined I promise you that over time you will believe in what I'm telling you here. These are two scenarios that very good linemakers pointed out to me years ago and have truly stood the test of time |
psic | 4 |
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Always try to bet the team that the line would be leading you AWAY from.
Like if you had the giants -7 and they are up by 20 at half and are -3....you're basically agreeing to bet the Giants at -23. Why would you take them -23 when you already have them -7? So if the sportsbooks DONT want you to make that bet, it's probably a good bet. |
psic | 13 |
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One of the questions I get the most is about halftimes....and believe
me if you master halftimes, you may consider not making a bet until the
half.
Halftime wagers are great for nailing middles as well as protecting what could be a bad bet and I want to share with everyone 2 situations that you should look for and these two are all you need to make good money betting at the half. Situation #1 - The Underdog is leading at the half and the Favorite gets a "cheap line" Lets say that Team A is a 7 point favorite and is trailing by 10 at the half. For a team like this, the favorite, the line should be close to the original spread or higher if the powers that be creating halftimes believe that this team is going to make a run. If the game were tied, as a bare minimum they would have to be at least -4 (just over half the original spread.) Most of the time, in our above scenario, you'll see a line of -7 to -10, or higher at the half but lets suppose you see -3. Think about the logic....you've bet a team at -7 and they are down by 10 at half so the friendly sportsbook feels so bad for you that you're losing your wager they want to give you .a chance to get your money back...right? I mean who wouldn't want to take a team that was -7 and bet them at +7.....that's basically what a -3 halftime would equate to. Do you really think, especially if the public has heavily bet the favorite, that the sportsbooks are just going to GIVE YOU AN OUT? No way that is a big fat trap and a -3 halftime in this situation is an AUTOMATIC play on the dog if you're going to play at all. Always keep your eyes out for the "too good to be true" halftime line on the favorite. Situation #2 - The favorite is covering the spread by nearly double or more and they are still the favorite at halftime. This little puppy got me a nice little halftime parlay last weekend and is one you should definately keep in your arseanal. I'll give you 3 examples from last Sunday's NFL. Carolina up by 21 at half and the halftime comes out -3. Now if you bet Carolina at -9.5...why on earth would you take them at -24? Obviously the sportsbook people are DESPERATELY trying to lead you AWAY from Carolina.....if they don't want you to bet it.....it's probably a winnner and obviously Carolina was a 2nd half winner. NY Giants up by 20+ at the half and open up a favorite. They are already covering by 2 touchdowns and they are still the favorite??? needless to say, you know that one turned out...a big fat winner. Arizona -2.5 for the game was up by 10 at the half and the public was strong on Buffalo. Halftime line was Arizona -1 or pick. If you had Buffalo, this looks like a gift right? I mean who wouldn't want Buffalo +10 in this game......the sportsbooks doubled down and sucked the public in hook line and sinker as Arizona was a runaway 2nd half winner. If you really get a grasp on thses two scenarios you will greatly improve your bottom line in sports betting......Always ask yourself at the half......"Who do they want me NOT to bet" or if the public is very strong on the game are they "does it look like they are giving the public an EASY OUT" These two scenarios show up in NCAA Football and Basketball as well as NBA and NFL. Good Luck and happy halftime hunting |
psic | 4 |
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One of the questions I get the most is about halftimes....and believe
me if you master halftimes, you may consider not making a bet until the
half.
Halftime wagers are great for nailing middles as well as protecting what could be a bad bet and I want to share with everyone 2 situations that you should look for and these two are all you need to make good money betting at the half. Situation #1 - The Underdog is leading at the half and the Favorite gets a "cheap line" Lets say that Team A is a 7 point favorite and is trailing by 10 at the half. For a team like this, the favorite, the line should be close to the original spread or higher if the powers that be creating halftimes believe that this team is going to make a run. If the game were tied, as a bare minimum they would have to be at least -4 (just over half the original spread.) Most of the time, in our above scenario, you'll see a line of -7 to -10, or higher at the half but lets suppose you see -3. Think about the logic....you've bet a team at -7 and they are down by 10 at half so the friendly sportsbook feels so bad for you that you're losing your wager they want to give you .a chance to get your money back...right? I mean who wouldn't want to take a team that was -7 and bet them at +7.....that's basically what a -3 halftime would equate to. Do you really think, especially if the public has heavily bet the favorite, that the sportsbooks are just going to GIVE YOU AN OUT? No way that is a big fat trap and a -3 halftime in this situation is an AUTOMATIC play on the dog if you're going to play at all. Always keep your eyes out for the "too good to be true" halftime line on the favorite. Situation #2 - The favorite is covering the spread by nearly double or more and they are still the favorite at halftime. This little puppy got me a nice little halftime parlay last weekend and is one you should definately keep in your arseanal. I'll give you 3 examples from last Sunday's NFL. Carolina up by 21 at half and the halftime comes out -3. Now if you bet Carolina at -9.5...why on earth would you take them at -24? Obviously the sportsbook people are DESPERATELY trying to lead you AWAY from Carolina.....if they don't want you to bet it.....it's probably a winnner and obviously Carolina was a 2nd half winner. NY Giants up by 20+ at the half and open up a favorite. They are already covering by 2 touchdowns and they are still the favorite??? needless to say, you know that one turned out...a big fat winner. Arizona -2.5 for the game was up by 10 at the half and the public was strong on Buffalo. Halftime line was Arizona -1 or pick. If you had Buffalo, this looks like a gift right? I mean who wouldn't want Buffalo +10 in this game......the sportsbooks doubled down and sucked the public in hook line and sinker as Arizona was a runaway 2nd half winner. If you really get a grasp on thses two scenarios you will greatly improve your bottom line in sports betting......Always ask yourself at the half......"Who do they want me NOT to bet" or if the public is very strong on the game are they "does it look like they are giving the public an EASY OUT" These two scenarios show up in NCAA Football and Basketball as well as NBA and NFL. Good Luck and happy halftime hunting |
psic | 7 |
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One of the questions I get the most is about halftimes....and believe me if you master halftimes, you may consider not making a bet until the half.
Halftime wagers are great for nailing middles as well as protecting what could be a bad bet and I want to share with everyone 2 situations that you should look for and these two are all you need to make good money betting at the half. Situation #1 - The Underdog is leading at the half and the Favorite gets a "cheap line" Lets say that Team A is a 7 point favorite and is trailing by 10 at the half. For a team like this, the favorite, the line should be close to the original spread or higher if the powers that be creating halftimes believe that this team is going to make a run. If the game were tied, as a bare minimum they would have to be at least -4 (just over half the original spread.) Most of the time, in our above scenario, you'll see a line of -7 to -10, or higher at the half but lets suppose you see -3. Think about the logic....you've bet a team at -7 and they are down by 10 at half so the friendly sportsbook feels so bad for you that you're losing your wager they want to give you .a chance to get your money back...right? I mean who wouldn't want to take a team that was -7 and bet them at +7.....that's basically what a -3 halftime would equate to. Do you really think, especially if the public has heavily bet the favorite, that the sportsbooks are just going to GIVE YOU AN OUT? No way that is a big fat trap and a -3 halftime in this situation is an AUTOMATIC play on the dog if you're going to play at all. Always keep your eyes out for the "too good to be true" halftime line on the favorite. Situation #2 - The favorite is covering the spread by nearly double or more and they are still the favorite at halftime. This little puppy got me a nice little halftime parlay last weekend and is one you should definately keep in your arseanal. I'll give you 3 examples from last Sunday's NFL. Carolina up by 21 at half and the halftime comes out -3. Now if you bet Carolina at -9.5...why on earth would you take them at -24? Obviously the sportsbook people are DESPERATELY trying to lead you AWAY from Carolina.....if they don't want you to bet it.....it's probably a winnner and obviously Carolina was a 2nd half winner. NY Giants up by 20+ at the half and open up a favorite. They are already covering by 2 touchdowns and they are still the favorite??? needless to say, you know that one turned out...a big fat winner. Arizona -2.5 for the game was up by 10 at the half and the public was strong on Buffalo. Halftime line was Arizona -1 or pick. If you had Buffalo, this looks like a gift right? I mean who wouldn't want Buffalo +10 in this game......the sportsbooks doubled down and sucked the public in hook line and sinker as Arizona was a runaway 2nd half winner. If you really get a grasp on thses two scenarios you will greatly improve your bottom line in sports betting......Always ask yourself at the half......"Who do they want me NOT to bet" or if the public is very strong on the game are they "does it look like they are giving the public an EASY OUT" These two scenarios show up in NCAA Football and Basketball as well as NBA and NFL. Good Luck and happy halftime hunting |
psic | 13 |
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Bet jamaica and The Greek (both owned by the greek) are the only place I would recommend. Western Union and Moneygram payouts are same day and once you've been with them for a few weeks you can get their debit card and then receive your payments within about an hour on your debit card.
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JB2275 | 33 |
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I'll be posting one each friday.
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psic | 7 |
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Jkochvar, the - 27 wasn't my opinion....the line makers use a set of data and a formula to create the lines and based on the raw data they would use it would have been PSU -27. That seemed heavy to me but on the other hand the -13.5 opener was a big red flag.......I don't try to guess what the games should open at, I look at what the line should be based on information that a great line maker gave me and I look for lines that are off by 4 pts or more and when the public is on the other side .....they are usually winners.....either way, hopefully everyone cashed in! I'll post one again next Friday
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psic | 6 |
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9/26/08 - One of the ways that I handicap NCAA Football is using a
formula given to me by a prominent line maker in my casino biz days and
I calculate what the lines SHOULD be. Then when the lines are off by a
significant amount ( 4 or more points) combined with other factors
like strong public betting on what appears to be an "easy" line we
usually have a good play.
Each week I'll post the F'd up line of the week. Hopefully we can all make some money 9/27/08 - The Play.....Illinois +15.5.....Penn State should have been -27 but instead the opened just below a key number at -13.5 and it sure looks easy to take Penn State. It's either christmas in September or somehow Illinois finds a way to make this a game. Close your eyes and take the Illini. |
psic | 7 |
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9/26/08 - One of the ways that I handicap NCAA Football is using a formula given to me by a prominent line maker in my casino biz days and I calculate what the lines SHOULD be. Then when the lines are off by a significant amount ( 4 or more points) combined with other factors like strong public betting on what appears to be an "easy" line we usually have a good play.
Each week I'll post the F'd up line of the week. Hopefully we can all make some money 9/27/08 - The Play.....Illinois +15.5.....Penn State should have been -27 but instead the opened just below a key number at -13.5 and it sure looks easy to take Penn State. It's either christmas in September or somehow Illinois finds a way to make this a game. Close your eyes and take the Illini. |
psic | 6 |
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