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@BigMick87
All good no judgment. Just trying to get the right info out to those who handicap. It's likely Mexico and Dominican Republic have similar temperatures at the moment. Big difference is wind speed and direction at these places. |
jmitseff | 13 |
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Few minor handicapping tips.....
If there are golfers you haven't heard of just do a google search. It will pop up real quick. Between Korn Ferry, overseas, etc there are a ton of golfers but easy to find information on them. Corales Puntacana Championship is not in Mexico. Punta Cana located in Dominican Republic |
jmitseff | 13 |
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Good to see you back jmittseff! I check-in once in a blue moon these days
Thriston Lawrence (Puntacana Championship event) For the field strength, solid pre-tourney wager. Will need a monster second round to contend after shooting -1. Love playing the secondary tournaments when the field is weak and out of the country. Riding Ben Martin the most with little on Sam Stevens and Adrien Dumont de Chassart. |
jmitseff | 13 |
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I am on the BC ML
Neither team is good but Syracuse has been horrendous lately. Know they have played tougher schedule but outscored 98-13 in 1st half last 4 games. Down 14 to Clemson at home, down 30 to UNC on road, down 14 to FSU on road and down 27 to VT on road all in the 1st half. |
ByrdMane612 | 26 |
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Use to post on this forum for awhile but just check in a few times a year now. Huge course for iron players this week. Grillo has a monster iron game just needs to find consistency with the putter. If Cameron Young brings his A game I think he will be in the running to take it.
I have no action on a particular golfer but prop bet. Last year few guys nailed hole in one at this course. One of the easier courses to do this(for the professionals). Have money on Hole in One for Tourney +100 Yes, Hole in One Round 1 +400, Round 2 +400, Hole in One Round 3 +800, Round 4 +800. Looks like already hit for tourney and Round One.....love to see a few more as the tourney goes on |
Rollz | 10 |
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Bad Beats game for some, winners for others. Crazy ending!
Lucked out on the right side tonight, tomorrow is another day |
KyleBowler | 14 |
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Put decent chunk on J-State -6.5
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KyleBowler | 14 |
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I have no money on this game yet but I am looking at few key injuries before pulling the trigger. I will be on Jacksonville State and the line if so.
Sam Houston State offense is reminding me of UMass from a year or two ago. D is holding at times but the offense is miles behind. SHS top RB and WR were both questionable coming into this week.
RB Anwar Lewis hasn't played yet this season for Jacksonville State. He is questionable again this week but if this kid is caught back up and playing I am all over Jacksonville State. All-Conference type player and been waiting to see his status coming into GameDay..... |
KyleBowler | 14 |
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Long time since I have posted on the golf forum. Use to post my picks all the time and now check in once or twice a year. Playing the Corales Punta Cana Championship on PGA Tour and Club Car Championship on the Korn Ferry Tour this week. Always enjoyed the secondary tourneys going on and longer shot value.
Punta Cana Championship Ton of secondary talent at this event and Wyndham Clark is the heavy favorite in the 7/1 to 9/1 range. Clark can drill it and his success if on will come on the par 5s. If Clark beats me I can live with that......but him being a single digit favorite is absurd. Wind is always a factor but the course sets up for low scores. Not sure if he will show up but like Ben Martin a lot this week. Ben Martin 29/1 win Top 20 +150 Cameron Percy Top 20 +200 Brian Stuard Top 20 +650
Club Car Championship (KFT)
Going more with vets and dogs at this course. Number of these guys have experience on this course...they are dogs for a reason but like the value. If young guns show up I am out of this quickly.
Brett Drewitt 35/1 Jimmy Stanger 65/1 Mark Anderson 100/1 Grant Hirschman 100/1 Ryan Blaum 130/1 Dawson Armstrong 150/1
Have few parlay plays between the two tourneys also....not typing the excel length essay plus the odds off hitting are insane lol |
fightingillini | 5 |
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Stupid play by defender...not sure why the EKU coach got heated about it
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Devilplayer | 63 |
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EKU defender fouled 3 point shooter and coach got a technical
Player made 4 of 5 FTS
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Devilplayer | 63 |
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Wagered and hit on Troy all week. Hit ML and teaser on Troy vs FSU and hammered the line vs Merrimack yesterday and won. Troy is competitive and played some down opponents. They play St Thomas MN this evening who lost to Montana by 19 last night. I jumped on Troy at -4 vs St Thomas MN when I saw it on DK last night. Feel like the line -5 vs Merrimack and -4 vs St Thomas MN are super low. Likely last time I am playing Troy for a bit as not sure against them vs Montana.
Think the line is -4.5 for Troy now, but anyone else think the lines have been a bit low on Troy? See what happens....I bit yesterday and again today |
fightingillini | 4 |
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Plenty of factors in this tourney. Second rate field with mix of lower end vets and younger guys. Weather looks rainy all week and wind is always a factor at sometime in this tourney. Looks like the wind is more mild than usual so far with all those low scores.
Am more of a longer shot guy but looked at Lower, Schenk and Smalley as guys in that 20-1 to 45-1 range. I am keeping an eye on these guys and few longer shots for live wagering as touney goes on. Such as Dylan Wu, Ben Martin, Harrison Endycott(good chance one Australian in the mix at the end of it if wind), etc.
Tourneys like this are fickle....Hubbard just needs to make a rally tomorrow. I have lost First Round Leader on tourneys like this with 100/1 odd guys to longer odds like Tommy Gainey for exampe probably around 200/1 to 300/1 FRL. Keeping an extra eye on tourney going by my username following Detry and Hardy. |
sacker17 | 4 |
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BOL Sacker
I check into the golf forum every so often these days. Definitely right about a weak field at this event. I am going with a short course and past form guy that loves this event in Brian Gay. Have him all the way from 175/1 to win to top 5,10,20(top 20 is 6/1) in some parlay plays. |
sacker17 | 4 |
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The SMU defense baffled me on the last drive. No defender was really close to any of the Navy receivers. Ugly way to get the cover but a win is a win
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fightingillini | 16 |
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I like the input and takes
Looked at a few stats from last years game and it looks like QB Tai Lavatai is the main rusher SMU has faced from that game. SMU held Lavatai to 53 yards on 24 rushes. Rest of guys ran for 124 yards on 29 carries. Not an ideal day for the rushing game but game was tied at 24 until SMU scored a TD midway through the 4th quarter to win the game. Throw in this was a 5-0 SMU team facing a 1-3 Navy squad at the time. The key to Navy might be the faces SMU hasn't seen. Here are the leading rushing attempts for Navy on the season and none of the listed guys below had any rushing attempts in last years game except for Lavatai.
Lavatai QB 69 Fofana FB 67 Haywood WR 41 Hall Jr FB 40 Point FB 30 Terrell Jr WR 24 5-6 other guys under 10 carries |
fightingillini | 16 |
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Yeah the thing that baffles me is the way Navy blew out Tulsa and SMU got run over in the 2nd half vs UCF. UCF is very talented but SMU was winning that game 13-10 at half. UCF was up 41-13 in the 4th before SMU literally went for a TD with a second left to make it 41-19. Navy was up 36-14 on Tulsa at half, up 46-14 end of 3rd and finished it off 53-21. Navy turned the ball over once and controlled the clock for 40 minutes. Probably depends which Navy team shows up.....
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fightingillini | 16 |
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Hit some money on Louisiana ML the other day for +450 and trying to figure out this Navy line. I already have Navy locked in at +12.5 and ML at +360. Any insight on why the line is so big? I know it is a new year but this series seems to be fairly close except for when Navy beat them like crazy the first two years in the conference. SMU joined conference few years before but just showing winner and score since both have been in conference since 2015.
2015 Navy 55-14 2016 Navy 75-31 2017 Navy 43-40 2018 SMU 31-30 2019 Navy 35-28 2020 SMU 51-37 2021 SMU 31-24
In 2019 Navy went 11-2 and SMU went 10-3. Since 2020 in conference games only(Navy has played few more this year), Navy has gone 8-10 and SMU 8-8. Both teams are 2-3 coming into this game this season. SMU beat North Texas and Lamar. SMU lost to Maryland, TCU and UCF(none of those are duds). Navy lost to Delaware, Memphis and Air Force. Navy beat East Carolina and Tulsa. Maybe I am thinking to much into the past in this series and how Navy beat Tulsa 53-21 last week. I feel like Tulsa and SMU are very similar. Tulsa QB Davis Brin is good and they don't have a big run game. SMU QB Tanner Mordecai is good and SMU might run it a little better than Tulsa. Mordecai targets WR Rashee Rice like crazy. Rice has 46 catches while the next 2 receivers have 13 and 12 receptions each. They have a couple WRs questionable for this game but not sure on updated status of now.
New SMU coach is not new to facing Navy since he was the offensive coordinator for a few years at SMU before taking off for Miami coordinator spot and than landing the head job back at SMU. When Coach Lashlee was O-coordinator for SMU in 2018 SMU won 31-30 and Navy won 35-28 in 2019. He was in Miami when SMU won 51-37 in 2020 and SMU won 31-24 in 2021.
SMU can't stop the run and Navy can't stop the pass. Navy is 2nd in time of possession while SMU is 126th in time of possession. If Navy controls the TOP and doesn't turn it over or more than once they likely win. Just seeing if others have info/insight on either side....BOL |
fightingillini | 16 |
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Nice! Louisiana ML +450 |
IceCreamJoe | 21 |
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I posted in Camby thread earlier I was planning on playing Louisiana spread and ML if RB Chris Smith was playing. Didn't play either since not in the game.
Pre-game ML was around +330 and odds at halftime are around +370 for a 4 pt game.
Marshall up 4 and does get the ball first. When Marshall was up 7-3 with Louisiana punting back to Marshall with 2-3 minutes left in 1st half the ML went to +650 just for a minute or two at most. I actually locked in a small ML play on Louisiana at +450 after 1st play of Marshall having the ball. See if Louisiana QB comes back or not but I thought that was real good value being such a close game. Wooldridge will have to be the running and passing game in the 2nd half for them to win this. |
IceCreamJoe | 21 |
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