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Selection #1:
Selection #1:
Selection #1:
Selection #1:
Selection #1:
Selection #1:
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crinkledaces | 1 |
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I'm trying to convert someone's model ev into win percentage so that I can plug it into a Kelly calculator. |
crinkledaces | 1 |
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Thanks for taking the time @TheGutDecision. My intention is to wait till game starts and hope that pit scores the 1st run in the game and then bet Cinn if that doesnt happen ill probably just pass. |
crinkledaces | 5 |
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Only thing I can find is Pitts available bullpen has over a 7.00 era |
crinkledaces | 5 |
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Something is up here. Gonna wait and bet it live |
crinkledaces | 5 |
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Covers | 5 |
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The Pacers roll here win by 9 or more |
Covers | 5 |
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Quote Originally Posted by crinkledaces: From what I can see both teams can pass the ball. But Washington st cant run it and Nevada can so that be said I like Nevada here at home getting 3.5 Being*
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Covers | 32 |
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From what I can see both teams can pass the ball. But Washington st
cant run it and Nevada can so that be said I like Nevada here at home getting 3.5
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Covers | 32 |
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I was l wondering if it would be profitable to bet the run line of the favorite and the alternate run line with the dog with the expectations that in the last 20000 games the final scores of the games were 1 run games 28.7 percent of the time. And you have to lay roughly 3-1 to bet this wager using a arbitrage calculator. I mean am i missing something or is this a plus ev situation. Thanks in advance for the input
A example KC -1.5 @+135
Houston -1.5 @+210 using the arbitrage calculator i bet 60 on kc and 45.48 on Houston to for a guaranteed profit of 35.52 if the game doesnt end in a 1 run game. so my total wager is 105.48 @ 33.66 percent of my total wager so if games end in 1 run games 28.7 percent of the time is this a positive outcome?? I know it seems simple just wanna make sure im not doing something wrong or missing something |
crinkledaces | 3 |
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No problem and good luck
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Tepham | 29 |
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I like all your plays except the Phil play. Flyers are 0-7 in their last 7 in New York
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Tepham | 29 |
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I like Calgary too but will wait on the bet as i feel like the public drives this line closer to Ducks -175 or so
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Tepham | 29 |
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Well Kazual here is what covers thinks and i agree
Ducks not a safe bet when they play in CalgaryJustin Hartling Mar 25, 2014 Despite holding the fourth best road record in the NHL, the Anaheim Ducks are far from a safe bet in Calgary. The Ducks have dropped four of their last five in the Saddledome. The last time these teams met in Calgary, the Flames dismantled the Ducks 7-2. Calgary is currently riding a 10-3 record at home since Jan. 22, with two of their losses coming against the LA Kings. The home team has also been dominant in the series holding a ridiculous 47-12-4 record in the past 63. Anaheim has also yet to pick up a win in Canada in 2014, with its last victory coming in October. The Ducks (-145) will be favored when they challenge the Flames (+134), but what has Anaheim done for bettors lately? |
Tepham | 29 |
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I love the Islanders in this one! 3 units
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Covers | 3 |
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As hot as carolina has been i think this is a tough spot for them. On a b2b vs a lousy Columbus team not sure they can get up for this game. That being said this line is way to high imo. Ill take Carolina as a small value play
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Covers | 3 |
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I like Toronto here I feel like this line is way to high. Imo line should be around wash -140 with both teams playing back to back i think there is value on the road dog here. Toronto got embarrassed last night in Carolina and they will be looking to answer. Gl all
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Covers | 8 |
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Like i said guys line was over priced IMO.
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Covers | 7 |
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Um... Not sure what they are thinking here I love Minn here as a value play this line should be closer to phoenix -130 or -120. Home ice wont help phoenix in this one i think Minn gets the win. Playing Minn as +145 for 2 units
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Covers | 7 |
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I live a hour away for Raleigh and im going to the game i think you guys should be careful betting the over in this game with Peters in net as well as both teams playing back to back. Imo teams on tired legs dump the puck in much more often and make changes more frequently. But good luck to you guys
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Covers | 7 |
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