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This is the first Thursday Game in Commonwealth Stadium history. Yes, it is lowly UK but Auburn is not playing near as expected this year. The place will be packed and has been a sellout for weeks and the weather will be perfect as well in the low 60s. Auburn is 0-5 ATS this year and has been made the 2 point favorite in this spot. This game is not about the history of UK's past but should be about the present. The home dog on these nights is known to present a positive ROI and there is no reason to think this night will be any different. UK has an improved defense that has stepped up when it has needed to but has been awful at times. It limited Florida to 14 points in UK's only disappointing loss of the season. Yes I am a homer and will be there but I expect these cats to pull through here because of the intangibles if they can protect Towles and give him some time to find his open receivers. Expecting a somewhat low scoring game with both teams trying to run the ball to set up the pass. UK 24 Auburn 16
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There is no other team that I would like to see UK beat than UT. These are two (using the term loosely) mediocre SEC east teams that are both in rebuilding mode and struggling to get to bowl eligibility. If tenn decides to just run the ball, they win and control the clock and UK speeds up their tempo as promised for this week just so tenn can run the ball some more. With Worley out this is almost guaranteed. Think Stoops knows this is their last chance for bowl eligibility so they will play with reckless abandon-hence, expect turnovers. Play here is the over of 54 as I expect defensive scores in the cold. Small play on ML UK and another small play of +9, just because of how much I loathe orange and rocky top.
UK 37 tenn 31
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Just play the over. If UGA runs the ball like they have before it will be a track meet as UK offense will find its groove for this game. Chubb may get his 300 yard game, but Towles will throw for over 300 and boom will run wild too. I can't play the spread but am heavy on the over, even with the cool weather predicted for the game.
UGA 38 UK 31
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I agree with Jrock this week. Boom Williams is back for UK so add on another offensive weapon. Mauk has been very inconsistent and the weather could play into the equation this week with the first cold game for both. Both defenses are suspect but can play at times. I expect more points than Vegas and will play the over and a small play ML on UK. Going to try a parlay as well this week, taking FSU, Miss St, and UK (adding a point to +7.5).
UK 34 Mizz 30 Good luck to all! |
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I wish I had the same bright outlook that Jrock has as I too am a UK homer. Have had season tickets since 1977 and have seen many twists and turns with this program. Yes, UK has played MSU close in the past, but this is a 330 game on CBS and they have had a week to prepare while UK is licking its wounds from the beating they got last week. UK is in the meat of their schedule and they have turned into vegetarians. The cream puff early schedule is now exposed and SC, FL, and LSU have exposed the weakness of the D right up the middle. MSU will make and example of UK Saturday and the stadium will be empty by the fourth quarter.
I am taking MSU for the half, game and the over if it is around 52. Hope the cats make me look stupid, but I can't bet with my heart! MSU 56 UK 20
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This line is dead on at LSU -9.5. As usual, Les Miles' team starts good against an ok Wisconsin team that blew the game against the tigers. Since, LSU has been exposed by MSU and Auburn. Their offense is mediocre at best as of late. On the other hand, UK has been a surprise to everyone pulling off the upset against an overrated SC team and dropping the overtime game at FL. Strength of schedule is totally off as mentioned above, but UK is way above LSU in most statistical categories but that is most likely due to sos.
This could be an ugly game, a la both teams play against FL. The young UK team should not get rattled in Death Valley as they performed well at FL. Stoops and company will have a good game plan, and by now Miles will have a plan to counter Jojo's wildcat formation. I am looking at a potentially low scoring game that comes down to turnovers and penalties and here's to hoping UK can keep it close and not get behind and allow LSU to control the ball and clock. Lean to UK and eat some juice to get UK+10.5. But as a UK homer, I sure hope I'm wrong!!! LSU 27 UK 17 Good luck to all
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Forecast is calling for showers and this is a prime letdown game for UK. Another distraction with a backup LB dismissed from team for sexual assault. Suspended players from last week reinstated this week. Think Stoops gets out ahead early, then plays it safe. Focus will be on defense for UK as well.
Small play on UK first half at -13.5. UK 27 ULM 10 Good luck!
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Vandy has a very weak offense but the defense is somewhat acceptable. This is too many points, even for Vandy as I don't think Richt would run it up. Lean to Vandy +33.5 and under.
UGA 38 Vandy 10
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Stanley "Boom" Williams, Dorian Baker, Drew Barker (backup QB), and third string DE suspended for UK. Good news is, there are enough RBs and wideouts to cover the losses.
This is a "Blackout" game for UK as well and Keeneland is running that day (horse racing). They are offering discounted tickets in order to sell out as well. Will be a rowdy crowd, for a change at UK. With all that said, Spurrier still always brings his A game to Lexington. In the end, SC has more top to bottom than UK. I despise Spurrier, as most UK fans do, but at -6, must lean to SC. Expect both teams to bounce back offensively here and UK only has a chance if they can keep the pressure on the QB and force a few turnovers. Should be an entertaining game to say the least. Very small play here on SC and no play o/u as this could be a 14-10 game loaded with mistakes or a scoring fest of 49-42. Hard to read this one! UK 27 SC 35
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Lots of points and Ga will go to ground game late to keep ball away from tenn. Expect some ints for GA secondary. Just playing the over.
UGA 44 tenn 28
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Wish I has jumped I. This game at +18.5 when it was there yesterday. Either Vandy is improving or SC really is not very good, which may the case. FL is not very good either so this game hinges on turnovers. 17 is too many to cover for a young UK team, in my opinion. Probably not playing this one, until I get the o/u, but a lean to Vandy and the points but a UK win.
UK 34 Vandy 20
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Unfortunately, I am drinking the UK kool aid and think they can stay close, IF the youngsters don't get rattled with the crowd and their first road trip. Feel UF is overrated-just the same as UK after whipping their Fcs opponent. Hoping UK can start fast. Second half against Ohio, game plan switched to "don't lose" instead of score more. Betting lightly but taking UK+18 and watching the streak get one more higher.
FL 31 UK 20
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Expect lots of points here. UK has better talent, but defense was suspect even against UT Martin. Rain expected for early part of game but it won't slow down the Cats.
UK 45 Ohio 24 Good luck to all!
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UK has suspended 3rd leading receiver and special teams return man Demarco Robinson, corner back Quinn and a back up DE for "violating team rules". Also rumors swirling that Raymond Sanders has been removed from team-starting tailback. Things beginning to unravel for wildcats. They usually play UGA tight but will have problems stopping them all night and offense has been almost laughable as Whitlow is cold, then hot, then cold again and tucks and runs a little too much. My play is the under as Richt won't run the score up late and UGA for the half at -13.5.
UGA 38 UK 13
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This is UL's first chance to play in primetime this year. They rested all their starters halfway into the second quarter last week. Strong will have them ready to play and ANYONE can score on Rutgers. The main play is the over if it is at 55, then maybe a small play increasing juice and taking UL -16 1/2. UL 52/Rutgers 24 Good luck to all. |
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Wake may only score on a weak TD in late 4th to avoid a shut out. Lean to Clemson -28.5 and UNDER as they are superior to Wake in every position. Clemson 42 Wake 7 |
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Hard to believe this spread has dropped to only +12 for the home team. Driskell and starting DE out for UF and Smith probable for UK may make things slightly even for a little while but the UK defense has no depth whatsoever and UF will be able to run the ball with ease in the second half. My play is UK for the half at +7.5, UF for the game at -12 and over 46. Good luck to all |
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Over is the play here. I got in early and have UL -10.5 but that seems too easy. UK has little depth but I expect them to come out ready to play early with lots of fireworks-or duds in the way of turnovers. Either way, expect lots of points. As a UK homer, I hope Bridgewater is too fired up and overthrows a few receivers early before calming down and dismantling UK's young secondary. Looking at 24-20 at the half then ending dismally for the home team 48-31.
Good luck to all |
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What an awful matchup this year!!! Two winless teams in the conference both with coaching changes for next year. Expect UK to come out ready as they have the last two weeks and may e keep it close, then at the half UT will adjust and Joker won't do anything and they will take over.
Tiny play at the half UK + 7 UT for game -13 Good riddance to the coaches!!! UK 24 UT 41
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