Profile | Entries | Thread Author | Posts | Activity |
---|---|---|---|---|
So I have been working on developing a handicapping algorithm that uses DFS projections, pricing, and opponent adjustments to come up with a system that gives a projection for every game along with odds probabilities.
I am going to use this thread to track those picks. I am going to document every pick the system chooses, but I am only going to be betting on the highest probability picks.
I will highlight the highest probability bets in bold. The bold picks are the ones that I am actually making.
So here is week 6: BAL - 10.5 SEA +1 KC -3.5 NO +2.5 MN -3.5 WAS -5.5 LAR -3 ATL -3 DAL -7 DEN -1.5
I will post SNF and MNF later. Cheers
|
blue_print | 1 |
|
|
Should have been a saftey and they review it and say call stands. What where they even looking at? Most clear cut safety there is. |
blue_print | 3 |
|
|
Quote Originally Posted by motowner:
17 play drive by ETSU settles for a FG14-10 VMI 4 mins remaining before half
You watching game? Or getting live updates from a website? |
justlol | 29 |
|
|
Who’s everyone got? |
blue_print | 2 |
|
|
Quote Originally Posted by UnderDogs1979:
Under 21.5 1st halfUnder 22.5 2nd half
I like it! |
blue_print | 15 |
|
|
Quote Originally Posted by bearsfan111:
Cincy has beaten the Ravens a lot and the Ravens beat Buffalo who is dog do do to be over valued so I can't agree but BOL Congrats on your great start.
Buff D is better than Colts D who the Bengals needed all game to come away with a win though in my opinion. But regardless thanks bearsfan for the congrats! |
blue_print | 15 |
|
|
Quote Originally Posted by 96chey:
Nice record keep its up thanks Chey! |
blue_print | 15 |
|
|
Should be a good game tonight!
GL to all! |
blue_print | 2 |
|
|
Quote Originally Posted by lajeunesse:
Thanks BP! Will be riding with you tonight
lets get a win!! |
blue_print | 15 |
|
|
Quote Originally Posted by vc1028:
Blue Thanks for Sharing and let's get this
thanks Vic!! GL! |
blue_print | 15 |
|
|
Quote Originally Posted by vankiep_0007:
Nice record keep / Bol tonight BP
thanks Van you too! |
blue_print | 15 |
|
|
Adding:
Under 43 -110
|
blue_print | 15 |
|
|
On em as well
|
LeagueCapper | 49 |
|
|
Whoops, I mistyped for my record. It should be: Week 1: 7-2-1 YTD: 7-2-1 |
blue_print | 15 |
|
|
Week 1: 7-1-1 YTD: 7-1-1
Tonights game: Ravens -1 -110
I have a lean towards Under 44 for the game but I have not locked it in and I am not sure if I will. If I do I will update my thread. I don't have time to write up my analysis for every game I bet on sundays but since their is only one game tonight I do have the time so here it is:
Flacco seems to be in new form this year after the coaching staff lit a fire under him drafting a QB. Flacco's style seems to be spreading the ball around since last week he didn't throw to any one player more than 6 times. The Bengals defense seems to be content to allow short passes and instead worrying about stopping anything deep. This works to the Ravens advantage and they will be able to move the ball down the field slowely but surely. Mixon seems like he could be a top RB this year but this is not the week to count on him. The ravens have likely a top 8 run defense especially against pass catching backs. The Bengals entire passing offense runs through AJ Green and he got just under 70% of the Bengals air yards last week. The Ravens will obviously focus on Green and they have been good at stopping him lately, in both games last year holding Green to less than 100 yards and 0 TDs - in both games COMBINED. The rest of the Bengals passing attck looks like somewhat of a mess right now and relying on Dalton when he is under pressure is risky - that is when he tends to play worst and make the most mistakes. And the Ravens pass rush will cause Dalton issues tonight. Overall the Ravens have the better OL & DL, better passing attack, better DB's, and I don't think tonight is the night that Mixon goes off for the Bengals. I'm guessing the game will stay somewhat close but that the Ravens take the win.
Good luck to all |
blue_print | 15 |
|
|
Quote Originally Posted by goch83:
Thank You, that was a mistake and I appreciate those who pointed it out. It was -3 not +3 so the wager resulted in a push Record is Record is 10-1-1 ats (+11.8 units)
still wrong. Your record would be 9-1-1. Still very nice though! |
goch83 | 13 |
|
|
Quote Originally Posted by goch83:
they won 27-24 and they were 3 point dogs.
they were never dogs. They were 3 point favorites. So either you mistyped or you are tryin to falsify your record.... |
goch83 | 13 |
|
|
Lions -7 -108
Rams -6 -105 Man the Lions game still has me frustrated. Complete team collapse. Can’t win them all. Week 1: 7 - 2 7 - 2 YTD
|
blue_print | 10 |
|
|
Quote Originally Posted by DoubleUp4Life: Finally giving the ball to Gurley But Raiders doing a surprisingly good job of shutting him down
|
motowner | 175 |
|
|
Quote Originally Posted by motowner: Block in back on edge during Gurley run not called against Rams then Raiders drop another pick. 10-10 very exciting game but Raiders not getting any breaks. Ehh I don't know. Missed field goal by Rams, Raiders lacking any pass rush, having trouble on the OL. Feel like both teams are missing key chances....
|
motowner | 175 |
|
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so. It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly. Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality. Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it. As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.