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both teams are pretty much locked into their respective spots. I think both will come out early trying to establish some sort of rhythm; but then pull starters. no need in getting hurt just before the post season.
I see this similar to that THIRD pre-season game. I like CIN here, they usually beat BAL at home since Lewis has been there. Last year they lost but they rested their players. I think when comparing the two organizations, BAL don't view THIS game as much as CIN does. Thus the reason I think BAL goes further in the post season than CIN |
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Hey Drewmon78;
You're clearly a PATS fan, because you saw my second sentence referencing a BEAT DOWN and decided to cut & paste my post and get all defensive about it: "They got beat by 7 at home, I dont quite call that a beat down." Just relax and go back and ACTUALLY READ the ENTIRE POST. As a PAT fan, you don't appear too confident in your team against the lowly JAGUARS. don't be a fair weather fan, take ya PATS and enjoy the holidays, because if your don't you'll be kicking yourself in the rear and that infused Egg Nog wont taste as good |
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WOW I see allot of emotion behind these picks..not allot of thought being put into it.
Yes NE got beat down at home in front of the world to see, and Vegas knows you saw it AND they know that many feel JAC simply sucks. They know many will immediately jump on NE based on emotion. I told a buddy of mine that both NE & GB generally are favorites by touchdown or more in most cases. Neither does well when favored by double digits. NE is 12-16, 13-19 if you include the post season since 2007 when favored by double digits. The fact that NE is double digit favored is more of an indictment on how bad JAC has been. They're 1-6 at home and have giving up an average of 26 points. If you simply focus on the games where they've played against potential post season, that jumps to 32 points. With all this data, it's clear to me that you MUST take NE . All but 4 of the games I mentioned were at home. They're 3-1 on the road when favored by double digits. YES JAC is that bad. There was talk about MJD playing but he's officially been ruled out. |
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I've seen many streaks end in recent weeks and I think this will be another one of them. PIT offensive line is horrendous and CIN has a decent pass rush. No Taylor in the secondary, I'll take CIN +4
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Don't allow Vegas to fool you into believing ARI is that bad.
Yes they've lost 8 straight. Yes they have QB issues. These teams know each other well, and we're talking about SEA not some high powered potent attack. They may win but they won't cover |
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NO URLACHER = SOFT MIDDLE
MINNESOTA FANS -------> Adrian ALL DAY and for some reason Lovey plays too conservative |
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Normally, I'd never take CLE as a favorite. I've been blessed to be riding a 4-0 streak whenever CLE has been listed as favorite lately. BUT this is different. KC had a tremendous victory this past week and they should have a let down this week so it wouldn't surprise me if CLE were to cover. For that reason, regrettable I have to stay away from this one
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Covers | 30 |
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no way in hell SF wins by double digits over MIA
rule #113 ALWAYS TAKE MIA as a double digit road dog |
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LM5545 DON'T DO IT!!!!!!!!
NFC East teams all suck at home BUT ALL TRAVEL WELL. The lost of Manu will hurt, DAL will force Big Red to go someone else other than Green. Also now that Murray is back, DAL will be much more balanced. As a NYG fan - I HOPE YOU'RE RIGHT...but I wouldn't put money on that. |
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It's so refreshing to see another unbiased Gmen post. I'm getting smashed for going against my boyz. I keep telling people, though I love the Gmen - I LOVE MY MONEY MORE.
I only bet them as road dogs for the most part. It seems that Eli plays much better on the road than he does at home. Maybe too many distractions [family & friends asking for game tickets]. In those previous matchups though NO defense was much better and their offense was much more explosive [if that's possible]. With the extra few days of rest and the Gmen weak secondary, I can't see them blasting the Saints. But then again, every time you get too down on them THEY HAVE A GAME LIKE THEY HAD AGAINST SF & GB. I'd stay away from this game since Bree has thrown some costly INT's this year and if Gmen can get a hold of one or two, it may force NO to be one dimensional and that's when NYG would UNLEASH THE HOUNDS. |
Covers | 40 |
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you take PHI here simply because DET has lost their last 5 ATS
and has giving up 7 scoring plays of 60yds+ combined in their last two games. PHI has players capable of BIG PLAYS in Vick, McCoy, Jackson and Maclin. no way Vick has won anybody HUGE $$$$ THIS YEAR OR LAST ....unless you've been betting against them. PHI is 10-11 in last 21 games, 3-7 in last 10 at home, 5-11 as FAV. I'm only picking them by default since they're playing DET who is 7-13 in last 20 games, 3-7 on the road, 2-4 as dogs. |
Covers | 40 |
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At first I thought it was a misprint but nope it's legit ATL -9.5 is too steep since OAK coming off a bye week....OR IS IT?
McFadden has faded into a nobody, it's not all his fault though the defense is giving up 31pts and only scoring 17pts per game. So that takes Darren out the game. I don't see anything changing in this one since ATL is putting up 30pts and only giving up 19pts per game. OAK may keep it close in the first half, just because they're rested. But the second half, ATL will open up. PLAY ALL YOUR FALCONS THIS WEEK [Ryan, Turner, White, Jones & Gonzalez] ATL defense isn't that bad either, they're quick to the ball once in the redzone |
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All I'll say on this is ---> scroll up 4 spots
Sammy___Ace speaks for me |
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that "win one for the gipper" is dead & buried.
If Rex suppose to be a defensive genius, he can't let THE rookie come into his house and walk away victorious. All their loses are pretty much understandable [@PIT after PIT took an "L", SF is SF and then HOU which they had a shot at winning] All those teams have a decent defense. IND is giving up 27.5 points per game, they're giving up 133 rushing yards per game. HELLO REX!! THIS IS YOUR CHANCE TO GROUND & POUND. If NYJ ground & pound, the defense will be well rested each time they take the field and should be able to go all out and give Luck a multitude of looks. If they lose this game, Rex needs to contact Ryder because he'll need a 22 footer and a 3 man crew to help move his shhhh up out of New York |
Covers | 32 |
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everybody take a ya sharpie's and MARK MY WORDS
if you bet this game you must take CLE - three reasons listed below: [1] can you name another receiver other than AJ Green? If you have him in ya fantasy leagues...see if you have alternatives. J. Haden will lock him up and prevent him from going deep. [2] I was at that game when CLE came to town against BAL and Trent Richardson is FOR REAL. He was able to run the ball against BAL until they fell behind and had to go to the air. He rushed for 109 in the first match in CIN. He's scored a TD in last 4 games, starting with that CIN game. [3] In reference to "the law-firm"; in my best Denny Green voice: "HE IS WHAT I THOUGHT HE WAS". He surprised me in that opening game vs. BAL [yeah I was there too] but since that game where he avg 5yds per carry, he's under 3yds per carry. So if the Red Barron isn't getting any help from the running game, and the new Mean Joe is clamped down on Green. CLE gets their first win. |
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everything points to SEA but I wonder if they'll have a let down after stealing victory from GB. Karma is gonna bite them at sometime this year...could this be the week?
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based on my numbers I'm taking CAR with the points +7.5
I'm looking at this and EVERYTHING points toward ATL continuing their dominance over CAR. all good things come to an end though. CAR has been trending upward in this match up and after NYG spanked them, they've had 10 days to gear up for ATL. Both teams play better indoors so I look for CAR to keep it close and perhaps steal one. circling slot #8 CAR +7.5 |
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I said it before in another thread, for some reason PHI has owned us errr I mean NYG lol I think it was a combination of PHI's overall team speed. PHI has been able to have big plays and quick strikes [ie kickoff return]. Someone said it earlier that Eli is 1-7 vs PHI.
PHI is one of those teams that the locals LOVE TO BET ON. I was surprised to see them as a favorite based on how they've played THIS YEAR. Philly has lost both the Jason's and that offensive line is horrible. The turnovers has hurt them as well. Why they're not featuring Shaddy more is odd. I think NYG keeps Vick contained and minimize the big plays and steal a win in PHI. Take NYG with the points as well as a straight up win |
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this is a gimme NE -4 <- - - - BUF is down to their 3rd string RB
these games have usually been blow-outs. come to think it, after finally beating NE last year I think week 3 or 4 is when Fitzpatrick got that contract and it's been down hill ever since lol Not sure if I like your reverse line movement theory on this one @vietdeity86 |
Covers | 65 |
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told ya that was the "TRAP GAME"
this weeks trap game is DAL -7.5 I'll explain BUT you'll have to go look at the DAL / TB thread yeah I'm making you all work for the money |
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